Neilhurst
Homes for Sale in Fleming Island, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Price in Neilhurst is driven by the house itself, not a uniform product. With a build range spanning from the mid-1940s through 2022 and a median year built around 1999, you are comparing renovated older homes against newer construction on the same street, and the median living area of roughly 3,250 square feet tells you these are substantial houses. The median sits at $1,050,000 and the median price per square foot near $360 — but condition and vintage account for most of the spread, so two listings at similar sizes can price very differently.
The market posture is mixed and worth reading carefully. The median days on market of about 34 is neither hot nor stalled, and a heat score of 60 says there is real activity without frenzy. The year-over-year median is down about 28.8 percent, but the closings window here is only four sales — that is a thin sample, and one or two atypical closings can swing the number hard. Sellers should price to the current comparable, not last year's headline; buyers should not assume the drop signals a trend without deeper support.
Neilhurst right now
🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($1.05M) is down 28.8% from the prior 12 months ($1.48M). With about 3 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11. Confidence: Low (4 and 3 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 11, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Neilhurst market snapshot (as of July 11, 2026): the median sale price is about $1.05M ($360 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 35 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 29% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (4 closings in the current window).
Neilhurst is a community of 90 homes in Fleming Island, Clay County, built between 1945 and 2022 (median 1999.0), with a median living area of about 3,248 square feet. 76% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Neilhurst is a small, established pocket of Fleming Island in Clay County where a wide vintage range and generous home sizes produce genuine variety in both product and price. With roughly 76 percent of homes homesteaded, turnover is limited and inventory tends to be selective rather than abundant.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 11 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($1.05M) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($1.48M) IS the -28.8% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 8 sales each (4 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Clay County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Clay County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
34% of homes for sale in ZIP 32003 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-10).
Reading a thin, high-median market
The headline here is scale of home, not volume of sales. With about 90 homes total and a median living area near 3,250 square feet, Neilhurst is a low-density enclave of larger houses, and the roughly 76 percent homestead share signals owners who tend to stay. That combination keeps active listings scarce, which is why the four-sale closings window matters: pricing has to lean on individual comparables and condition, because there simply are not many recent trades to average against.
The build range from 1945 to 2022 is the other defining feature. A buyer will find genuinely old homes and near-new construction within the same community, and the median price per square foot of about $360 masks how much a renovation or an original interior can move a specific number. Do the work on each property rather than trusting the community median as a valuation shortcut.
Why work with Momentum here
A market this thin punishes lazy pricing in both directions. With only four recent closings and a build range that puts 1945 next to 2022, we underwrite each home on its own condition and comparables rather than leaning on a community median that can mislead. That discipline protects sellers from mispricing and keeps buyers from overpaying on a number that a single atypical sale can distort.
Neilhurst in 15 seconds.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Neilhurst?
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What share of Neilhurst is owner-occupied?
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Should you buy in Neilhurst?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (2 streets, ZIP 32003)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-10 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2004 (53 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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