Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Hillsborough County
Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico (VALRICO, FL): 3 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-07-15, a 9-year price record, and the year-by-year record — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, median closings ran near original asking (100.0%); the median sale took 10 days (window ending 2026-07-15).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $560,000 | $227 | 10 | 100.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | $529,000 | $229 | 158 | 94.5% | 3 |
| 2024 | $550,000 | $219 | 44 | 93.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | $305,000 | $125 | 14 | 100.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | $268,900 | $113 | 19 | 98.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | $275,000 | $111 | 11 | 97.7% | 13 |
| 2015 | $257,500 | $98 | 40 | 92.2% | 8 |
| 2013 | $227,000 | $98 | 120 | 98.3% | 3 |
| 2012 | $240,000 | $96 | 75 | 88.3% | 3 |
Over the recorded series, Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico’s median sold price moved from $240,000 (2012) to $560,000 (12 months ending 2026-07-15) — +133% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $240,000. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 13 closings a year (10-yr average 3). With roughly 3 closings a year, Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico’s medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure above.
What actually trades here: 100% single-family residence, with a median of 2,440 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $227 in the current window.
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-09-03: The homes listed or recently sold were built between 1987 and 1993 (median 1989); 7 of 7 listed or recently sold homes report an HOA, median $39/mo; 2 of 6 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sit inside a FEMA special flood hazard zone (A/V), which buyers’ lenders will price into insurance; median elevation 35 ft; the features listings here most often name are Deed Restrictions, Park, Playground, Basketball Court and Recreation Facilities. See the current Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico listings →
At Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico’s $560,000 median and Hillsborough County’s adopted 15.73 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $8,810 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $8,180 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Hillsborough County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $589,500 against the $560,000 recorded sold median (+5%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 4.8 months of supply at the current sales pace. Since 2006, 57 Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 47% of Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 0%. Momentum’s market-heat index for Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico reads 80/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 0% of recorded Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico sales in the window ending 2026-06 (0 of 3) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. Asking and recorded sold prices are within a few percent of each other here, so the table above is close to what a Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico buyer will actually pay; the spread on any single home comes down to size, condition and timing.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RANCH ROAD GROVES UNIT 2B | $513,500 | $214 | 32 | 6 |
| CANTERBURY OAKS | $701,100 | $233 | 16 | 3 |
| BUCKHORN PRESERVE PH 3 | $398,000 | $202 | 21 | 15 |
| TRAILS AT DURANT | $585,000 | $211 | 42 | 3 |
| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Lithia Springs Elementary School (verify by address) | Public | A (2025-26) |
| Mulrennan Middle School (verify by address) | Public | A (2025-26) |
| Bloomingdale High School (verify by address) | Public | A (2025-26) |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More Lithia Ridge Ph I Valrico: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period %s through %s. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.