Florida Housing Data · Market Scorecard

Hillsborough County housing scorecard.

Everything Reventure charges for, free and built for Florida: home value, rent, cap rate, 5-year growth, price versus incomes, overvaluation and our 0 to 100 Momentum Market Score, from Zillow, Realtor.com and Census data.

Sources: Zillow Research, Realtor.com, U.S. Census, Freddie Mac/FRED. Score by Momentum Realty (methodology).
Updated 2026-06-09
49/ 100
Momentum Market Score
Balanced
Hillsborough County is neither side has a clear edge right now.

At about 5.04 times the local median income, prices sit close to the Florida norm. Gross rent yield is around 6.35%. Values are up roughly 5.6% a year over the last five years. Owning the typical home at today's rate takes about 30.5% of a median income, the affordability squeeze in one number. About 29.5% of listings have cut their price.

$377,787
Home value
1yr -3.2%
5.6%
5yr growth/yr
ZHVI CAGR
$1,999
Median rent
monthly (ZORI)
6.35%
Cap rate
gross yield
5.04x
Price to income
value vs incomes
+3.4%
Over/undervalued
vs FL norm
30.5%
Affordability
income to own/yr
62
Days on market
median (Realtor)
29.5%
Price cuts
share of listings
$75,011
Median income
household (Census)
1,489,634
Population
Census ACS
2296
New listings
last month

Typical home value, last 13 months

Ten years ago the typical home here was about $190,269; today it is $377,787.

What drives the score

Cheapness vs income36
Price-cut leverage86
Inventory growth59
Affordability36
Rent yield26

Each bar is this county ranked against every other Florida county (0 = lowest, 100 = highest) on that input, then weighted into the score. Higher overall = more buyer value and leverage. See the full methodology.

Momentum scores for Hillsborough

Three composite reads, each built from the labeled components below it (0 = lowest in Florida, 100 = highest). Every input is public and the formula is published, unlike the paywalled black-box versions elsewhere.

52/ 100
Long-Term Growth Score
Average

10-year upside from appreciation, incomes, demographics, affordability and valuation.

Long-term appreciation52
Wealth / income77
Affordability36
Valuation36
33/ 100
Investor Score
Below average

Rental-investor attractiveness from yield, rent growth, appreciation, demographics and valuation.

Long-term appreciation52
Cap rate26
Rent growth20
Valuation36
41/ 100
Price Momentum
Below average

Near-term price direction signal from recent appreciation, days on market, inventory and price cuts. A momentum read, not a guaranteed forecast.

Recent appreciation27
Days on market80
Inventory41
Price cuts12

Who is moving in and out of Hillsborough

In 2022 to 2023, Hillsborough County saw 49,562 households move in and 49,186 move out, a net of +376 households (-1,186 people). The households arriving reported about $77,979 in average income versus $72,366 for those leaving, so Hillsborough is pulling in higher earners. Net, +$305M of annual income moved into the county.

+376
Net households
moved in 2022-2023
-1,186
Net people
exemptions
+$305M
Net income flow
annual AGI
$77,979
Arriver income
vs $72,366 leaving

Top states they moved from

NY 2,505TX 1,397NJ 1,295GA 1,164CA 1,146

Top states they moved to

TX 1,698GA 1,331NC 1,103NY 1,102CA 750

Households approximate tax returns; people approximate exemptions; income is total adjusted gross income. Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration, 2022 to 2023.

New construction pipeline in Hillsborough

In 2025, builders pulled permits for 8,696 new homes in Hillsborough County: 4,295 single-family and 4,401 in multifamily buildings. That is down 3.9% from the year before. At 5.8 permits per 1,000 residents, new supply here is near the Florida pace.

8,696
New homes permitted
2025
4,295
Single-family
1-unit
4,401
Multifamily
2+ units
5.8
Per 1,000 residents
supply intensity

New homes permitted, 2021 to 2025

Privately-owned residential units authorized by building permits, reported plus imputed. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025.

Go deeper

Compare nearby counties:

Common questions

Is Hillsborough County a buyer's or seller's market?

By our Momentum Market Score, Hillsborough County reads balanced (49 out of 100), meaning it is neither side has a clear edge right now. The score blends value versus local incomes, price cuts, inventory growth, affordability and rent yield.

How much is a home worth in Hillsborough County?

The typical home value is $377,787 (Zillow Home Value Index, 2026-06-09), up about 5.6% a year over the last five years.

Where does this data come from?

Home values and rent are from Zillow Research, days on market and listings from Realtor.com, income and population from the U.S. Census, and mortgage rates from Freddie Mac via FRED. Derived metrics and the Momentum Market Score are computed by Momentum Realty with a published methodology.

Data: Zillow Research (home value, rent), Realtor.com (days on market, listings), U.S. Census Bureau ACS (income, population), and Freddie Mac 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average [MORTGAGE30US] via FRED (rate). Momentum Market Score and derived metrics computed by Momentum Realty.

Thinking about Hillsborough County?

A score is the 30,000-foot view. We live here. Talk to the founders about what the number means for a specific neighborhood, street, or budget.

Talk to the founders