Daytona Beach Area MLS · September 2026 Computed from closed records through 2026-10-07
Median sold · SF
$375,000-1.3%
monthly median
Same-home appreciation
+0.8%/yr
same home, bought 1-3 yrs ago
Days on market
84-17.6%
list → close, median
New contracts (September)
575+36.9%
pipeline building
Months of supply
4.3SF
balanced
Sold over list
5%-9.2%
buyer competition
Moderate buyer advantage · Warming
A single 0-100 read of seller vs. buyer advantage, blending months of supply, days on market, the share selling over list, and the share of active listings cutting price. September: down 1.3% prices year over year, leading indicators firming. Down 2 points from August (25). *August is estimated from that month's closed sales with supply and price-cut inputs held at current readings; from next month, prior scores are the published ones.
Prices are rising more than the 1% median shows — the market is selling smaller, lower-end homes.
The median was $375,000 (-1.3% YoY), but the same house, sold twice, moved +0.8% a year. The gap is mix: the share of sales under $200K went 6%→5% and $600K+ went 20%→15%. Read $/sq ft (-1.7%) and same-home resales — not the median — for what a home is really doing.
$375,000
Median price — down 1.3% YoY
+37%
New contracts vs a year ago — the pipeline is building
54%
Of current active listings have cut their price (point-in-time, as of 2026-10-07)
Median down 1.3% YoY; same-home appreciation was +0.8%/yr — the headline understates it; smaller homes are what sold.
Homes sold in a median 84 days; 5% sold over list; supply 4.3 months.
Growth (YoY median) led by Volusia -0.8%, Flagler -6.2%; Flagler down 6.2%.
Momentum Market Score: 23/100 — Moderate buyer advantage. Prices down 1.3%, contracts up 36.9%.
Five biggest surprises
Same homes rose +0.8%/yr while the median fell 1.3% — smaller homes are what sold.
New contracts rose 37% YoY — the sharpest warming signal, hidden beneath the price headline.
54% of active listings have cut price — a seller-market crack in plain sight.
42% of listings leaving the market failed to sell (343 expired, withdrawn or canceled vs 475 closed).
Owners who bought 5+ years ago have averaged +6.0%/yr; those who bought in the last 1-3 years are at +0.8%/yr — the easy money was pre-2022.
MOMENTUM MARKET PULSE™Daytona Beach · September 2026
Where homes sell fastest · Single-family, July 2026–September 2026
Every ZIP in the Daytona Beach Area MLS footprint with 15+ single-family closings in the last three months, shaded by days on market — deep teal is fastest, amber slowest. Ormond Beach ZIPs run hot; Daytona Beach is the slow end.
Hottest — fastest & most competitive
ZIP · city
Sales
DOM
Over
Median
32176 · Ormond Beach
71
53
3%
$417,750
32141 · Edgewater
29
58
14%
$294,900
32129 · Port Orange
63
59
13%
$310,000
32725 · Deltona
15
65
0%
$325,500
32127 · Port Orange
66
66
9%
$375,000
32132 · Edgewater
15
72
7%
$280,000
32119 · South Daytona
54
80
13%
$286,250
Coolest — slowest to sell
ZIP · city
Sales
DOM
Over
Median
32118 · Daytona Beach
40
130
10%
$350,000
32136 · Flagler Beach
18
129
6%
$889,500
32114 · Daytona Beach
31
111
6%
$230,000
32738 · Deltona
15
108
7%
$330,000
32169 · New Smyrna Beach
24
108
0%
$910,000
32164 · Palm Coast
61
103
0%
$333,000
32124 · Daytona Beach
100
98
3%
$441,500
ZIP boundaries: U.S. Census ZCTA. Tables cover ZIPs with ≥15 single-family closings in the trailing three months.
MOMENTUM MARKET PULSE™Daytona Beach · September 2026
Active-under-contract and pending are tracked separately — AUC deals are contingent and can fall through; pending have cleared contingencies. The leading signal, new contracts, is up 36.9% YoY. And 54% of active listings have already cut price, a softening signal beneath the price headline.
