Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Orange County
SHADOW BAY SPGS (ORLANDO, FL): 3 recorded closings in the 12 months ending 2026-08-02, a 13-year price record, and sales split by price band and home size — every number from recorded MLS closings, none from an estimate model.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 96.4% of original asking; the median sale took 53 days (window ending 2026-08-02).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sold ÷ original ask | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $565,000 | $258 | 53 | 96.4% | 3 |
| 2025 | $499,000 | $254 | 37 | 92.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | $480,000 | $266 | 19 | 96.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | $440,000 | $231 | 12 | 89.4% | 4 |
| 2022 | $427,500 | $237 | 6 | 101.2% | 4 |
| 2019 | $297,500 | $138 | 82 | 91.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | $330,000 | $135 | 151 | 84.6% | 3 |
| 2017 | $315,000 | $145 | 22 | 97.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | $257,000 | $134 | 36 | 95.9% | 12 |
| 2015 | $261,750 | $122 | 32 | 94.7% | 16 |
| 2014 | $240,000 | $121 | 29 | 95.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | $210,250 | $112 | 18 | 98.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | $211,000 | $93 | 20 | 90.7% | 3 |
Over the recorded series, SHADOW BAY SPGS’s median sold price moved from $211,000 (2012) to $565,000 (12 months ending 2026-08-02) — +168% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2012 at $211,000. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — SHADOW BAY SPGS’s median moved +44% from 2019 to 2022. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 16 closings a year (10-yr average 3.8). With roughly 3.8 closings a year, SHADOW BAY SPGS’s medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure above.
What actually trades here: 100% single-family residence, with a median of 2,114 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $258 in the current window.
Of the 13 recorded SHADOW BAY SPGS closings since 2024, half landed between $475,000 and $535,000 (the middle two quartiles); the lowest recorded sale was $388,700 and the highest $812,000. If your home sits outside the middle band, the reason usually shows up in the size table below before it shows up in condition.
| Sold price band | Share of closings | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Under $450,000 | 1 (8%) | |
| $450,000 – $483,333 | 4 (31%) | |
| $483,333 – $516,667 | 3 (23%) | |
| $516,667 – $550,000 | 2 (15%) | |
| None and up | 3 (23%) |
From the live MLS feed as of 2026-09-03: The homes listed or recently sold were built between 1983 and 1985 (median 1984); 7 of 7 listed or recently sold homes report an HOA, median $14/mo; none of the 7 geocoded listed or recently sold homes sits in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 148 ft). See the current SHADOW BAY SPGS listings →
At SHADOW BAY SPGS’s $565,000 median and Orange County’s adopted 16.67 mills (FY2025-26), a home assessed at that price carries roughly $9,420 a year in property tax before exemptions, or about $8,750 with the full Florida homestead exemption — a buyer’s first-year figure; a long-time owner’s Save Our Homes cap can be far lower, which is one reason resale taxes jump at closing. Municipal and special-district millage varies inside the county; see the Orange County tax page.
Current asking prices run a median $677,500 against the $565,000 recorded sold median (+20%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 4.8 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 50% of SHADOW BAY SPGS’s listings are under contract, against 16% for ZIP 32819 and 26% for Orange County as a whole — the community is absorbing faster than its surroundings. Since 2009, 77 SHADOW BAY SPGS listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (3 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 52% of SHADOW BAY SPGS listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 60%. Momentum’s market-heat index for SHADOW BAY SPGS reads 46/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 0% of recorded SHADOW BAY SPGS sales in the window ending 2026-06 (0 of 3) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. With asking prices running +20% over the recorded sold median, a SHADOW BAY SPGS listing priced against the closed record above stands out against its competition; one priced against the asking crowd joins the statewide list of homes that never sold.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A local agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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Communities buyers shopping SHADOW BAY SPGS are also weighing (nearest by map distance), each on its own recorded 12-month closings. A median well above the neighbors is a ceiling to price against; well below is where the value argument lives.
| Community | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIDDEN SPGS | $549,900 | $274 | 19 | 11 |
| Lake Cane Hills Add 01 Orlando | $370,000 | $266 | 16 | 6 |
| LAKE CANE HILLS | $370,000 | $266 | 16 | 6 |
| BAY PARK | $729,500 | $266 | 9 | 3 |
More SHADOW BAY SPGS: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs · cash offer vs. listing
Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2011 through 2026. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures
Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated data sources, and may contain errors or be out of date. It is provided for general information only and is not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify all information independently before relying on it.