Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Pasco County
Every figure below is from recorded MLS closings in SIERRA PINES UNREC (LUTZ, FL) — not an algorithm’s estimate. Medians, the 10-year price history, market time, and what the record says about selling here now. Window ending 2026-08-02; refreshes as new closings record.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 91.7% of original asking; the median sale took 21 days (window ending 2026-08-02).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $420,000 | $208 | 21 | 11 |
| 2025 | $315,000 | $181 | 3 | 4 |
| 2024 | $495,000 | $266 | 14 | 7 |
| 2022 | $274,000 | $189 | 5 | 8 |
| 2019 | $275,000 | $130 | 80 | 3 |
| 2017 | $256,500 | $120 | 12 | 10 |
| 2016 | $170,000 | $75 | 21 | 15 |
| 2015 | $194,000 | $88 | 34 | 6 |
| 2014 | $232,500 | $118 | 39 | 3 |
| 2013 | $310,000 | $128 | 94 | 4 |
Over the recorded series, SIERRA PINES UNREC’s median sold price moved from $310,000 (2013) to $420,000 (12 months ending 2026-08-02) — +35% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2013 at $310,000. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — SIERRA PINES UNREC’s median moved -0% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2024 peak of $495,000, the current median stands at -15%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 15 closings a year (10-yr average 4.7). Small-community medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure in the table above.
What actually trades here: 65% single family residence, 22% manufactured home - post 1977, 8% mobile home - pre 1976, 4% manufactured home, 0% ?, 0% modular home, with a median of 1,884 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $208 in the current window. Price-per-square-foot is the cleaner yardstick when comparing your home to the medians — it corrects for the size mix in any given year.
Since 2004, 128 SIERRA PINES UNREC listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (1 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 64% of SIERRA PINES UNREC listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 12%. Momentum’s market-heat index for SIERRA PINES UNREC reads 62/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 55% of recorded SIERRA PINES UNREC sales in the window ending 2026-06 (6 of 11) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. For buyers, the same table reads the other way: the sold medians above are what the market has actually been paying — an asking price meaningfully above the recent closed record, in a community absorbing at the rates shown, is an opening position, not a value.
The pattern in the statewide failure data applies here too: homes priced against the latest closed sales sell; homes priced against hope join the 201,552 that didn’t. The table above is the closed-sale record to price against.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A Momentum agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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More SIERRA PINES UNREC: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2005 through 2026. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures