182 days on marketSingle Family Residence▼ Price cut: $5,000 (8/4)
$635,000
4-Bedroom Home in Willowcove
15 CATKIN Lane, Ponte Vedra, FL 32081
Single Family Residence in Willowcove, Ponte Vedra · No CDD
Willowcove · Ponte Vedra, FL 32081 · St. Johns
Listing data updated August 10, 2026 · refreshed twice daily
4Bedrooms
3Bathrooms
2,267Sq Ft
2015Year Built
$280Per Sq Ft
3-car garageNo CDDFEMA Zone X4 bedrooms
Momentum Research: independent market analysis, flood data, insurance estimates, buyer leverage, and objective property scoring, alongside the MLS listing. Not just the listing sheet.
9% above
$/sq ft vs community
$280 here vs $258 median sold (12 mo)
Buyer leverage
Seller-leaning
182 days on market
1.2 months
Supply around this home
Seller <3 · balanced 3-6 · buyer >6
Zone X
Flood risk
Minimal hazard per FEMA; ~38 ft elevation
$2k–$4k/yr
Est. insurance · illustrative
Not a carrier quote; premiums vary widely by property. Get a real quote.
Below all 9
Price vs recent sales
Asking $635k is at or below all 9 recent closed sales
Listed at $635,000 — recent neighborhood median sale price ~$822,500 (nearby sales; deemed reliable, not an appraisal)
182 days on market
HOA ~$50/mo (estimate; confirm)
School district: County St. Johns County Northeast Florida Schools St. Johns County SchoolsCommunity built 2010–2015Nocatee Farmers' Market · 2 min driveBluewater Bar & Grill · 2 min driveStarbucks · 4 min drive
Momentum Research · Willowcove
Pricing & the Willowcove market
How this home is priced against recent nearby sales, and where Willowcove has been over 25 years. Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records; closed sales, deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Estimates only; see data notes.
This home’s $/sq ft vs. nearby sales
List $/sq ft against recent nearby closed sales; the community median is marked.
Price vs. size in Willowcove
Each dot is a closed sale since 2014 (272 total). This home is the gold marker.
Sale price (y) by living area in sq ft (x). realMLS closed sales.
Median $/sq ft by year
Community sold $/sq ft, 2015–2026. This home lists at $280/sq ft.
Median sale price by year
12-month median closed price, 2015–2026.
Market Heat by year (0–100)
Momentum Market Heat, 2015–2026. Now 56 (normal).
Property timeline
This home’s history
2015BuiltPer public record
Jul 2, 2026First trackedObserved at $640,000
Aug 4, 2026Price cut$635,000
NowActiveCurrently for sale
Build year is from public record. Listing milestones reflect movewithmomentum.com’s own observations since we began tracking this listing and are not the MLS listing history; dates and prices are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Financing
Estimated monthly payment
$3,938/mo
Principal & interest $3,218/mo82%
Taxes $455/mo12%
Insurance $216/mo5%
HOA $50/mo1%
$3,938/mo at 20% down, 30-yr @ 6.52% · edit any field to update.
Sources: Florida DOR certified tax roll (2025), realMLS. County public record, not MLS data — matched to this home by parcel ID. Estimates are not a tax bill.
Momentum Scores
Momentum Property Score
63/100
Strongest on: Flood safety (95), Affordability (88)
0 limited50100 exceptional
63/100 is solid, mid-pack across the objective indicators below. It reflects only those measures — not the home’s quality, condition, or desirability.
A 0-100 score built from objective property and market data: flood risk, insurance, pricing, supply, affordability, and recent sales. Higher means more measures line up in a buyer’s favor. It reflects only the factors below.
Price vs area29
This home $280/sq ft vs the community 12-month median $258/sq ft.
Affordability88
List price $635,000 vs the community median $822,500. Not a measure of personal affordability.
Flood safety95
FEMA Zone X, ~38 ft elevation. Verify the parcel with FEMA.
Insurance cost79
From FEMA Zone X and a 2015 build. Obtain a property-specific quote.
Market liquidity85
Community median 20 days on market, ~1.2 months of supply (12-month record).
Renovation upside11
From a 2015 build and $280/sq ft vs the community median $258/sq ft. Not a condition assessment.
Buyer competition82
18% of recent closings here paid cash. A higher cash share means more competition from buyers who don't need financing (lower score).
