Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE, WINTER PARK, FL 32789
Sources: Stellar MLS (listings + 12-mo closed sales), FEMA, modeled insurance. Interpretation: Momentum Research. Data notes
As of September 12, 2026, Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE in Karolina On Killarney, Winter Park is listed at $918,000 (2,662 sq ft, about $345 per sq ft). That is 90% above Karolina On Killarney's median closed sale of $483,000 over the last 12 months (8 recorded sales). It has been 147 days on market, longer than the community's typical 33 days to contract. Listing facts: new construction, no HOA. The parcel maps to FEMA flood zone X, outside the special flood hazard area. Figures are from the MLS record and county data; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
- No CDD assessment on record
- New construction — built 2025
- 2,662 sq ft of living area
- 2-car garage
- Listed at $918,000 — recent neighborhood median sale price ~$483,000 (nearby sales; deemed reliable, not an appraisal)
- 147 days on market
- HOA ~$50/mo (estimate; confirm)
Pricing & the Karolina On Killarney Winter Park market
How this home is priced against recent nearby sales, and where Karolina On Killarney Winter Park has been over 25 years. Momentum Research analysis of Stellar MLS records; closed sales, deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Estimates only; see data notes.
This home’s $/sq ft vs. nearby sales
List $/sq ft against recent nearby closed sales; the community median is marked.
Price vs. size in Karolina On Killarney Winter Park
Each dot is a closed sale since 2005 (42 total). This home is the gold marker.
Sale price (y) by living area in sq ft (x). Stellar MLS closed sales.
Median $/sq ft by year
Community sold $/sq ft, 2015–2026. This home lists at $345/sq ft.
Median sale price by year
12-month median closed price, 2015–2026.
This home’s history
- 2025BuiltPer public record
- Jul 10, 2026First trackedObserved at $944,890
- Aug 4, 2026Price cut$918,000
- NowActiveCurrently for sale
Build year is from public record. Listing milestones reflect movewithmomentum.com’s own observations since we began tracking this listing and are not the MLS listing history; dates and prices are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Estimated monthly payment
- Principal & interest $4,768/mo 81%
- Taxes $803/mo 14%
- Insurance $247/mo 4%
- HOA $50/mo 1%
$5,869/mo at 20% down, 30-yr @ 6.76% · edit any field to update.
Editable estimate — not a loan offer. Estimates only; see data & estimate notes.
Momentum Property Score
49/100 is below average across the objective indicators below. It reflects only those measures — not the home’s quality, condition, or desirability.
A 0-100 score built from objective property and market data: flood risk, insurance, pricing, supply, affordability, and recent sales. Higher means more measures line up in a buyer’s favor. It reflects only the factors below.
Momentum Scores are objective, rules-based indicators computed from listing facts, public records, and recent nearby sales. They are not appraisals, valuations, investment advice, or judgments about a neighborhood or who should live there. Verify independently.
The Momentum read
🟡 Balanced conditions around this listing. 2.7 months of supply in the surrounding market and 147 days on market for this home, against a 34-day area median.Days on market:this home 147Area median: 34 daysWhy it matters: above-median time on market, together with the level of supply, is a clear sign of how much leverage sits with buyers.Momentum Research interpretation of the MLS facts in the snapshot above. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2005 through 2026. As of September 12, 2026.
🟡 Asking $345 per square foot, about 4% above the community’s $333 median. Karolina On Killarney Winter Park’s 12-month median sold price per square foot is $333. Median sold price per square foot is down 48.6% year over year. Confidence: Medium · 8 closed sales in 12 monthsMLS facts: Stellar MLS closed sales. A per-square-foot gap is context, not an appraisal; condition, lot, and view set the final number here.
50% of homes in Karolina On Killarney Winter Park are owner-occupied. An estimated 50% are non-owner-occupied, including 13% held in a company or trust and 100% out-of-state owners.Why it matters: a high owner-occupied share typically means fewer rentals nearby and steadier resale demand.Source: Florida Department of Revenue 2025 assessment roll (public records), 85 homes matched. Community-level context.
