Florida Housing IntelligencePasco County › 33539 (Zephyrhills)
Aerial view of 33539, Florida

33539 (Zephyrhills)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Pasco County

Median sale price $444,995, up 8.9% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 50 days, 24 homes on the market.

3 communities reporting467 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 47
Live Market Pulse
47/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
11+ months of homes to choose from. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 33539 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$445K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 8.9% vs the prior 12 months
+8.9%
1-yr price change
n = 467 recent sales
$194/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $191
96.5%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9%
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.5% vs a year ago
Tempo
11.3mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
50days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days
20%
Under contract
Pasco County: 27%
24 · 5 ▼1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
26
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
4,644
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.9% vs prior month
94%
New construction
share of recent sales
47/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
3
Communities reporting
of 4 tracked in 33539
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 11.3 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 20% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 8.9% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 96.5% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 47
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage53
Seller leverage47

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 20% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33539 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Analysis

The read on 33539 (Zephyrhills)

The median sale price across 33539 currently stands at $444,995, up 8.9% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $194 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 50 days. Sellers are capturing 96.5% of their original asking price on average.

There are 24 active listings on the market, with 5 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 11.3 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 26 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33539 is 47 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

Where the market is heading

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$331K$336K$340K$332KJul '25: $340KAug '25: $338KSep '25: $337KOct '25: $336KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $335KJan '26: $335KFeb '26: $335KMar '26: $335KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $334KJun '26: $332KJul '26: $332KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,644Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jul '26: 4,644Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3443,1004,856Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Aug 06 · Active: 4,605Aug 07 · Active: 4,652Aug 08 · Active: 4,666Aug 09 · Active: 4,669Aug 10 · Active: 4,654Aug 11 · Active: 4,614Aug 12 · Active: 4,612Aug 13 · Active: 4,613Aug 15 · Active: 4,676Aug 17 · Active: 4,646Aug 19 · Active: 4,646Aug 22 · Active: 4,717Aug 23 · Active: 4,721Aug 28 · Active: 4,722Aug 29 · Active: 4,758Aug 30 · Active: 4,758Aug 31 · Active: 4,753Sep 07 · Active: 4,753Sep 09 · Active: 4,690Sep 11 · Active: 4,786Sep 12 · Active: 4,782Sep 13 · Active: 4,781Sep 14 · Active: 4,729Sep 15 · Active: 4,728Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$439K$442K$445K$445KAug 06: $439KAug 08: $439KAug 09: $439KAug 10: $439KAug 11: $439KAug 12: $439KAug 13: $439KAug 15: $439KAug 17: $439KAug 18: $439KAug 19: $439KAug 20: $439KAug 21: $439KAug 22: $439KAug 23: $439KAug 24: $439KAug 26: $439KAug 28: $439KAug 29: $439KAug 30: $439KAug 31: $439KSep 01: $439KSep 04: $439KSep 05: $439KSep 06: $439KSep 07: $439KSep 08: $439KSep 09: $439KSep 10: $439KSep 11: $439KSep 12: $445KSep 13: $445KSep 14: $445KSep 15: $445KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33539

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
abbott square ph 1a ▼ 15%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco

MarketMedianActiveScore
33539 ← this page$445K2447
33543$415K30456Open →
33541$400K28948Open →
34667$254K24847Open →
33545$445K20159Open →
34652$220K19846Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Two Rivers Ph BZephyrhills$445K▲ 10%
abbott square ph 1aZephyrhills$300K▲ -15%
Prices cooling fastest
abbott square ph 1aZephyrhills$300K▼ 15%
Two Rivers Ph BZephyrhills$445K▼ 10%
Most homes for sale
abbott square ph 1aZephyrhills$300K21
Selling fastest
Two Rivers Ph BZephyrhills$445K48 days
abbott square ph 1aZephyrhills$300K113 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33539 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33539 — the Momentum Score reads 47/100 with 11.3 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33539 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 33539 is $444,995, up 8.9% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.5% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33539?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are abbott square ph 1a (-15%); Two Rivers Ph B (10%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33539 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Two Rivers Ph B (48 days); abbott square ph 1a (113 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 50 days.

Questions

33539 (Zephyrhills) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33539 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 33539 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $444,995 (up 8.9% year over year), 24 homes are for sale against 26 sales in the last 12 months, which is 11.3 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 50 days.

How much is a house in 33539?

The median home sold for $444,995 in 33539 over the last 12 months, about $194 per square foot; asking prices on the 24 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33539?

By the numbers, sellers in 33539 are getting 96.5% of asking price and going under contract in about 50 days with 11.3 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33539 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33539 median sale prices are up 8.9% year over year, inventory stands at 11.3 months of supply, and 20% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33539?

The median sale price in 33539 is currently $444,995, up 8.9% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 33539 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33539 scores 47 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 11.3 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33539?

The typical home in 33539 goes under contract in about 50 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33539?

There are approximately 24 active listings in 33539 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 33539 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 8.9% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33539 (Zephyrhills). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.