Should I Sell My House Now — or Wait? The Florida Numbers
Not a pep talk and not a scare piece: the recorded closings, days-on-market, price direction, and failed-listing counts for Florida’s largest counties, updated from MLS records — and the honest framework for a decision no forecast can make for you.
The quick answer
Florida is a buyer-leaning market in most large counties right now: median community prices fell over the last year in 13 of the 14 largest counties in our data, typical market time is 46–72 days, and 201,552 listings statewide failed to sell in 12 months. That is not a “don’t sell” verdict — the same counties recorded well over 100,000 closings. It means sellers who price to the current market sell; sellers who price to 2022 join the failed-listing count. Whether to sell now versus waiting is personal math this page helps you do, not a prediction it pretends to make.
| County | Recorded closings | Median community DOM | Median community 1-yr price change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee | 27,160 | 70 days | -7.1% |
| Miami-Dade | 16,814 | 57 days | -2.9% |
| Palm Beach | 15,791 | 57 days | -2.2% |
| Duval | 13,001 | 49 days | -3.0% |
| Orange | 12,911 | 56 days | -4.9% |
| Brevard | 11,296 | 46 days | -2.8% |
| Pinellas | 10,957 | 57 days | -5.1% |
| Broward | 10,820 | 61 days | -3.4% |
| Hillsborough | 10,547 | 48 days | -6.5% |
| Collier | 9,529 | 72 days | -5.5% |
| St. Johns | 8,008 | 60 days | -2.7% |
| St. Lucie | 7,687 | 70 days | -4.4% |
| Lake | 6,800 | 64 days | -1.3% |
| Pasco | 6,693 | 51 days | -5.3% |
Community-level MLS statistics aggregated per county (median across communities; closings as recorded). Individual communities within a county vary widely — check your community’s own page for its numbers.
The case for selling now — from the data
Homes are transacting in volume at 46–72 day market times — this is a functioning market, not a frozen one. Prices in most counties drifted down over the past year, which means waiting has not been paid; a seller who waited from last August to this August in Lee County saw the median community price fall 7.1% while paying another year of taxes, insurance, and upkeep. And if your next move is also a Florida purchase, you buy your replacement home with the same buyer-side leverage you’re granting your buyer.
The case for waiting — honestly stated
If you don’t need to move, have low carrying costs, hold a mortgage rate you’d surrender, or sit in one of the communities still appreciating (they exist — county medians hide wide spreads), waiting can be rational. What the data does not support is waiting specifically because a better 2027 is assumed: this page makes no forecast, and anyone who promises one is selling something.
If you do list: what separates sold from failed
The 201,552 failed listings are the tuition other sellers already paid: 71.6% cut price and still failed — late corrections rarely catch a declining market — and the median failure was pulled at day 92. Price against the last 90 days of closed sales, correct early and decisively if showings stall, and get your true payoff picture first with our seller net-proceeds tool. The deeper dive: why listings fail in Florida.
No 2027 forecast, no “guaranteed sale,” and no algorithmic estimate of your home’s value. If you want a number, we prepare a records-based valuation by hand from your community’s actual closings — start here — and a personalized seller report with your community’s own DOM, price direction, and failed-ask data.
A records-based listing net sheet from your community’s actual closings — and where available, written cash-offer interest to hold next to it. No algorithm, no obligation.
Methodology: "failed listings" are MLS records that ended Canceled, Expired, or Withdrawn without a recorded closing, deduplicated to one record per listing, across the MLS feeds Momentum Realty licenses statewide, for the 12 months ending August 15, 2026. County market figures aggregate per-community MLS statistics (median community days-on-market and median community 1-year price change, weighted view; closings counts as recorded). Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. This page is general information, not advice about any specific property, and figures change as new records post.