Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Clay County
Lakeside Estates (Orange Park, FL): 32 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-08-30, a 15-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 94.7% of original asking; the median sale took 36 days (window ending 2026-08-30).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $319,000 | $179 | 36 | 94.7% | 32 |
| 2025 | $315,000 | $190 | 43 | 96.9% | 41 |
| 2024 | $332,500 | $192 | 29 | 97.1% | 34 |
| 2023 | $324,500 | $183 | 42 | 96.2% | 36 |
| 2022 | $320,900 | $170 | 31 | 100.0% | 57 |
| 2021 | $265,500 | $146 | 17 | 100.0% | 58 |
| 2020 | $221,000 | $122 | 37 | 98.2% | 61 |
| 2019 | $217,500 | $117 | 23 | 98.4% | 53 |
| 2018 | $207,250 | $110 | 27 | 97.4% | 50 |
| 2017 | $175,000 | $95 | 24 | 100.0% | 53 |
| 2016 | $152,750 | $86 | 56 | 94.8% | 68 |
| 2015 | $141,500 | $75 | 54 | 93.2% | 58 |
| 2014 | $129,400 | $71 | 52 | 95.5% | 43 |
| 2013 | $125,000 | $67 | 27 | 97.9% | 33 |
| 2012 | $105,750 | $60 | 78 | 91.9% | 18 |
Over the recorded series, Lakeside Estates’s median sold price moved from $105,750 (2012) to $319,000 (12 months ending 2026-08-30) — +202% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $105,750. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Lakeside Estates’s median moved +48% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2024 peak of $332,500, the current median stands at -4%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 18 to 68 closings a year (10-yr average 47.5).
Of the 99 recorded Lakeside Estates closings since 2024, half landed between $300,000 and $364,450 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $105,000 and the highest $1,575,000. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $250,000 | 7 (7%) | |
| $250,000 – $300,000 | 17 (17%) | |
| $300,000 – $350,000 | 41 (41%) | |
| $350,000 – $400,000 | 20 (20%) | |
| None and up | 14 (14%) |
The same recorded closings, split into thirds by living area. Find the row your home falls in: the $/sqft figure times your square footage is the recorded-sales bracket for homes like yours here — a starting range from real closings, not a valuation of your specific property. Smaller homes here have been selling at a higher price per square foot than larger ones ($203 vs $164) — the usual pattern, since lot, kitchen and baths do not scale with floor area.
| Size group | Median $/sqft | Median sold | Sold range | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smaller homes 682–1,675 sq ft | $203 | $309,900 | $128,000 – $369,000 | 33 |
| Mid-size homes 1,684–2,040 sq ft | $182 | $335,000 | $105,000 – $440,000 | 33 |
| Larger homes 2,042–3,665 sq ft | $164 | $360,000 | $248,000 – $1,575,000 | 33 |
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-09-03: 4 active listings (plus 2 pending) asking from $287,000 to $353,000, median $336,500; 2 of 4 have been on the market over 60 days (median 70 days so far); the homes listed or recently sold were built between 1965 and 1981 (median 1973); 6 of the current listings state there is no HOA; none of the 16 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sits in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 64 ft). For a seller this is the competition a buyer will tour alongside your home; for a buyer, the stale share is where negotiating room usually is. See the current Lakeside Estates listings →
At Lakeside Estates’s $319,000 median and Clay County’s adopted 15.05 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $4,800 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $4,210 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Clay County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $336,500 against the $319,000 recorded sold median (+5%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 1.5 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 33% of Lakeside Estates’s listings are under contract, against 27% for ZIP 32073 and 28% for Clay County as a whole — the community is absorbing faster than its surroundings. Momentum’s market-heat index for Lakeside Estates reads 28/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Asking and recorded sold prices are within a few percent of each other here, so the table above is close to what a Lakeside Estates buyer will actually pay; the spread on any single home comes down to size, condition and timing.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping Lakeside Estates are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park West | $400,000 | $164 | 21 | 13 |
| Foxwood | $367,450 | $168 | 46 | 12 |
| Ridgecrest | $351,750 | $186 | 28 | 24 |
| Foxridge | $390,000 | $183 | 26 | 13 |
| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Lakeside Elementary School | Public PreK-6 | A (2025-26) |
| Lakeside Junior High School | Public 7-8 | A (2025-26) |
| Orange Park High School | Public 9-12 | B (2025-26) |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More Lakeside Estates: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Source: Data provided by realMLS. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.