Watermill vs Winchester Ridge
Two Duval communities, compared on the numbers that decide it — price, pace, and supply — from live MLS data as of 2026-06-16.
| Metric | Watermill | Winchester Ridge |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $340K | $276K |
| Price per sq ft | $172 | $148 |
| Avg days on market | 166 days | 77 days |
| Months of supply | 2.3 mo | 6.9 mo |
| Market | Seller's Market | Buyer's Market |
| 1-year price change | False | -4% |
| Recent closings | 37 | 26 |
The verdict
Watermill carries the higher median price — about 23% above Winchester Ridge. Homes in Winchester Ridge sell faster (77 days on market vs 166). Watermill is the tighter market on inventory (2.3 months of supply).
Where each one is
| Watermill | Winchester Ridge | |
|---|---|---|
| County | Duval County, FL | Duval County, FL |
| City / area | Jacksonville | Jacksonville |
| ZIP | 32073, 32216, 32222 | 32234 |
| FEMA flood zones (sampled parcels) | all 24 sampled homes outside a flood zone | 92% of 25 homes outside a flood zone (Zone X) |
Distances are straight-line; driving distance is usually 15 to 30 percent more. Flood-zone shares come from FEMA flood maps matched to sampled parcels; always check the exact address before you close.
What is for sale today
| Watermill | Winchester Ridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Homes for sale now | 7 | 15 |
| Under contract | 5 | 3 |
| Asking prices today | $230K to $400K | $228K to $400K |
| Property types listed | Single Family Residence | Single Family Residence |
Live MLS counts, refreshed with every listing pull. Browse them: Watermill homes for sale · Winchester Ridge homes for sale.
The homes themselves
| Watermill | Winchester Ridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Homes (parcels) | 191 | 444 |
| Built | 1995–2014 (median 2005) | 2007–2022 (median 2020) |
| Typical living area | 2,378 sq ft | 2,072 sq ft |
| Homesteaded (owner-occupied) share | 66% | 81% |
Housing-stock figures from the Florida Department of Revenue 2025 assessment roll (public records).
Price history, year by year
| Year | Watermill median | Winchester Ridge median |
|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $125K (78 sales) | $142K (10 sales) |
| 2013 | $130K (100 sales) | $142K (11 sales) |
| 2014 | $154K (77 sales) | $173K (18 sales) |
| 2015 | $150K (67 sales) | $137K (92 sales) |
| 2016 | $159K (62 sales) | $179K (32 sales) |
| 2017 | $175K (75 sales) | $173K (27 sales) |
| 2018 | $195K (77 sales) | $185K (25 sales) |
| 2019 | $210K (74 sales) | $199K (35 sales) |
| 2020 | $215K (56 sales) | $203K (105 sales) |
| 2021 | $265K (71 sales) | $229K (124 sales) |
| 2022 | $338K (66 sales) | $300K (181 sales) |
| 2023 | $330K (47 sales) | $319K (40 sales) |
| 2024 | $325K (31 sales) | $294K (30 sales) |
| 2025 | $314K (32 sales) | $277K (18 sales) |
| 2026 | $330K (39 sales) | $274K (27 sales) |
Since 2012, Watermill's median sale price is +163% and Winchester Ridge's is +93% — Watermill has appreciated faster over that stretch.
How each one trades
| Watermill | Winchester Ridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Sale-to-original-list | 96.7% | 97.0% |
| New-construction share of sales | 0% | 0% |
| Typical sold home | 1,954 sq ft | 1,740 sq ft |
| Momentum market-heat score | 44 (normal) | 40 (normal) |
Last 12 months of recorded closings; sale-to-original-list is the share of the first asking price sellers actually got.
Schools the listings are zoned for
| Watermill | Winchester Ridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elementary | not reported | Mamie Agnes Jones |
| Middle | not reported | Baldwin |
| High school | not reported | Baldwin |
The school most often recorded on each community's MLS listings. Always confirm a specific address with the district.
Momentum Realty agents have closed 2 homes in Watermill and 1 in Winchester Ridge (brokerage records, both sides counted once). Find an agent who works Watermill · Winchester Ridge.
Which one fits
On budget alone, Winchester Ridge is the lower entry point (median $276K vs $340K). Buyers who want newer construction (fewer near-term roof, HVAC and re-plumb items, and easier insurance quotes in Florida) will find it in Winchester Ridge; Watermill trades that for a more established street and, typically, larger lots. Sellers get a faster sale in Winchester Ridge (77 days on market on average); buyers get more negotiating room where homes sit longer.
Neither number set decides it: drive both on a weekday evening, check the HOA documents and the flood zone for the exact street, and price the insurance before you write an offer. A Momentum agent who works both communities can pull the comparable sales for any two specific homes.
Questions people ask
Is Watermill more expensive than Winchester Ridge?
Yes, on recent sales: the median sale price in Watermill is $340,000 versus $276,000 in Winchester Ridge, about 23% higher.
Which has newer homes, Watermill or Winchester Ridge?
Winchester Ridge: its homes were built 2007–2022 with a median year of 2020, versus a median of 2005 in Watermill (Florida DOR assessment roll).
Which has bigger homes?
Watermill. The typical home there is 2,378 sq ft of living area, versus 2,072 sq ft in Winchester Ridge.
Which has appreciated more, Watermill or Winchester Ridge?
From 2012 to 2026 the median sale price rose 163% in Watermill and 93% in Winchester Ridge (recorded MLS closings by calendar year).
Go deeper on each: Watermill homes, photos & schools · Winchester Ridge homes, photos & schools
Figures are aggregates from realMLS / DBAAR, updated regularly. Thinking about either? Talk to Momentum Realty.