Single-family pipeline, September 2026
Stage
Count
What it means
Active (available)
1,610
Listed, not under contract
Active under contract
110
Contingent — still taking backups
Pending
453
Contingencies cleared — headed to closing
New under contract in September
575
By contract date — up 36.9% YoY
Months of supply
4.3
Active ÷ monthly closings — balanced
Listings failing to sell — over time
Pull rate — % of listings expired or withdrawn · by year
Share of listings leaving the market without closing.
In September, 343 listings expired, were withdrawn or canceled against 475 closings — roughly a 42% pull rate. Rising failed listings pair with new contracts up 36.9% and the 54% price-cut share: the market is asking sellers to price right the first time or sit.
Median vs. "sold twice" — what's the difference?
The median just averages whatever happened to sell that month: if a wave of larger, higher-end homes closes, it jumps even if no single house gained. Sold twice finds the identical house that sold 1-3 years ago and again in the last 12 months and compares the two prices — since it is the same home both times, and the hold is short, that gap is comparable with the 12-month median change. This month: median -1.3% YoY vs same-home +0.8%/yr across 202 short-hold pairs. Owners who bought 5+ years ago have averaged +6.0%/yr (991 pairs) — most of that came before 2022.
MOMENTUM MARKET PULSE™Daytona Beach · September 2026
The 30-year fixed is about 6.95% (latest rate carried on our county pages), which puts the payment on the median single-family home at $1,986/month with 20% down, -1.3% from a year ago. Cash buyers were 35% of September closings, 69% of condos.
Rate: the figure our county scorecards carry (Freddie Mac PMMS via the national data lane). Payment: principal and interest only, 20% down, 30-year fixed.
What this means — for buyers & sellers
If you're buying
Negotiate. 54% of listings have cut price and contracts are up 36.9% — more leverage than the median suggests.
Compare $/sq ft, not just price. Mix moves the median month to month.
Don't wait for a crash. Same-home prices are still up ~1%; a softening, not a collapse.
If you're selling
Price correctly the first time. Homes that cut price sit; well-priced homes still go under contract in ~84 days.
Expect negotiation. 5% still sell over list, but the rest don't.
Condition matters more now. With more choice, buyers pass on homes that need work.
By property type
Closed sales by property type, September 2026
Type
Closed
Median
YoY
$/sq ft
DOM
Cash
Single-family
375
$375,000
-1.3%
$210
84
35%
Townhouse
31
$265,000
-10.8%
$178
87
42%
Condominium
85
$310,000
+2.1%
$234
119
69%
Condos are softest (+2.1% YoY, 119 days) and most cash-reliant (69%). New construction was 9% of single-family closings.
MOMENTUM MARKET PULSE™Daytona Beach · September 2026
New construction · share of single-family sales (12-mo rolling)
Now ~10% of single-family sales.
About one in 12 single-family sales is a brand-new home. The engine is the rate-lock: owners holding low-rate mortgages won't sell, so resale supply stays choked and builders fill the vacuum — buying the demand with incentives. It is the mix-shift from another angle: the market is increasingly selling newer homes, not just bigger ones.
County breakdown
Single-family by county — "YoY" = year-over-year change in median price
County
Closed
Median
YoY
vs 2022 peak
DOM
Cash
Volusia
311
$372,000
-0.8%
-2.0%
78
33%
Flagler
43
$399,900
-6.2%
-19.1%
105
47%
Median-price YoY swings on low volume in small counties. "vs 2022 peak" compares this month's median to each county's highest 2022 month.
MOMENTUM MARKET PULSE™Daytona Beach · September 2026
Price-band breakdown — sold, pending, active & new
All residential (single-family, condo & townhouse), Daytona Beach Area MLS region, computed from individual records. Sold is bucketed by closed price; pending counts listings still under contract by the month they went under contract (by list price); active and new listings are the current snapshot by list price.
