34211 (Lakewood Ranch)
Housing Market
Median sale price $470,000, down 10.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 35 days, 4 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 1.5 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 25% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 10.2% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.8% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 25% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.4× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 34211 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on 34211 (Lakewood Ranch)
The median sale price across 34211 currently stands at $470,000, down 10.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $179 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 35 days. Sellers are capturing 96.8% of their original asking price on average.
There are 4 active listings on the market. At the current sales pace that works out to 1.5 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 31 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Manatee County stands at $409,245. About 28% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34211 is 66 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
34211 since 2016 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $465,435 in 2016 and $558,661 over the last recorded year — 20% appreciation across 10 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 15% of recent sales, down from a 50% peak.
Median sale price · 2016–2026 (1,053 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Manatee County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Manatee County (MLS)
What’s driving 34211
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, MA. Movers arriving report ~$121,577 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
5,326 Citizens policies in force in Manatee County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Manatee purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
7,014 single-family · 4,001 multi-family · 26.5 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Manatee
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34211 ← this page | $470K | 4 | 66 | |
| 34219 | $375K | 66 | 60 | Open → |
| 34210 | $410K | 36 | 43 | Open → |
| 34207 | $480K | 10 | 59 | Open → |
| 34209 | $322K | 6 | 53 | Open → |
| 34212 | $375K | 2 | 69 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Park EastOcala | $346K | ▲ -1% |
| SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCHBradenton | $470K | ▲ -4% |
| STAR FARMSLakewood Ranch | $826K | ▲ -29% |
| STAR FARMSLakewood Ranch | $826K | ▼ 29% |
| SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCHBradenton | $470K | ▼ 4% |
| Park EastOcala | $346K | ▼ 1% |
| Park EastOcala | $346K | 4 |
| Park EastOcala | $346K | 18 days |
| CRESSWIND LAKEWOOD RANCHLakewood Ranch | $686K | 29 days |
| SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCHBradenton | $470K | 76 days |
| SADDLESTONE AT STAR FARMS LAKEWOOD RANCHLakewood Ranch | $314K | 114 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 34211 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor sellers in 34211 — the Momentum Score reads 66/100 with 1.5 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 34211 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34211 is $470,000, down 10.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.8% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 34211?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are STAR FARMS (-29%); SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCH (-4%); Park East (-1%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 34211 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Park East (18 days); CRESSWIND LAKEWOOD RANCH (29 days); SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCH (76 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 35 days.
34211 (Lakewood Ranch) housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in 34211?
The median sale price in 34211 is currently $470,000, down 10.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is 34211 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 34211 scores 66 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 1.5 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 34211?
The typical home in 34211 goes under contract in about 35 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 34211?
There are approximately 4 active listings in 34211 as of August 6, 2026.
Are home prices in 34211 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 10.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34211 (Lakewood Ranch). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.