Pricing power52
Recent sales closed at about 97.6% of original asking (~2.4% below). More room below asking generally favors buyers.
Market timing44
Momentum Market Heat is 56/100 (normal). Cooler readings generally favor buyers; hotter readings favor sellers.
Momentum Scores are objective, rules-based indicators computed from listing facts, public records, and recent nearby sales. They are not appraisals, valuations, investment advice, or judgments about a neighborhood or who should live there. Verify independently.
Momentum Research
The Momentum read
🟠 Seller-leaning conditions around this listing. 1.2 months of supply in the surrounding market and 182 days on market for this home, against a 20-day area median.Days on market:this home 182Area median: 20 daysWhy it matters: above-median time on market, together with the level of supply, is a clear sign of how much leverage sits with buyers.Momentum Research interpretation of the MLS facts in the snapshot above. Source: Data provided by realMLS. As of August 5, 2026.
🟡 Asking $280 per square foot, about 9% above the community’s $258 median. Willowcove’s 12-month median sold price per square foot is $258. Median sold price per square foot is down 0.3% year over year. Confidence: High · 22 closed sales in 12 monthsMLS facts: realMLS closed sales. A per-square-foot gap is context, not an appraisal; condition, lot, and view set the final number here.
Recent Willowcove sales closed near 97.6% of original asking. Cash paid for about 18% of recent closings here.Why it matters: the community’s own record shows how far opening prices typically move, and how often buyers compete without financing.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, community-level, 12 months ending August 5, 2026. Aggregates only; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What’s unique here: one of only 2 active listings in Willowcove, no CDD assessment.
Updated August 10, 2026 · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
Listing description
About this home
Welcome to your dream home in the heart of Nocatee, one of Florida's most sought-after communities. This stunning 4-bedroom, 3-bath, true 3 car garage residence offers high value without the premium price tag of its surroundings. The home perfectly combines coastal charm with modern luxury, offering bright open spaces, quality craftsmanship, and resort-style amenities right outside your door.
An open-concept floor plan filled with natural light, ideal for entertaining family and friends. Gourmet kitchen featuring premium stainless-steel appliances, granite countertops, designer cabinetry, and center island. Relax in your private owner's suite with spa-inspired en suite bathroom, dual vanities, and a generous walk-in closet.
Enjoy your morning coffee or evening BBQs on the covered lanai overlooking the beautifully landscaped backyard. Outdoor Bull natural gas grill and producing lemon tree. Modern Features include solar electric, stylish flooring, and ample storage throughout
Description provided by OCEAN ONE REAL ESTATE GROUP LLC and reproduced from the MLS; not independently verified.
Property facts & sources
Every fact, sourced
Listing data, public records, our calculations, and what to verify — each fact shown once. Estimates and calculations shown are for general information only, are not appraisals or advice, and should be independently verified.
Listing facts MLS
List price$635,000
Bed / bath4 / 3
Living area2,267 sq ft
Year built2015
Property typeSingle Family Residence
Garage3-car
MLS #2130666
Listing status182 days on market
Public records & third-party data
FEMA flood zoneZone X
Ground elevation~38 ft
Windstorm exposureModerate
CountySt. Johns
Area listings2 active · 3 under contract
Estimated first-year tax~$5,461/yr
CDD assessmentNone on record
HOA (estimate)$50/mo
Calculated estimates
Price per sq ft$280
Estimated monthly payment$3,938
Insurance (illustrative)$2k–$4k/yr
Comparable-sales median$822,500
Buyer should verify Buyer verify
Exact HOA dues, fees, and restrictionsRoof age and conditionHVAC age and conditionA property-specific insurance quoteSurvey and lot boundariesPermit historyFlood-insurance requirementsSchool zoning (confirm with the district)Property taxes after sale (homestead reset)CDD / community assessmentsSquare footage and room dimensions
This is a deliberately dumb estimate — living area times a range of recent neighborhood $/sq ft, and nothing else. It is not an appraisal, not market value, and not a valuation of this home. Even a tight range from comparable sales can’t price a specific home — here’s why.
$514,609the mess$655,163
Actual list price: $635,000 — compare it against the range above. The Messtimate is a blind sqft estimate; the list price reflects this specific home.
A 27% spread on the same house — and that gap is exactly what an automated guess can't see:
Condition & updates — a renovated kitchen or new roof vs. dated finishes can swing value six figures; sq ft can't see it.
The lot & views — a premium golf, water, or preserve lot vs. a road-facing one: same sq ft, very different price.
Outliers skew it — one flip or distressed sale in the comps drags the whole $/sq ft up or down.
Carrying costs & concessions — CDD, HOA, insurance, and seller-paid buydowns change what a buyer actually pays.
And here's what the live market is doing — which the number above ignores entirely:
This home: 182 days on market vs. a 20-day community median
2 active listings competing, 3 under contract
≈1.2 months of supply
20 closed here in the last 12 months
For reference, this home is listed at $635,000 ($280/sq ft) — a number set with analysis a Messtimate can't do.
Want a property-specific review from a licensed agent? A Momentum Realty agent will do a real, free comparative market analysis — walking the home, the lot, the condition, and the live market. That's the difference between a Messtimate and a valuation.
Methodology: 2,267 sq ft × $227–$289/sq ft from recent nearby closed sales (public records). Estimate for general information only; not an appraisal, valuation, or offer. Updated August 10, 2026.
Keep looking
Similar homes for sale near Willowcove
Active listings nearby at a comparable size and price. Listings held by brokerages other than Momentum Realty are marked with the listing broker. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Listed for $635,000Momentum Realty · on market 182 days
Public records
Building permits
Permit history not yet linkedConfirm permit history with the county building department.
Estimated ownership costs
Estimated costs & disclosures
Estimated ownership costs for general information. Confirm each with the county, your lender, and an insurer. See data & estimate notes.
Property tax (first-year est.)
~$5,461/yr
A rough first-year estimate only, applying a typical St. Johns rate to the list price before any exemptions. Florida bills vary substantially after reassessment, homestead and other exemptions, and local taxing districts — this is not your expected bill. Confirm with the county property appraiser.
CDD assessment
None
No CDD assessment on record for this community.
Insurance (illustrative range)
$2k–$4k/yr
An illustrative modeled range, not based on carrier underwriting and not a quote. Florida premiums vary significantly by roof age, wind-mitigation features, claims history, and carrier — a real quote can land well outside this range. Flood insurance not federally mandated (Zone X). Get a quote from a licensed insurer before relying on any figure.
HOA
$50/mo
Covers the master association & common areas. Confirm exact dues and what they include.
Environmental data
Flood zone & elevation
Sourced environmental data for the parcel. Confirm with FEMA and your insurer.
FEMA flood zone
Zone X
From the FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer. In this zone lender-required flood insurance is generally not mandated; confirm for the parcel.
Ground elevation
~38 ft
Approximate parcel elevation from USGS; confirm exact elevation with a survey.
Windstorm / insurance
Obtain a quote
This is a coastal Florida county. Premiums and coverage vary by home; obtain a quote from a licensed insurer.
Connectivity
Internet & broadband
Fiber
Check availability
AT&T Fiber covers much of NE Florida; confirm availability at the address.
Cable
Likely
Xfinity/Spectrum cable broadband is widely available.
5G Home
Backup
T-Mobile / Verizon fixed-wireless as a backup option.
Market data · public records
Recent sales activity in Willowcove
Recent comparable closed sales near this home, from public records. Summary figures are for general reference only and are not a valuation of this property. See the Willowcove neighborhood guide for more.
Comparable sales found
1
Recent nearby closings in the data set.
Community median sale price
$822,500
Canonical 12-month median closed price. Reference only.
Community median $/sq ft
$258
Canonical 12-month median $/sq ft. Reference only.
Go deeper on Willowcove
See schools, amenities, builders, HOA/CDD detail, and every active & sold home in the community — the single biggest advantage of buying here over a portal.
Recent local developments near this home, compiled from news and public sources. Provided for general information; verify details with the original source.
Jul 2026 · Infrastructure
CR 210 widening westbound lanes set to reopen in St. Johns County
News4Jax reported that all westbound lanes of the County Road 210 widening project in St. Johns County were expected to reopen by the end of Friday, July 31, 2026, ahead of the August 10 school year start. The county said it is managing 44 active road projects totaling $183.1 million this year.
Why it matters: Expands roadway capacity on a major county corridor, improving traffic flow and supporting continued growth along the CR 210 area. The site is about 1 mile southwest of Willowcove At Nocatee.
