Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Clay County
Buying here? See Pace Island homes for sale and the Pace Island community guide (Fleming Island).
Pace Island (Fleming Island, FL): 31 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-10-01, a 15-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 97.6% of original asking; the median sale took 21 days (window ending 2026-10-01).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $460,000 | $223 | 21 | 97.6% | 31 |
| 2025 | $535,000 | $228 | 23 | 97.6% | 19 |
| 2024 | $545,000 | $227 | 32 | 96.9% | 27 |
| 2023 | $473,750 | $207 | 48 | 93.7% | 22 |
| 2022 | $492,500 | $222 | 17 | 100.0% | 24 |
| 2021 | $395,300 | $173 | 15 | 100.0% | 37 |
| 2020 | $354,750 | $148 | 27 | 97.9% | 30 |
| 2019 | $341,250 | $138 | 36 | 96.5% | 30 |
| 2018 | $306,000 | $128 | 34 | 97.8% | 36 |
| 2017 | $264,926 | $126 | 29 | 96.8% | 28 |
| 2016 | $322,000 | $124 | 35 | 96.8% | 32 |
| 2015 | $281,500 | $114 | 55 | 94.6% | 29 |
| 2014 | $259,500 | $114 | 68 | 94.7% | 26 |
| 2013 | $235,000 | $108 | 41 | 95.7% | 21 |
| 2012 | $225,500 | $98 | 87 | 90.3% | 22 |
Over the recorded series, Pace Island’s median sold price moved from $225,500 (2012) to $460,000 (12 months ending 2026-10-01) — +104% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $225,500. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Pace Island’s median moved +44% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2024 peak of $545,000, the current median stands at -16%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 19 to 37 closings a year (10-yr average 28.4).
Of the 72 recorded Pace Island closings since 2024, half landed between $443,750 and $587,000 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $235,000 and the highest $2,225,000. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $375,000 | 6 (8%) | |
| $375,000 – $500,000 | 27 (38%) | |
| $500,000 – $625,000 | 23 (32%) | |
| $625,000 – $750,000 | 8 (11%) | |
| None and up | 8 (11%) |
The same recorded closings, split into thirds by living area. Find the row your home falls in: the $/sqft figure times your square footage is the recorded-sales bracket for homes like yours here — a starting range from real closings, not a valuation of your specific property. Price per square foot is nearly flat across sizes here ($224 to $225), so square footage alone explains most of the price spread.
| Size group | Median $/sqft | Median sold | Sold range | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smaller homes 1,429–2,184 sq ft | $224 | $425,000 | $235,000 – $550,000 | 24 |
| Mid-size homes 2,185–2,489 sq ft | $228 | $532,500 | $440,000 – $635,000 | 24 |
| Larger homes 2,493–6,048 sq ft | $225 | $662,500 | $415,000 – $2,225,000 | 24 |
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-10-01: The homes listed or recently sold were built between 1989 and 2007 (median 1995); 19 of 19 listed or recently sold homes report an HOA, median $200/mo; none of the 19 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sits in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 11 ft); the features listings here most often name are Tennis Court(s), Gated, Playground, Basketball Court, Jogging Path and Clubhouse. See the current Pace Island listings →
At Pace Island’s $460,000 median and Clay County’s adopted 15.05 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $6,920 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $6,330 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Clay County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $510,000 against the $460,000 recorded sold median (+11%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 1.2 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 62% of Pace Island’s listings are under contract, against 31% for ZIP 32003 and 25% for Clay County as a whole — the community is absorbing faster than its surroundings. Momentum’s market-heat index for Pace Island reads 51/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
With asking prices running +11% over the recorded sold median, a Pace Island listing priced against the closed record above stands out against its competition; one priced against the asking crowd joins the statewide list of homes that never sold.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping Pace Island are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peters Creek | $410,000 | $209 | 24 | 7 |
| Harbor Island | $365,000 | $193 | 40 | 9 |
| Eagle Harbor | $564,750 | $215 | 21 | 98 |
| Neilhurst | $650,000 | $265 | 50 | 3 |
| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island Elementary (Clay) | Public PreK-6 | A (2025-26) |
| Lakeside Junior High (Clay) | Public 7-9 | A (2025-26) |
| Fleming Island High School (Clay) | Public 9-12 | A (2025-26) |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More Pace Island: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Source: Data provided by realMLS. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.