Aerial view of 34430, Florida

34430 (Dunnellon)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Marion County

Median sale price $249,900, up 3.1% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 70 days.

3 communities reporting301 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 61
Live Market Pulse
61/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Prices up 3% over the past year. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · 34430 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$250K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 3.1% vs the prior 12 months
+3.1%
1-yr price change
n = 301 recent sales
$176/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Marion County: $168 · -3.1% vs prior yr
97.2%
Sale vs ask
Marion County: 95.5% · -0.8pp vs prior yr
$274K
Marion County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.5% vs a year ago
Tempo
70days
Median DOM · closed
Marion County: 68 days · +32.0 days vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Marion County · Zillow · -1.1pp vs prior month
3,754
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -1.3% vs prior month
68%
New construction
share of recent sales · +5.6pp vs prior yr
32%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 46% · +7.7pp vs prior yr
61/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$58,535
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
387,697
County population
+11.3% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
77%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,659/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Prices are up 3.1% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 97.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 61
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage39
Seller leverage61

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 34430 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Analysis

The read on 34430 (Dunnellon)

The median sale price across 34430 currently stands at $249,900, up 3.1% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $176 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 70 days. Sellers are capturing 97.2% of their original asking price on average.

Zillow's home value index for Marion County stands at $273,513. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34430 is 61 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

34430 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $67,666 in 2012 and $272,886 over the last recorded year — 303% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 32% of recent sales, down from a 46% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,045 recorded sales)

$63K$171K$278K$273K2012: $68K2013: $86K2014: $92K2015: $104K2016: $126K2017: $113K2018: $164K2019: $161K2020: $170K2022: $242K2023: $254K2024: $273K2025: $259K2026: $273K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

7d39d71d70d2012: 66d2013: 70d2014: 33d2015: 47d2016: 20d2017: 27d2018: 34d2019: 32d2020: 21d2022: 9d2023: 13d2024: 27d2025: 38d2026: 70d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

24%35%46%32%2016: 37%2017: 40%2018: 36%2019: 35%2020: 33%2021: 28%2022: 46%2023: 37%2024: 27%2025: 24%2026: 32%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Marion County (Zillow ZHVI)

$273K$277K$281K$274KJun '25: $281KJul '25: $280KAug '25: $279KSep '25: $278KOct '25: $277KNov '25: $276KDec '25: $276KJan '26: $276KFeb '26: $276KMar '26: $276KApr '26: $275KMay '26: $275KJun '26: $274KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

3,6273,7173,8063,754Jun '25: 3,639Jul '25: 3,655Aug '25: 3,641Sep '25: 3,631Oct '25: 3,648Nov '25: 3,669Dec '25: 3,637Jan '26: 3,636Feb '26: 3,658Mar '26: 3,767Apr '26: 3,791May '26: 3,803Jun '26: 3,754Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Marion County (MLS)

1,2302,7084,186Aug 03 · Active: 4,127Aug 04 · Active: 4,074Aug 05 · Active: 4,096Aug 03Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 92%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 5%Manufactured 1%Farm 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 34430

Who’s moving here
+11,408 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, PA, NJ, MA. Movers arriving report ~$65,711 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,263/yr avg premium

1,973 Citizens policies in force in Marion County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Marion purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
5,985 units permitted -11% YoY

5,420 single-family · 565 multi-family · 15.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Lake Tropicana Ranchettes ▲ 15%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Marion

MarketMedianActiveScore
34430 ← this page$250K61
34470$297K31164Open →
34471$218K1260Open →
32179$247K857Open →
34474$297K865Open →
32113$369K649Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Lake Tropicana RanchettesDunnellon$230K▲ 15%
RAINBOW LAKES ESTATEDunnellon$250K▲ 3%
Rolling HillsOcala$374K▲ -3%
Prices cooling fastest
Rolling HillsOcala$374K▼ 3%
RAINBOW LAKES ESTATEDunnellon$250K▼ 3%
Lake Tropicana RanchettesDunnellon$230K▼ 15%
Selling fastest
Lake Tropicana RanchettesDunnellon$230K30 days
RAINBOW LAKES ESTATEDunnellon$250K49 days
Rolling HillsOcala$374K163 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 34430 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34430 — the Momentum Score reads 61/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 34430 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 34430 is $249,900, up 3.1% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 97.2% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 34430?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Rolling Hills (-3%); RAINBOW LAKES ESTATE (3%); Lake Tropicana Ranchettes (15%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 34430 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Lake Tropicana Ranchettes (30 days); RAINBOW LAKES ESTATE (49 days); Rolling Hills (163 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 70 days.

Questions

34430 (Dunnellon) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 34430?

The median sale price in 34430 is currently $249,900, up 3.1% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is 34430 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 34430 scores 61 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 34430?

The typical home in 34430 goes under contract in about 70 days, per current MLS data.

Are home prices in 34430 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 3.1% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34430 (Dunnellon). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.