Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Pasco County
Buying here? See Forest Lake Estates homes for sale and the Forest Lake Estates community guide (Port Richey).
forest lake estates (Port Richey, FL): 13 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-09-20, a 12-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 97.1% of original asking; the median sale took 40 days (window ending 2026-09-20).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $307,000 | $172 | 40 | 97.1% | 13 |
| 2025 | $360,000 | $196 | 33 | 96.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | $345,000 | $181 | 12 | 96.9% | 16 |
| 2023 | $354,000 | $199 | 23 | 93.4% | 7 |
| 2022 | $316,000 | $146 | 15 | 102.2% | 9 |
| 2021 | $225,000 | $151 | 9 | 101.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | $147,000 | $89 | 15 | 100.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | $129,900 | $86 | 53 | 96.1% | 15 |
| 2015 | $108,950 | $71 | 76 | 92.1% | 8 |
| 2014 | $94,250 | $60 | 56 | 90.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | $87,900 | $59 | 79 | 97.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | $95,500 | $46 | 83 | 78.7% | 4 |
Over the recorded series, forest lake estates’s median sold price moved from $95,500 (2012) to $307,000 (12 months ending 2026-09-20) — +221% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $95,500. Against the 2025 peak of $360,000, the current median stands at -15%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 16 closings a year (10-yr average 6.8). With roughly 6.8 closings a year, forest lake estates’s medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure above.
Of the 32 recorded forest lake estates closings since 2024, half landed between $272,250 and $371,250 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $190,000 and the highest $635,000. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $250,000 | 3 (9%) | |
| $250,000 – $308,333 | 12 (38%) | |
| $308,333 – $366,667 | 8 (25%) | |
| $366,667 – $425,000 | 6 (19%) | |
| None and up | 3 (9%) |
The same recorded closings, split into thirds by living area. Find the row your home falls in: the $/sqft figure times your square footage is the recorded-sales bracket for homes like yours here — a starting range from real closings, not a valuation of your specific property. Smaller homes here have been selling at a higher price per square foot than larger ones ($187 vs $169) — the usual pattern, since lot, kitchen and baths do not scale with floor area.
| Size group | Median $/sqft | Median sold | Sold range | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smaller homes 1,248–1,705 sq ft | $187 | $274,000 | $210,000 – $300,000 | 10 |
| Mid-size homes 1,717–1,892 sq ft | $182 | $327,500 | $190,000 – $388,000 | 10 |
| Larger homes 1,909–5,209 sq ft | $169 | $357,500 | $307,000 – $635,000 | 12 |
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-10-01: 4 active listings (plus 0 pending) asking from $572,000 to $840,000, median $669,950; 1 of 4 have been on the market over 60 days (median 55 days so far); the homes listed or recently sold were built between 2017 and 2019 (median 2019); 7 of 7 listed or recently sold homes report an HOA, median $92/mo; none of the 6 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sits in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 158 ft); the features listings here most often name are Pool, Playground and Clubhouse. For a seller this is the competition a buyer will tour alongside your home; for a buyer, the stale share is where negotiating room usually is. See the current forest lake estates listings →
At forest lake estates’s $307,000 median and Pasco County’s adopted 16.15 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $4,960 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $4,310 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Pasco County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $664,900 against the $307,000 recorded sold median (+117%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 12 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 0% of forest lake estates’s listings are under contract, against 18% for ZIP 33540 and 22% for Pasco County as a whole — the community is currently absorbing slower than its surroundings, which is negotiating information. Momentum’s market-heat index for forest lake estates reads 39/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
With asking prices running +117% over the recorded sold median, a forest lake estates listing priced against the closed record above stands out against its competition; one priced against the asking crowd joins the statewide list of homes that never sold.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping forest lake estates are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Park South Ocoee | $657,500 | $190 | 33 | 10 |
| Arden Park North Ocoee | $489,900 | $213 | 49 | 25 |
| Mccormick Woods | $498,000 | $180 | 63 | 4 |
| Foxfire | $295,000 | $226 | 11 | 4 |
More forest lake estates: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2011 through 2026. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.