Recent Karolina On Killarney Winter Park sales closed near 98.9% of original asking.Why it matters: the community’s own record shows how far opening prices typically move, and how often buyers compete without financing.Momentum Research analysis of Stellar MLS records, community-level, 12 months ending September 12, 2026. Aggregates only; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What’s unique here: one of only 2 active listings in Karolina On Killarney Winter Park, no CDD assessment.
Jump to: About this home · Every number, sourced · Monthly cost · Flood & risk · History · FAQ
Updated September 12, 2026 · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
About this home
Pre-Construction. To be built. This is your final opportunity to build a custom home in one of Winter Park’s most sought-after pockets.
Set on a 6,748 sq ft lot, this brand-new 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath residence offers 2,662 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space, blending clean modern architecture with the comfort and functionality today’s buyers expect. Crisp lines, open-concept living, and intentional design create a home that feels both elevated and livable. What makes this opportunity truly unique: this is the last remaining homesite within a curated collection of three custom builds—each thoughtfully designed with its own architectural identity, yet unified in creating a refined, cohesive streetscape.
The other two homes are already underway, making this your only chance to secure a position in this limited offering. Located just 6 minutes from Park Avenue, you’re moments from Winter Park’s best—boutique shopping, award-winning dining, and everyday conveniences—while also being close to top-rated hospitals and major thoroughfares. Offered as a custom build, this home allows you to tailor finishes, selections, and details to match your vision.
Pricing reflects the base build, with upgrade options available to create a fully personalized end product. With new construction opportunities in 32789 at this price point becoming increasingly scarce, offerings like this are few and far between—especially with the ability to fully customize your home from the ground up.
Description provided by COMPASS FLORIDA LLC and reproduced from the MLS; not independently verified.
Every fact, sourced
Listing data, public records, our calculations, and what to verify — each fact shown once. Estimates and calculations shown are for general information only, are not appraisals or advice, and should be independently verified.
Listing facts MLS
Public records & third-party data
Calculated estimates
Buyer should verify Buyer verify
Provided via the Stellar MLS Internet Data Exchange, as distributed by MLS GRID · Listings courtesy of Stellar MLS as distributed by MLS GRID · Listings courtesy of Stellar MLS as distributed by MLS GRID. · deemed reliable but not guaranteedIDX information is provided exclusively for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate.The Messtimate
This is a deliberately dumb estimate — living area times a range of recent neighborhood $/sq ft, and nothing else. It is not an appraisal, not market value, and not a valuation of this home. Even a tight range from comparable sales can’t price a specific home — here’s why.
Actual list price: $918,000 — compare it against the range above. The Messtimate is a blind sqft estimate; the list price reflects this specific home.
A 31% spread on the same house — and that gap is exactly what an automated guess can't see:
- Condition & finishes — as new construction, builder upgrades and finish level aren't in a sq ft number.
- The lot & views — a premium golf, water, or preserve lot vs. a road-facing one: same sq ft, very different price.
- Outliers skew it — the band above comes from 5 nearby sales; one flip or distressed sale moves the whole $/sq ft.
- Carrying costs & concessions — CDD, HOA, insurance, and seller-paid buydowns change what a buyer actually pays.
And here's what the live market is doing — which the number above ignores entirely:
- This home: 147 days on market vs. a 34-day community median
- 2 active listings competing
- ≈2.7 months of supply
- 9 closed here in the last 12 months
For reference, this home is listed at $918,000 ($345/sq ft) — a number set with analysis a Messtimate can't do.
Selling your own home? Try the Messtimate on your address →
Methodology: 2,662 sq ft × $275–$359/sq ft from recent nearby closed sales (public records). Estimate for general information only; not an appraisal, valuation, or offer. Updated September 12, 2026.
