Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Hillsborough County
GUERNSEY ESTATES (TAMPA, FL): 16 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-08-02, a 14-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 95.0% of original asking; the median sale took 49 days (window ending 2026-08-02).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $452,500 | $293 | 49 | 95.0% | 16 |
| 2025 | $540,000 | $317 | 6 | 99.1% | 12 |
| 2024 | $507,400 | $322 | 6 | 99.1% | 14 |
| 2023 | $480,000 | $321 | 16 | 95.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | $450,000 | $275 | 6 | 98.8% | 19 |
| 2021 | $465,000 | $255 | 5 | 100.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | $300,000 | $199 | 58 | 89.9% | 3 |
| 2018 | $287,500 | $181 | 14 | 97.2% | 4 |
| 2017 | $255,000 | $171 | 36 | 97.0% | 19 |
| 2016 | $247,500 | $164 | 17 | 94.0% | 17 |
| 2015 | $220,000 | $138 | 70 | 92.3% | 27 |
| 2014 | $225,000 | $126 | 32 | 94.9% | 15 |
| 2013 | $173,500 | $117 | 39 | 95.4% | 12 |
| 2012 | $170,450 | $98 | 16 | 94.1% | 6 |
Over the recorded series, GUERNSEY ESTATES’s median sold price moved from $170,450 (2012) to $452,500 (12 months ending 2026-08-02) — +165% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $170,450. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — GUERNSEY ESTATES’s median moved +50% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2025 peak of $540,000, the current median stands at -16%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 27 closings a year (10-yr average 9.5). With roughly 9.5 closings a year, GUERNSEY ESTATES’s medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure above.
What actually trades here: 100% single-family residence, with a median of 1,603 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $293 in the current window.
Of the 36 recorded GUERNSEY ESTATES closings since 2024, half landed between $386,750 and $559,000 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $275,000 and the highest $1,460,000. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $325,000 | 4 (11%) | |
| $325,000 – $433,333 | 8 (22%) | |
| $433,333 – $541,667 | 11 (31%) | |
| $541,667 – $650,000 | 10 (28%) | |
| None and up | 3 (8%) |
The same recorded closings, split into thirds by living area. Find the row your home falls in: the $/sqft figure times your square footage is the recorded-sales bracket for homes like yours here — a starting range from real closings, not a valuation of your specific property. Smaller homes here have been selling at a higher price per square foot than larger ones ($354 vs $309) — the usual pattern, since lot, kitchen and baths do not scale with floor area.
| Size group | Median $/sqft | Median sold | Sold range | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smaller homes 968–1,485 sq ft | $354 | $417,500 | $275,000 – $570,000 | 12 |
| Mid-size homes 1,536–1,709 sq ft | $301 | $490,000 | $299,500 – $640,000 | 12 |
| Larger homes 1,742–3,903 sq ft | $309 | $571,000 | $295,000 – $1,460,000 | 12 |
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-09-03: The homes listed or recently sold were built between 1958 and 1959 (median 1959); 7 of 7 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sit inside a FEMA special flood hazard zone (A/V), which buyers’ lenders will price into insurance; median elevation 6 ft. See the current GUERNSEY ESTATES listings →
At GUERNSEY ESTATES’s $452,500 median and Hillsborough County’s adopted 15.73 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $7,120 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $6,490 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Hillsborough County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $400,000 against the $452,500 recorded sold median (-12%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 2.4 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 0% of GUERNSEY ESTATES’s listings are under contract, against 23% for ZIP 33611 and 25% for Hillsborough County as a whole — the community is currently absorbing slower than its surroundings, which is negotiating information. Since 2004, 132 GUERNSEY ESTATES listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (3 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 52% of GUERNSEY ESTATES listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 20%. Momentum’s market-heat index for GUERNSEY ESTATES reads 34/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 39% of recorded GUERNSEY ESTATES sales in the window ending 2026-06 (7 of 18) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. Asking prices here currently sit -12% under the recorded sold median — sellers are pricing to move, and the closed record above is the number a buyer's appraiser will see.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping GUERNSEY ESTATES are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REGENCY COVE A COOPERATIVE | $103,500 | $134 | 99 | 16 |
| BAYBRIDGE REV | $517,500 | $310 | 74 | 6 |
| BEL MAR SHORES REV | $1,050,000 | $421 | 38 | 15 |
| NORMA PARK SUB | $477,450 | $310 | 46 | 8 |
| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Hillsborough County Public Schools (verify by address) | Public | — |
| Confirm zoned elementary, middle, and high | By address | — |
| Magnet and choice options may apply | Choice | — |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More GUERNSEY ESTATES: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2004 through 2026. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.