Mirabella Jacksonville
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Mirabella is a condition-driven market, not a headline-price market. The median sits at $171,450 and the median runs about $152 per square foot, but the single most useful thing to know is that a wide spread hides behind that midpoint — what a given unit closes for depends heavily on finishes, updates, and floor plan rather than a rising tide lifting everything.
The posture right now is soft. Prices are off 7.3% year over year, the median sits on market around 41 days, and the heat score of 24 tells you buyers have time to think. Sellers should price to the current comps rather than last year's, and buyers have room to negotiate on condition — but note the closing sample is thin, so a single unusual sale can move the median more than a real trend would.
Mirabella Jacksonville right now
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($171K) is down 7.3% from the prior 12 months ($185K) and up 145% since 2012. With about 29 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11. Confidence: High (19 and 22 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 11, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Mirabella Jacksonville market snapshot (as of July 11, 2026): the median sale price is about $171K ($152 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 41 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 7% from the prior 12 months and up 145% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (19 closings in the current window).
Mirabella is an entry-priced Jacksonville community in Duval County where value tracks condition more than square footage; the long arc is up roughly 145% since 2012, but the last year has cooled meaningfully.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 11 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($171K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($185K) IS the -7.3% one-year change.
Windows contain 11 to 47 sales each (19 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Duval County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Duval County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
27% of homes for sale in ZIP 32246 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-10).
Reading a thin, cooling market
Two numbers deserve caution together: only 19 closings in the window and a 7.3% year-over-year decline. A small sample means the median is easy to skew, so treat it as a starting point for pricing conversations, not gospel. Pull the specific comps that match a unit's condition and layout before anchoring to any figure.
The longer view is more reassuring than the short one. A roughly 145% gain since 2012 shows this has been a durable place to own over time, even as the current stretch works through softer demand. For a buyer, that combination — patient market, negotiable pricing, real time on the market — is an opportunity to be selective. For a seller, it argues for sharp pricing and move-in-ready condition to stand out.
Why work with Momentum here
In a market this thin, the median can mislead. We build pricing off condition-matched comps rather than the community average, which matters most when a handful of sales set the tone. Whether you are negotiating on a unit that needs work or positioning one that is updated, we help you read what the number is actually telling you.
Mirabella Jacksonville in 15 seconds.
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Frequently Asked Questions
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An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11, 2026 |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-10 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2006 (718 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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