34230 (Sarasota)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market
Median sale price $389,500, down 4.8% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 25 days.
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Housing Market Analyst
Prices are down 4.8% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.0× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 34230 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on 34230 (Sarasota)
The median sale price across 34230 currently stands at $389,500, down 4.8% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $269 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 25 days. Sellers are capturing 95.6% of their original asking price on average.
Zillow's home value index for Sarasota County stands at $399,679. About 24% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34230 is 64 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
34230 since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $145,942 in 2012 and $490,742 over the last recorded year — 236% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 27% of recent sales, down from a 40% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,152 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Sarasota County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Sarasota County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 34230
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, MA, IL. Movers arriving report ~$141,412 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
4,849 Citizens policies in force in Sarasota County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Sarasota purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,283 single-family · 2,344 multi-family · 14.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Sarasota
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34230 ← this page | $390K | — | 64 | |
| 34232 | $390K | 5 | 48 | Open → |
| 34231 | $390K | 4 | 60 | Open → |
| 34202 | $470K | 1 | 65 | Open → |
| 34229 | $675K | 1 | 62 | Open → |
| 34235 | $543K | 1 | 48 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| LAKE SARASOTASarasota | $390K | ▲ -3% |
| GULF GATE EASTSarasota | $535K | ▲ -4% |
| WINDWARD AT LAKEWOOD RANCHSarasota | $616K | ▲ -10% |
| WINDWARD AT LAKEWOOD RANCHSarasota | $616K | ▼ 10% |
| GULF GATE EASTSarasota | $535K | ▼ 4% |
| LAKE SARASOTASarasota | $390K | ▼ 3% |
| GULF GATE EASTSarasota | $535K | 19 days |
| LAKE SARASOTASarasota | $390K | 34 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 34230 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34230 — the Momentum Score reads 64/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 34230 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34230 is $389,500, down 4.8% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 34230?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are WINDWARD AT LAKEWOOD RANCH (-10%); GULF GATE EAST (-4%); LAKE SARASOTA (-3%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 34230 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are GULF GATE EAST (19 days); LAKE SARASOTA (34 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 25 days.
34230 (Sarasota) housing market FAQ
Is it a good time to sell a house in 34230?
By the numbers, sellers in 34230 are getting 95.6% of asking price and going under contract in about 25 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 34230 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 34230 median sale prices are down 4.8% year over year. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 34230?
The median sale price in 34230 is currently $389,500, down 4.8% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is 34230 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 34230 scores 64 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 34230?
The typical home in 34230 goes under contract in about 25 days, per current MLS data.
Are home prices in 34230 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 4.8% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34230 (Sarasota). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.