Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Santa Rosa County
Robinson Estates (Pace, FL): 9 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-07-13, a 7-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 96.4% of original asking; the median sale took 40 days (window ending 2026-07-13).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $517,500 | $168 | 40 | 96.4% | 9 |
| 2025 | $500,000 | $164 | 92 | 94.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | $547,500 | $182 | 8 | 95.6% | 3 |
| 2023 | $484,950 | $161 | 93 | 84.4% | 44 |
| 2022 | $574,400 | $186 | 11 | 101.4% | 34 |
| 2021 | $420,900 | $138 | 97 | 100.7% | 21 |
| 2020 | $414,700 | $138 | 56 | 100.0% | 7 |
Over the recorded series, Robinson Estates’s median sold price moved from $414,700 (2020) to $517,500 (12 months ending 2026-07-13) — +25% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2020 at $414,700. Against the 2022 peak of $574,400, the current median stands at -10%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 3 to 44 closings a year (10-yr average 17.9).
Of the 17 recorded Robinson Estates closings since 2024, half landed between $500,000 and $527,500 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $470,000 and the highest $719,900. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $500,000 | 3 (18%) | |
| $500,000 – $550,000 | 10 (59%) | |
| $550,000 – $600,000 | 1 (6%) | |
| $600,000 – $650,000 | 1 (6%) | |
| None and up | 2 (12%) |
The same recorded closings, split into thirds by living area. Find the row your home falls in: the $/sqft figure times your square footage is the recorded-sales bracket for homes like yours here — a starting range from real closings, not a valuation of your specific property. Price per square foot is nearly flat across sizes here ($171 to $168), so square footage alone explains most of the price spread.
| Size group | Median $/sqft | Median sold | Sold range | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smaller homes 2,997–3,028 sq ft | $171 | $515,000 | $470,000 – $575,000 | 5 |
| Mid-size homes 3,028–3,135 sq ft | $167 | $520,000 | $490,000 – $660,000 | 5 |
| Larger homes 3,135–3,453 sq ft | $168 | $527,500 | $500,000 – $719,900 | 7 |
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-09-03: The homes listed or recently sold were built between 2020 and 2022 (median 2022); 8 of 8 listed or recently sold homes report an HOA, median $64/mo; none of the 8 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sits in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 161 ft). See the current Robinson Estates listings →
At Robinson Estates’s $517,500 median and Santa Rosa County’s adopted 12.81 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $6,630 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $6,120 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Santa Rosa County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $560,500 against the $517,500 recorded sold median (+8%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 2.7 months of supply at the current sales pace. Since 2020, 14 Robinson Estates listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (3 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 22% of Robinson Estates listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 43%. Momentum’s market-heat index for Robinson Estates reads 45/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
With asking prices running +8% over the recorded sold median, a Robinson Estates listing priced against the closed record above stands out against its competition; one priced against the asking crowd joins the statewide list of homes that never sold.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping Robinson Estates are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pace Mill Creek | $389,000 | $177 | 29 | 14 |
| Arbor Place | $307,000 | $167 | 60 | 9 |
| Parkwood Commons | $321,900 | $168 | 31 | 11 |
| Abernathy | $519,750 | $184 | 75 | 6 |
| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Dixon Intermediate School | Elementary | — |
| Sims Middle School | Middle | — |
| Pace High School | High | — |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More Robinson Estates: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
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