Similar homes for sale near KAROLINA ON KILLARNEY
Active listings nearby at a comparable size and price. Listings held by brokerages other than Momentum Realty are marked with the listing broker. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Price & listing history
Building permits
Flood zone & elevation
Sourced environmental data for the parcel. Confirm with FEMA and your insurer.
From the FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer. In this zone lender-required flood insurance is generally not mandated; confirm for the parcel.
Approximate parcel elevation from USGS; confirm exact elevation with a survey.
This is a coastal Florida county. Premiums and coverage vary by home; obtain a quote from a licensed insurer.
Internet & broadband
AT&T Fiber covers much of NE Florida; confirm availability at the address.
Xfinity/Spectrum cable broadband is widely available.
T-Mobile / Verizon fixed-wireless as a backup option.
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Listed by COMPASS FLORIDA LLC · MLS # O6387812
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Recent sales activity in KAROLINA ON KILLARNEY
Recent comparable closed sales near this home, from public records. Summary figures are for general reference only and are not a valuation of this property. See the KAROLINA ON KILLARNEY neighborhood guide for more.
Recent nearby closings in the data set.
Canonical 12-month median closed price. Reference only.
Canonical 12-month median $/sq ft. Reference only.
Go deeper on KAROLINA ON KILLARNEY
See schools, amenities, builders, HOA/CDD detail, and every active & sold home in the community — the single biggest advantage of buying here over a portal.
Assigned schools
Schools currently assigned to this address in Orange County, provided as neutral factual data. Assignments can change — confirm current zoning with the school district. This is not a statement about the home's suitability for any person or family.
Assigned schools per the MLS listing — assignments can change; confirm current zoning with the district. Browse school-zone pages →
Comparable recent sales
Recent closed sales nearby, with photos, so you can compare. Sold prices are public record, deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Community 12-month median: $333/sq ft. Shown for general reference only — this is not an appraisal or a statement of this home's value. Sold prices are public record and deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Investment snapshot
Objective rental and cash-flow estimates for a buyer weighing this as an investment. Rough figures for general information only — not a guarantee of rent, an appraisal, or investment advice. Verify independently.
Buyer research checklist
Items worth confirming for Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE, chosen from what the record shows. This is general guidance, not advice about this specific property.
- New construction: get the builder's warranty terms and the certificate of occupancy in writing, and ask which finishes shown are upgrades.
- The listing reports no HOA: confirm with the county record that no deed restrictions or mandatory association apply to this parcel.
- FEMA flood zone X: flood insurance is not usually required, but get a quote anyway — FEMA reports roughly one in four flood claims come from outside high-risk zones.
- Get a homeowners insurance quote for this specific address in Orange County; a wind-mitigation inspection and, on older homes, a four-point inspection can change the premium.
- Listed living area is 2,662 sq ft: verify it against the property appraiser's record and measure before relying on it.
- Order a survey to confirm lot boundaries and easements.
- Review permit history with the county.
- Property taxes: the estimate on this page (about $9,639/yr) assumes reassessment at the list price; the seller's homestead cap does not transfer, so their current bill is not a guide.
- School zoning shown here comes from district data and changes; confirm the assigned schools directly with the district before relying on them.
Approximate distances
Approximate drive times for general reference only.
Groceries, dining, and parks for this city — see the city guide.
Schools, taxes, and services are county-administered — see the county guide.
View →Amenities and HOA/CDD detail on the neighborhood guide.
View →Data sources & freshness
| Listing record | Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily (last: September 12, 2026) |
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, as of September 12, 2026 |
| Flood zone & elevation | FEMA flood maps + USGS elevation (Zone X shown above) |
| Taxes & monthly cost | Estimated from county rates; not a quote |
| Insurance figure | Modeled estimate; obtain a real quote before offering |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments; verify with the district |
Momentum Research lines are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Estimates are informational, not appraisals or advice. Methodology: how Momentum scores are computed.
Frequently asked questions
How big is Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE and when was it built?
Per the listing record, Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE was built in 2025 and has 2,662 sq ft of living area, 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. Living area and lot size come from the MLS record and should be verified against the county property appraiser.
What community is Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE in?
Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE is in Karolina On Killarney in Winter Park, Orange County. The community section on this page shows recent closed sales, days on market, and active inventory for Karolina On Killarney from the same MLS data.
Does Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE have an HOA?
The listing reports no HOA. Confirm with the county record that no deed restrictions or mandatory association apply to the parcel.
Why might property taxes on Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE differ from the current owner's?
The estimate on this page (about $9,639 per year) assumes reassessment at the list price. Florida's Save Our Homes rule caps annual assessment increases for homesteaded owners, and the assessment resets after a sale, so a new owner's bill may differ from the seller's. Any tax figure shown here is an estimate, not the actual bill — confirm with the county property appraiser and tax collector.
Is Lot #21 KAROLINA AVE in a flood zone?
The FEMA flood map places this parcel in Zone X, outside the special flood hazard area, so flood insurance is not usually required by a lender. It is still available and worth quoting; confirm the parcel's status with FEMA and your insurer.
Can I rely on the figures on this page?
No. Estimated taxes, insurance, payments, and any market or comparable-sales summary are opinions and estimates for general information only and should not be relied upon. Verify all information independently before making any decision.
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Opinion & estimate — do not rely on this page. Any figure on this page that is not a verbatim fact from the listing or a public record — including estimated property taxes, insurance, CDD/HOA amounts, mortgage payments, comparable-sales summaries, and market statistics — is an opinion and estimate provided for general informational purposes only. These figures may be inaccurate or out of date, are not appraisals, valuations, or financial, legal, tax, or investment advice, and should not be relied upon. Do not make any purchase, offer, financing, or other decision based on this page. Independently verify everything — price, square footage, lot size, year built, taxes, CDD/HOA, flood status, school assignments, permits, and community rules — with the listing broker, the county, your lender, a licensed inspector, an insurer, and your own advisors before acting.
Estimate methodology. Tax estimates apply a typical county millage rate to the list price and will differ from the actual assessed bill. Cost and market figures are derived from available data and simple calculations, not a professional appraisal. We make no representation that any estimate reflects fair market value.
Equal Housing Opportunity. Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated sources and may contain errors or be out of date. It is general information only, not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify information independently before relying on it. Momentum Realty supports the Fair Housing Act and does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, sexual orientation, or gender identity. Information about schools, distances, and amenities is provided as neutral factual data to help you research the property and is not a statement about who should or should not live here or the suitability of the home or neighborhood for any person or group. School data may change — confirm current assignments with the school district.
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Automated content. Some summaries, distances, and estimates on this page are generated automatically from public and proprietary data sources and may contain errors or omissions. We strive for accuracy but cannot guarantee the completeness or accuracy of any information. Verify anything important independently.
No warranty; measurements & photos. No guarantee, warranty, or representation of any kind is made regarding the completeness or accuracy of any information, descriptions, or measurements on this page — including square-footage measurements and property condition — all of which should be independently verified through appropriate means, including in-person inspection and public records. Photographs may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions. Momentum Realty and its agents expressly disclaim any liability in connection with the information provided.
MLS / IDX. The data relating to real estate for sale on this web site comes in part from the Internet Data Exchange (IDX) program of the Stellar MLS Internet Data Exchange, as distributed by MLS GRID. Real estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Momentum Realty are marked with the listing broker's name and include the name of the listing agent. Data provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. The information being provided is for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Source: Stellar MLS, as distributed by MLS GRID. Listings courtesy of Stellar MLS as distributed by MLS GRID. All rights reserved.
Listing data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and is subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Square footage and lot size are approximate. Real estate brokerage services provided by Momentum Realty, licensed in Florida and Georgia. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC.