Florida Housing Data · Market Scorecard

Gulf County housing scorecard.

Everything the paid data sites charge for, free and built for Florida: home value, rent, cap rate, 5-year growth, price versus incomes, overvaluation and our 0 to 100 Momentum Market Score, from Zillow, Realtor.com and Census data.

Sources: Zillow Research, Realtor.com, U.S. Census, Freddie Mac/FRED. Score by Momentum Realty (methodology).
Updated 2026-08-01
28/ 100
Momentum Market Score
#57of 67 Florida counties for buyer value
Frothy
Gulf County is expensive against incomes and tight for buyers.

The typical home costs about 6.08 times the local median income, about 23.5% richer than the Florida norm, so value is stretched here. Gross rent yield is around 8.84%. Values are up roughly 5.0% a year over the last five years. Owning the typical home at today's 6.52% 30-year rate takes about 37.0% of a median income in principal and interest, the affordability squeeze in one number. Add the average Citizens homeowners premium (about $179 a month) and property taxes (about $111 a month) and the monthly cost to own runs near $2,365. About 19.1% of listings have cut their price.

Gulf County housing market, in one paragraph

As of 2026-08-01, in Gulf County, the typical home is worth $409,562; up about 5.0% a year over five years; typical rent is about $3,016 a month; the Momentum Market Score is 28/100 (expensive against incomes and tight for buyers); the market looks about 24% overvalued; the average Citizens insurance premium is about $2,147 a year. Data from Zillow, Realtor.com, the U.S. Census and Citizens Property Insurance; scores by Momentum Realty.

$409,562
Home value
1yr -2.9%
5.0%
5yr growth/yr
ZHVI CAGR
$3,016
Median rent
monthly (ZORI)
8.84%
Cap rate
gross yield
6.08x
Price to income
value vs incomes
+23.5%
Over/undervalued
vs FL norm
37.0%
Affordability
income to own/yr
90
Days on market
median (Realtor)
19.1%
Price cuts
share of listings
$67,361
Median income
household (Census)
14,772
Population
Census ACS
60
New listings
last month

Typical home value, last 13 months

Ten years ago the typical home here was about $200,761; today it is $409,562.

Gulf vs Florida average

MetricGulfFL avg
Buyer-value score2850
Typical home value$409,562$336,033
Price cuts19.1%24.6%
Income to own37.0%30.9%
Cost to own / mo$2,365/mo$2,005/mo

Green = the more buyer-friendly figure. “FL avg” is the unweighted mean across all 67 Florida counties. “Income to own” is principal & interest only; “cost to own” adds the average Citizens homeowners premium and property taxes at the current 6.52% 30-year rate, 20% down.

Quick answers: is now a good time to buy in Gulf County, is it overvalued, and more.

Run the numbers for Gulf County: true monthly cost · rental underwrite · insurance check · property tax · compare vs another county.

What drives the score

Cheapness vs income9
Price-cut leverage11
Inventory growth36
Affordability9
Rent yield98

Each bar is this county ranked against every other Florida county (0 = lowest, 100 = highest) on that input, then weighted into the score. Higher overall = more buyer value and leverage. See the full methodology.

Momentum scores for Gulf

Three composite reads, each built from the labeled components below it (0 = lowest in Florida, 100 = highest). Every input is public and the formula is published, unlike the paywalled black-box versions elsewhere.

31/ 100
Long-Term Growth Score
Below average

10-year upside from appreciation, incomes, demographics, affordability and valuation.

Long-term appreciation67
Wealth / income53
Demographic growth3
Affordability9
Valuation9
52/ 100
Investor Score
Average

Rental-investor attractiveness from yield, rent growth, appreciation, demographics and valuation.

Long-term appreciation67
Cap rate98
Demographic growth3
Valuation9
42/ 100
Price Momentum
Below average

Near-term price direction signal from recent appreciation, days on market, inventory and price cuts. A momentum read, not a guaranteed forecast.

Recent appreciation20
Days on market11
Inventory64
Price cuts86
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Housing stock and economy in Gulf

80.3%
Homeownership
owner-occupied
19.7%
Renter share
renter-occupied
36.6%
Vacancy rate
vacant units
44.4%
Mortgaged homes
of owner units
24.5%
College degree
workforce, bachelor's+
8.8%
Remote work
work from home
9,142
Housing units
total (Census)

Housing tenure, vacancy, financing, education and remote work. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-Year. These figures describe the housing stock and economy of an area, not its residents. Momentum Realty does not steer buyers or sellers and complies fully with the Fair Housing Act.

Who is moving in and out of Gulf

In 2022 to 2023, Gulf County saw 603 households move in and 427 move out, a net of +176 households (+332 people). The households arriving reported about $110,403 in average income versus $66,944 for those leaving, so Gulf is pulling in higher earners. Net, +$38M of annual income moved into the county.

+176
Net households
moved in 2022-2023
+332
Net people
exemptions
+$38M
Net income flow
annual AGI
$110,403
Arriver income
vs $66,944 leaving

Households approximate tax returns; people approximate exemptions; income is total adjusted gross income. Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration, 2022 to 2023.

Property insurance in Gulf

Citizens, Florida's state-backed insurer of last resort, now covers 74 homes in Gulf County at an average premium of about $2,147 a year. That is roughly 0.8% of the county's housing units on the state plan, a direct read on how far private insurers have pulled back.

74
Citizens policies
in force
$2,147
Avg Citizens premium
per year
0.8%
On the state plan
of housing units

Figures cover Citizens Property Insurance (the state insurer of last resort), not the whole market, so they understate total private-market premiums while precisely tracking where coverage has become hardest to get. Source: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, Policies in Force by County, April 2026.

New construction pipeline in Gulf

In 2025, builders pulled permits for 302 new homes in Gulf County: 302 single-family and 0 in multifamily buildings. That is up 0.0% from the year before. At 20.4 permits per 1,000 residents, new supply here is well above the Florida pace.

302
New homes permitted
2025
302
Single-family
1-unit
0
Multifamily
2+ units
20.4
Per 1,000 residents
supply intensity

New homes permitted, 2021 to 2025

Privately-owned residential units authorized by building permits, reported plus imputed. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025.

ZIP-level scorecards in Gulf County

Zoom in from the county to any ZIP for its own home value, cap rate, overvaluation and buyer-value score (2 scored ZIP codes, highest score first):

Housing distress & ownership in Gulf

Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.

Active inventory in distress
0.0%
0 of 1 listings
Months of supply
0.0
seller’s market · active inventory ÷ sales pace (trailing 12 mo)
Out-of-state owners
34.8%
mailing address outside FL
Non-homestead
79.3%
not owner-occupied (investor/2nd-home proxy)
Median just value
$156,250
19,958 parcels
Median closed sale price — $391,900 · ▼ 16.6% yr (12-mo rolling)

Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Listing information provided by the Central Panhandle Association of REALTORS®. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period August 2026 through August 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

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Common questions

Is Gulf County a buyer's or seller's market?

By our Momentum Market Score, Gulf County reads frothy (28 out of 100), meaning it is expensive against incomes and tight for buyers. The score blends value versus local incomes, price cuts, inventory growth, affordability and rent yield.

How much is a home worth in Gulf County?

The typical home value is $409,562 (Zillow Home Value Index, 2026-08-01), up about 5.0% a year over the last five years.

Is Gulf County housing overvalued or undervalued?

On price versus the local long-term trend and incomes, Gulf County looks about 24% overvalued, with a price-to-income ratio of 6.08x. Overvaluation compares the current typical value to its own historical relationship with local income, not to other markets.

How much is homeowners insurance in Gulf County?

The average Citizens Property Insurance premium in Gulf County is about $2,147 a year. Citizens is Florida's insurer of last resort, so its county average is a realistic floor; private quotes vary by roof age, elevation and flood zone. Insurance is now one of the largest line items in a Florida housing budget.

Is Gulf County a good place to invest in rental property?

The gross rent yield (cap-rate proxy) in Gulf County is about 8.84%, on a typical home value of $409,562 and typical rent near $3,016 a month. Run the full numbers, including taxes and insurance, in our Florida investment property calculator.

Where does this data come from?

Home values and rent are from Zillow Research, days on market and listings from Realtor.com, income and population from the U.S. Census, mortgage rates from Freddie Mac via FRED, and insurance from Citizens Property Insurance. Derived metrics and the Momentum Market Score are computed by Momentum Realty with a published methodology.

Data: Zillow Research (home value, rent), Realtor.com (days on market, listings), U.S. Census Bureau ACS (income, population), and Freddie Mac 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average [MORTGAGE30US] via FRED (rate). Momentum Market Score and derived metrics computed by Momentum Realty.

Thinking about Gulf County?

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