Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Hillsborough County
Every figure below is from recorded MLS closings in EL CERRO (TAMPA, FL) — not an algorithm’s estimate. Medians, the 9-year price history, market time, and what the record says about selling here now. Window ending 2026-08-02; refreshes as new closings record.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 97.5% of original asking; the median sale took 11 days (window ending 2026-08-02).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $390,000 | $286 | 11 | 3 |
| 2025 | $550,000 | $281 | 82 | 7 |
| 2024 | $309,900 | $276 | 5 | 5 |
| 2023 | $360,500 | $290 | 45 | 3 |
| 2022 | $330,000 | $278 | 10 | 3 |
| 2017 | $146,250 | $127 | 32 | 8 |
| 2016 | $80,000 | $58 | 60 | 6 |
| 2015 | $38,000 | $59 | 83 | 3 |
| 2014 | $58,000 | $58 | 4 | 3 |
Over the recorded series, EL CERRO’s median sold price moved from $58,000 (2014) to $390,000 (12 months ending 2026-08-02) — +572% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2014 at $58,000. Against the 2025 peak of $550,000, the current median stands at -29%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 8 closings a year (10-yr average 3.2). Small-community medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure in the table above.
What actually trades here: 95% single family residence, 4% townhouse, 1% half duplex, with a median of 1,360 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $286 in the current window. Price-per-square-foot is the cleaner yardstick when comparing your home to the medians — it corrects for the size mix in any given year.
Since 2005, 77 EL CERRO listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (2 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 56% of EL CERRO listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 40%. Momentum’s market-heat index for EL CERRO reads 46/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 0% of recorded EL CERRO sales in the window ending 2026-06 (0 of 3) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. For buyers, the same table reads the other way: the sold medians above are what the market has actually been paying — an asking price meaningfully above the recent closed record, in a community absorbing at the rates shown, is an opening position, not a value.
The pattern in the statewide failure data applies here too: homes priced against the latest closed sales sell; homes priced against hope join the 201,552 that didn’t. The table above is the closed-sale record to price against.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A Momentum agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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More EL CERRO: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2005 through 2026. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures