Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Walton County
ARIEL DUNES (Miramar Beach, FL): 8 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-07-25, a 14-year price record, and the year-by-year record — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 93.8% of original asking; the median sale took 66 days (window ending 2026-07-25).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $627,500 | — | 66 | 93.8% | 8 |
| 2025 | $530,000 | — | 87 | 81.5% | 3 |
| 2024 | $565,000 | — | 65 | 96.9% | 9 |
| 2023 | $662,000 | — | 38 | 97.9% | 5 |
| 2022 | $570,000 | — | 14 | 99.0% | 15 |
| 2021 | $405,000 | — | 23 | 98.6% | 21 |
| 2020 | $360,000 | — | 24 | 97.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | $365,000 | — | 23 | 96.9% | 9 |
| 2018 | $327,750 | — | 17 | 98.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | $302,250 | — | 86 | 95.7% | 18 |
| 2016 | $310,000 | — | 125 | 94.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | $353,625 | — | 160 | 88.8% | 4 |
| 2013 | $265,000 | — | 40 | 96.7% | 10 |
| 2012 | $222,500 | — | 80 | 89.8% | 12 |
Over the recorded series, ARIEL DUNES’s median sold price moved from $222,500 (2012) to $627,500 (12 months ending 2026-07-25) — +182% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $222,500. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — ARIEL DUNES’s median moved +56% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2023 peak of $662,000, the current median stands at -5%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 2 to 21 closings a year (10-yr average 10.4). With roughly 10.4 closings a year, ARIEL DUNES’s medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure above.
What actually trades here: 100% condominium in the current window.
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-07-25: 14 active listings (plus 0 pending) asking from $449,000 to $1,350,000, median $541,500; 8 of 14 have been on the market over 60 days (median 110 days so far); the homes listed or recently sold were built between 2006 and 2007 (median 2006); none of the 14 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sits in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 23 ft); the features listings here most often name are Exercise Room, Beach, Elevators, Short Term Rental - Allowed, Gated and Golf. For a seller this is the competition a buyer will tour alongside your home; for a buyer, the stale share is where negotiating room usually is. See the current ARIEL DUNES listings →
At ARIEL DUNES’s $627,500 median and Walton County’s adopted 9.758 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $6,120 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $5,740 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Walton County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $541,500 against the $627,500 recorded sold median (-14%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. Momentum’s market-heat index for ARIEL DUNES reads 42/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 0% of recorded ARIEL DUNES sales in the window ending 2026-07 (0 of 8) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. Asking prices here currently sit -14% under the recorded sold median — sellers are pricing to move, and the closed record above is the number a buyer's appraiser will see.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
By submitting, you agree Momentum Realty may contact you by phone, text, or email about your inquiry. Consent is not a condition of any purchase. Message/data rates may apply. Reply STOP to opt out. See our disclosures.
Communities buyers shopping ARIEL DUNES are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIEL DUNES II | $482,500 | — | 83 | 12 |
| MAJESTIC SUN | $590,000 | — | 156 | 8 |
| MIRAMAR BEACH VILLAS | $882,500 | — | 31 | 4 |
| ALERIO | $510,000 | — | 84 | 7 |
More ARIEL DUNES: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Listing data provided by the Emerald Coast Association of REALTORS®. Information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.