Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Duval County
Lincoln Estates (Jacksonville, FL): 11 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-10-01, a 15-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 95.7% of original asking; the median sale took 80 days (window ending 2026-10-01).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $232,500 | $140 | 80 | 95.7% | 11 |
| 2025 | $179,000 | $130 | 51 | 90.9% | 9 |
| 2024 | $198,800 | $153 | 61 | 91.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | $118,458 | $118 | 41 | 92.8% | 20 |
| 2022 | $168,000 | $114 | 13 | 94.4% | 17 |
| 2021 | $120,000 | $86 | 13 | 100.0% | 15 |
| 2020 | $101,275 | $70 | 49 | 90.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | $100,000 | $69 | 27 | 100.0% | 17 |
| 2018 | $117,000 | $81 | 6 | 97.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | $38,000 | $35 | 16 | 93.9% | 11 |
| 2016 | $32,250 | $26 | 22 | 94.9% | 15 |
| 2015 | $35,000 | $17 | 19 | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2014 | $38,000 | $26 | 47 | 92.1% | 4 |
| 2013 | $23,600 | $27 | 146 | 79.1% | 3 |
| 2012 | $22,000 | $19 | 83 | 93.3% | 11 |
Over the recorded series, Lincoln Estates’s median sold price moved from $22,000 (2012) to $232,500 (12 months ending 2026-10-01) — +957% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $22,000. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Lincoln Estates’s median moved +68% from 2019 to 2022. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 3 to 20 closings a year (10-yr average 13.4). With roughly 13.4 closings a year, Lincoln Estates’s medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure above.
Of the 31 recorded Lincoln Estates closings since 2024, half landed between $157,500 and $245,500 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $80,000 and the highest $294,900. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $100,000 | 3 (10%) | |
| $100,000 – $150,000 | 4 (13%) | |
| $150,000 – $200,000 | 7 (23%) | |
| $200,000 – $250,000 | 10 (32%) | |
| None and up | 7 (23%) |
The same recorded closings, split into thirds by living area. Find the row your home falls in: the $/sqft figure times your square footage is the recorded-sales bracket for homes like yours here — a starting range from real closings, not a valuation of your specific property. Smaller homes here have been selling at a higher price per square foot than larger ones ($150 vs $130) — the usual pattern, since lot, kitchen and baths do not scale with floor area.
| Size group | Median $/sqft | Median sold | Sold range | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smaller homes 876–1,200 sq ft | $150 | $157,500 | $80,000 – $242,000 | 10 |
| Mid-size homes 1,258–1,608 sq ft | $150 | $223,500 | $80,000 – $290,000 | 10 |
| Larger homes 1,640–2,160 sq ft | $130 | $232,500 | $101,000 – $294,900 | 11 |
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-10-01: The homes listed or recently sold were built between 1960 and 2024 (median 1966); 3 of the current listings state there is no HOA; 1 of 13 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sit inside a FEMA special flood hazard zone (A/V), which buyers’ lenders will price into insurance; median elevation 13 ft. See the current Lincoln Estates listings →
At Lincoln Estates’s $232,500 median and Duval County’s adopted 17.86 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $4,150 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $3,420 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Duval County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $174,300 against the $232,500 recorded sold median (-25%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 1.2 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 67% of Lincoln Estates’s listings are under contract, against 20% for ZIP 32209 and 28% for Duval County as a whole — the community is absorbing faster than its surroundings. Momentum’s market-heat index for Lincoln Estates reads 49/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Asking prices here currently sit -25% under the recorded sold median — sellers are pricing to move, and the closed record above is the number a buyer's appraiser will see.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping Lincoln Estates are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings Landing | $295,195 | $161 | 105 | 16 |
| Magnolia Gardens | $125,000 | $111 | 38 | 13 |
| Sherwood Forest | $177,000 | $124 | 33 | 42 |
| Trout River | $240,000 | $168 | 39 | 41 |
More Lincoln Estates: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Source: Data provided by realMLS. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.