34211 (Lakewood Ranch)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market
Median sale price $685,500, down 14.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 41 days.
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Housing Market Analyst
Prices are down 14.6% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 97.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.4× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 34211 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on 34211 (Lakewood Ranch)
The median sale price across 34211 currently stands at $685,500, down 14.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $274 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 41 days. Sellers are capturing 97.2% of their original asking price on average.
Zillow's home value index for Manatee County stands at $409,772. About 27% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34211 is 55 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
34211 since 2016 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $465,435 in 2016 and $640,654 over the last recorded year — 38% appreciation across 10 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 20% of recent sales, down from a 32% peak.
Median sale price · 2016–2026 (724 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Manatee County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Manatee County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 34211
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, MA. Movers arriving report ~$121,577 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
5,326 Citizens policies in force in Manatee County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Manatee purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
7,014 single-family · 4,001 multi-family · 26.5 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Manatee
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34211 ← this page | $686K | — | 55 | |
| 34219 | $375K | 53 | 67 | Open → |
| 34209 | $250K | 6 | 49 | Open → |
| 34210 | $428K | 5 | 54 | Open → |
| 34207 | $127K | 2 | 46 | Open → |
| 34221 | $362K | 2 | 44 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCHBradenton | $470K | ▲ -4% |
| STAR FARMSLakewood Ranch | $826K | ▲ -29% |
| STAR FARMSLakewood Ranch | $826K | ▼ 29% |
| SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCHBradenton | $470K | ▼ 4% |
| CresswindLakewood Ranch | $686K | 29 days |
| SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCHBradenton | $470K | 76 days |
| Saddlestone at Star FarmsLakewood Ranch | $314K | 114 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 34211 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34211 — the Momentum Score reads 55/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 34211 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34211 is $685,500, down 14.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 97.2% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 34211?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are STAR FARMS (-29%); SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCH (-4%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 34211 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Cresswind (29 days); SOLERA AT LAKEWOOD RANCH (76 days); Saddlestone at Star Farms (114 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 41 days.
34211 (Lakewood Ranch) housing market FAQ
Is it a good time to sell a house in 34211?
By the numbers, sellers in 34211 are getting 97.2% of asking price and going under contract in about 41 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 34211 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 34211 median sale prices are down 14.6% year over year. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 34211?
The median sale price in 34211 is currently $685,500, down 14.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is 34211 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. 34211 scores 55 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 34211?
The typical home in 34211 goes under contract in about 41 days, per current MLS data.
Are home prices in 34211 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 14.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34211 (Lakewood Ranch). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.