Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Alachua County
Buying here? See Lincoln Estates homes for sale and the Lincoln Estates community guide (Gainesville).
Lincoln Estates (Gainesville, FL): 4 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-08-02, a 13-year price record, and the year-by-year record — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 94.3% of original asking; the median sale took 125 days (window ending 2026-08-02).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $190,000 | $198 | 125 | 94.3% | 4 |
| 2024 | $210,500 | $151 | 56 | 94.8% | 4 |
| 2022 | $156,500 | $132 | 19 | 94.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | $128,000 | $116 | 45 | 94.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | $116,000 | $108 | 62 | 100.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | $87,250 | $93 | 43 | 102.1% | 4 |
| 2018 | $89,000 | $68 | 89 | 96.0% | 12 |
| 2017 | $71,450 | $57 | 64 | 95.2% | 5 |
| 2016 | $31,550 | $29 | 93 | 97.7% | 8 |
| 2015 | $32,000 | $25 | 59 | 94.9% | 9 |
| 2014 | $45,264 | $41 | 44 | 96.4% | 6 |
| 2013 | $25,000 | $24 | 43 | 82.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | $62,000 | $50 | 11 | 100.0% | 3 |
Over the recorded series, Lincoln Estates’s median sold price moved from $62,000 (2012) to $190,000 (12 months ending 2026-08-02) — +206% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $62,000. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Lincoln Estates’s median moved +79% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2024 peak of $210,500, the current median stands at -10%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 12 closings a year (10-yr average 5.4). With roughly 5.4 closings a year, Lincoln Estates’s medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure above.
What actually trades here: 100% single-family residence, with a median of 960 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $198 in the current window.
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-09-03: 4 active listings (plus 0 pending) asking from $228,900 to $259,000, median $244,950; 2 of 4 have been on the market over 60 days (median 33 days so far); the homes listed or recently sold were built between 1961 and 1968 (median 1961); 4 of the current listings state there is no HOA; none of the 8 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sits in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 126 ft). For a seller this is the competition a buyer will tour alongside your home; for a buyer, the stale share is where negotiating room usually is. See the current Lincoln Estates listings →
At Lincoln Estates’s $190,000 median and Alachua County’s adopted 16.56 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $3,150 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $2,500 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Alachua County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $250,000 against the $190,000 recorded sold median (+32%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 9 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 0% of Lincoln Estates’s listings are under contract, against 8% for ZIP 32601 and 24% for Alachua County as a whole — the community is currently absorbing slower than its surroundings, which is negotiating information. Since 2004, 71 Lincoln Estates listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (1 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 25% of Lincoln Estates listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 20%. Momentum’s market-heat index for Lincoln Estates reads 29/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 0% of recorded Lincoln Estates sales in the window ending 2026-06 (0 of 4) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. With asking prices running +32% over the recorded sold median, a Lincoln Estates listing priced against the closed record above stands out against its competition; one priced against the asking crowd joins the statewide list of homes that never sold.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping Lincoln Estates are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Street Station | $330,000 | $236 | 78 | 3 |
| Regents Park | $395,000 | $245 | 106 | 3 |
| Lofts At West University | $221,625 | $245 | 85 | 4 |
| SUMMIT HOUSE | $133,000 | $166 | 71 | 11 |
More Lincoln Estates: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 1993 through 2026. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.