Sold listings — this month & year-to-date
Price band
2026
2025
%chg
YTD
YTD-1
%chg
Under 100,000
9
10
-10.0%
101
110
-8.2%
100,000-119,999
5
12
-58.3%
81
74
+9.5%
120,000-139,999
5
9
-44.4%
99
75
+32.0%
140,000-159,999
16
3
+433.3%
92
96
-4.2%
160,000-179,999
10
15
-33.3%
108
110
-1.8%
180,000-199,999
10
12
-16.7%
136
128
+6.2%
200,000-249,999
51
46
+10.9%
452
440
+2.7%
250,000-299,999
70
64
+9.4%
636
655
-2.9%
300,000-399,999
129
153
-15.7%
1307
1388
-5.8%
400,000-499,999
84
79
+6.3%
761
631
+20.6%
500,000-749,999
74
84
-11.9%
736
752
-2.1%
750,000-999,999
18
26
-30.8%
191
206
-7.3%
1,000,000+
20
25
-20.0%
175
164
+6.7%
Totals
501
538
-6.9%
4875
4829
+1.0%
Pending — contracts written in September still open
Price band
September
Share
Under 100,000
0
0.0%
100,000-119,999
0
0.0%
120,000-139,999
3
1.5%
140,000-159,999
1
0.5%
160,000-179,999
3
1.5%
180,000-199,999
6
3.0%
200,000-249,999
16
8.0%
250,000-299,999
20
10.0%
300,000-399,999
71
35.5%
400,000-499,999
35
17.5%
500,000-749,999
21
10.5%
750,000-999,999
15
7.5%
1,000,000+
9
4.5%
Active listings — current for-sale inventory
Price band
Count
Share
Under 100,000
50
1.8%
100,000-119,999
55
2.0%
120,000-139,999
82
3.0%
140,000-159,999
79
2.9%
160,000-179,999
84
3.1%
180,000-199,999
106
3.9%
200,000-249,999
228
8.4%
250,000-299,999
285
10.5%
300,000-399,999
653
24.0%
400,000-499,999
360
13.2%
500,000-749,999
423
15.5%
750,000-999,999
155
5.7%
1,000,000+
164
6.0%
Snapshot as of 2026-10-07 — 2,724 active residential listings.
New listings — came on market in September (still listed)
Price band
Count
Share
Under 100,000
11
1.7%
100,000-119,999
17
2.7%
120,000-139,999
14
2.2%
140,000-159,999
8
1.3%
160,000-179,999
23
3.6%
180,000-199,999
28
4.4%
200,000-249,999
58
9.2%
250,000-299,999
75
11.9%
300,000-399,999
162
25.6%
400,000-499,999
85
13.4%
500,000-749,999
90
14.2%
750,000-999,999
31
4.9%
1,000,000+
30
4.7%
632 listings with a September on-market date still active at the snapshot.
MOMENTUM MARKET PULSE™Daytona Beach · September 2026
Single-family, Daytona Beach Area MLS region. Computed from 375 closed records, cleaned for entry errors. "New contracts" = closings by purchase-contract month plus contracts still pending. "Received vs. original list" vs the first asking price; the gap to final list is the pre-sale price cut.
Does the Score work? A 20-year back-test
We computed a closed-sales version of the Momentum Market Score every month back to 2005 (pace, over-list share and price-cut discipline), then measured what the median price actually did over the next six months. It bottomed at 1 in November 2007 and peaked at 65 in April 2022; today it reads 16.
Momentum Market Score · 2005–2026
0 = deep buyer's market, 100 = frenzy.
What happened next · avg 6-mo price change by Score tier
Higher Score → stronger forward price growth, tier by tier. Correlation +0.29 across 256 monthly readings since 2005.
The live cover Score also blends months of supply and the active price-cut share, so the two differ slightly. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
MOMENTUM MARKET PULSE™Daytona Beach · September 2026
Probability-weighted directional readings from this edition's leading indicators — new contracts (+36.9% YoY), active price cuts (54%), days on market (down 17.6% YoY) and months of supply (4.3). The weights follow a fixed rule: an indicator moving strongly in one direction (10%+ YoY) is given 65/25/10; a moderate move 55/30/15; a weak or absent move 45/35/20. Each row sums to 100%.
Median priceheadline, YoY
●50% Flat, within 2% ●30% Up 2%+ ●20% Down 2%+
Days on marketmarket pace
●65% Shortening ●25% Flat ●10% Reverses
New contractsdemand, YoY
●65% Still rising ●25% Stabilizing ●10% Reverses
Active price cutsshare of listings
●60% Stays elevated ●30% Holds flat ●10% Falls back
● Most likely ● Alternative ● Tail risk Directional model for discussion — not investment advice.
