Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · St. Johns County
Every figure below is from recorded MLS closings in Coastal Oaks At Nocatee (Ponte Vedra, FL) — not an algorithm’s estimate. Medians, the 15-year price history, market time, and what the record says about selling here now. Window ending 2026-08-05; refreshes as new closings record.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 95.5% of original asking; the median sale took 37 days (window ending 2026-08-05).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,060,000 | $329 | 37 | 46 |
| 2025 | $975,000 | $313 | 59 | 33 |
| 2024 | $1,112,500 | $338 | 45 | 46 |
| 2023 | $974,500 | $317 | 31 | 29 |
| 2022 | $890,000 | $277 | 17 | 63 |
| 2021 | $679,000 | $210 | 27 | 85 |
| 2020 | $568,000 | $186 | 42 | 81 |
| 2019 | $558,812 | $180 | 54 | 96 |
| 2018 | $534,107 | $174 | 0 | 125 |
| 2017 | $533,006 | $169 | 41 | 92 |
| 2016 | $516,782 | $175 | 0 | 96 |
| 2015 | $521,550 | $170 | 0 | 100 |
| 2014 | $490,450 | $159 | 0 | 93 |
| 2013 | $481,503 | $162 | 0 | 49 |
| 2012 | $503,941 | $173 | 40 | 30 |
Over the recorded series, Coastal Oaks At Nocatee’s median sold price moved from $503,941 (2012) to $1,060,000 (12 months ending 2026-08-05) — +110% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $503,941. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Coastal Oaks At Nocatee’s median moved +59% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2024 peak of $1,112,500, the current median stands at -5%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 29 to 125 closings a year (10-yr average 69.6). Small-community medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure in the table above.
What actually trades here: 95% single family residence, 4% condominium, 1% townhouse, 0% mobile home, with a median of 3,186 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $329 in the current window. Price-per-square-foot is the cleaner yardstick when comparing your home to the medians — it corrects for the size mix in any given year.
Current asking prices run a median $975,000 against the $1,060,000 recorded sold median (-8%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 2.8 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 38% of Coastal Oaks At Nocatee’s listings are under contract, against 41% for ZIP 32081 and 35% for St. Johns County as a whole — roughly in line with its surroundings. Since 2007, 319 Coastal Oaks At Nocatee listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (7 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 25% of Coastal Oaks At Nocatee listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 18%. Momentum’s market-heat index for Coastal Oaks At Nocatee reads 45/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 15% of recorded Coastal Oaks At Nocatee sales in the window ending 2025-07 (3 of 20) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. For buyers, the same table reads the other way: the sold medians above are what the market has actually been paying — an asking price meaningfully above the recent closed record, in a community absorbing at the rates shown, is an opening position, not a value.
The pattern in the statewide failure data applies here too: homes priced against the latest closed sales sell; homes priced against hope join the 201,552 that didn’t. The table above is the closed-sale record to price against.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A Momentum agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Pine Island Academy | Public K-8, zoned, in Nocatee | A (2025-26) |
| Allen D. Nease High School | Public 9-12, zoned | — |
| Valley Ridge Academy | Public K-8, nearby Nocatee feeder | A (2025-26) |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More Coastal Oaks At Nocatee: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs
Source: Data provided by realMLS. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures