Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Pasco County
Key Vista (Holiday, FL): 33 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-07-15, a 13-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 93.4% of original asking; the median sale took 64 days (window ending 2026-07-15).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $400,000 | $200 | 64 | 93.4% | 33 |
| 2025 | $406,000 | $207 | 77 | 96.6% | 28 |
| 2024 | $469,000 | $215 | 45 | 95.5% | 27 |
| 2023 | $423,450 | $222 | 32 | 96.8% | 14 |
| 2022 | $365,000 | $199 | 3 | 100.0% | 29 |
| 2019 | $189,888 | $127 | 33 | 98.2% | 3 |
| 2018 | $255,000 | $112 | 45 | 93.3% | 12 |
| 2017 | $220,000 | $107 | 60 | 95.0% | 37 |
| 2016 | $226,500 | $105 | 51 | 95.3% | 40 |
| 2015 | $192,000 | $97 | 70 | 94.8% | 35 |
| 2014 | $171,000 | $91 | 38 | 95.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | $150,500 | $75 | 62 | 94.1% | 3 |
| 2012 | $150,000 | $79 | 135 | 91.5% | 5 |
Over the recorded series, Key Vista’s median sold price moved from $150,000 (2012) to $400,000 (12 months ending 2026-07-15) — +167% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $150,000. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Key Vista’s median moved +92% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2024 peak of $469,000, the current median stands at -15%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 40 closings a year (10-yr average 18.4).
What actually trades here: 95% single-family residence, 4% villa, 1% ?, 0% condominium, with a median of 1,953 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $200 in the current window.
Of the 76 recorded Key Vista closings since 2024, half landed between $374,375 and $468,925 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $235,000 and the highest $610,000. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $325,000 | 7 (9%) | |
| $325,000 – $383,333 | 18 (24%) | |
| $383,333 – $441,667 | 23 (30%) | |
| $441,667 – $500,000 | 17 (22%) | |
| None and up | 11 (14%) |
The same recorded closings, split into thirds by living area. Find the row your home falls in: the $/sqft figure times your square footage is the recorded-sales bracket for homes like yours here — a starting range from real closings, not a valuation of your specific property. Smaller homes here have been selling at a higher price per square foot than larger ones ($238 vs $186) — the usual pattern, since lot, kitchen and baths do not scale with floor area.
| Size group | Median $/sqft | Median sold | Sold range | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smaller homes 1,173–1,758 sq ft | $238 | $355,000 | $235,000 – $455,000 | 25 |
| Mid-size homes 1,758–2,195 sq ft | $209 | $407,000 | $300,000 – $505,000 | 25 |
| Larger homes 2,195–3,177 sq ft | $186 | $481,000 | $385,000 – $610,000 | 26 |
At Key Vista’s $400,000 median and Pasco County’s adopted 16.15 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $6,460 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $5,810 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Pasco County tax page.
Since 2004, 549 Key Vista listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (7 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 67% of Key Vista listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 28%. Momentum’s market-heat index for Key Vista reads 36/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 24% of recorded Key Vista sales in the window ending 2026-06 (8 of 34) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. The table above is the closed-sale record to price a Key Vista home against; asking prices are an opening position, recorded closings are the value.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Pasco County Public Schools (verify by address) | Public | — |
| Confirm zoned elementary, middle, and high | By address | — |
| Magnet and choice options may apply | Choice | — |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More Key Vista: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period %s through %s. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.