Publix opens and more retailers coming to Marketplace at Nocatee
An official Nocatee business update reported that a Publix supermarket with a pharmacy drive-thru and adjacent Publix Liquors has opened at Marketplace at Nocatee. Additional announced tenants include SoFresh in late summer 2026, a Gate gas station, BODYBAR Pilates, a nail spa and a wine and spirits shop. The Hub at Nocatee entertainment concept is slated for 2028.
Why it matters: Expands grocery, dining and everyday retail capacity at a growing town center, adding anchor and service tenants that build out the commercial base of the area. The site is less than a mile northeast of Willowcove At Nocatee.
Six agricultural enclave projects seek to develop 6,500-plus acres in St. Johns County
Jacksonville Today reported that St. Johns County received six proposals totaling more than 6,558 acres for development under a new Florida agricultural enclave law that took effect July 1, 2026. The largest proposal, about 4,462 acres north of Nocatee, comes from the Davis family and the PARC Group. The County Commission scheduled a public hearing on the proposals for August 19, 2026.
Why it matters: Signals a large potential expansion of developable land and future housing and commercial capacity, using a new state process that can convert farmland to residential and commercial use with reduced local review. The site is about 1 mile southeast of Willowcove At Nocatee.
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
Why it matters: New limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 18 miles west of Willowcove At Nocatee.
Approximate driving times to verified nearby destinations. Estimates for general reference; actual times vary with traffic and route.
Groceries
Nocatee Farmers' Market 2 min
Dining
Bluewater Bar & Grill 2 min
Shopping
Panther Plaza 11 min
Health
Baptist Heart Specialists 5 min
Assigned schools
Assigned schools
Schools currently assigned to this address in St. Johns County, provided as neutral factual data. Assignments can change — confirm current zoning with the school district. This is not a statement about the home's suitability for any person or family.
Palm Valley AcademyAssigned elementary school · St. Johns County School District
Palm Valley AcademyAssigned middle school · St. Johns County School District
GRADEA
Allen D. NeaseAssigned high school · St. Johns County School District · Grade A (Florida DOE 2025-26)
Assigned schools per the MLS listing — assignments can change; confirm current zoning with the district. Browse school-zone pages →
How it stacks up
Comparable recent sales
Recent closed sales nearby, with photos, so you can compare. Sold prices are public record, deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Sold May 2026
$776,000
75 WILLOW BAY Drive, Ponte Vedra
3 / 3 bd/ba · 2,643 sq ft · $294/sq ft
Courtesy of RE/MAX UNLIMITED · View details →
Community 12-month median: $258/sq ft. Shown for general reference only — this is not an appraisal or a statement of this home's value. Sold prices are public record and deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
If you rent it out
Investment snapshot
Objective rental and cash-flow estimates for a buyer weighing this as an investment. Rough figures for general information only — not a guarantee of rent, an appraisal, or investment advice. Verify independently.
Estimated rent$2,910 – $4,233/moa rough gross-rent-yield range on list price (comp-based estimate coming).
Estimated cap rate4.7%Net operating income ÷ list price; excludes financing.
Est. monthly cash flow−$1,118 – +$73At 25% down, 30-yr; after a 10% vacancy/maintenance/management reserve.
Before you decide
Buyer research checklist
A neutral list of items to confirm for any home. This is general guidance, not advice about this specific property.
Confirm roof age and condition during inspection.
Confirm HVAC age and condition during inspection.
Request current HOA documents before relying on dues or restrictions.
Obtain an insurance quote for this specific property.
Confirm school zoning directly with the district.
Order a survey to confirm lot boundaries.
Review permit history with the county.
Confirm whether flood insurance is required for this parcel.
Confirm square footage and room dimensions independently.
Ask the county how property taxes may change after a sale.
Nearby & commute
Approximate distances
Approximate drive times for general reference only.
realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 10, 2026)
Community market stats
realMLS closed sales, as of August 5, 2026
Flood zone & elevation
FEMA flood maps + USGS elevation (Zone X shown above)
Taxes & monthly cost
Estimated from county rates; not a quote
Insurance figure
Modeled estimate; obtain a real quote before offering
Schools
2025-26 district assignments; verify with the district
Momentum Research lines are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Estimates are informational, not appraisals or advice. Methodology: how Momentum scores are computed.
Answered before you ask
Frequently asked questions
Why might my property taxes differ from the current owner's?
Florida's Save Our Homes rule caps annual assessment increases for homesteaded owners, and the assessment can be re-set after a sale. As a result a new owner's bill may differ from the seller's. Any tax figure shown here is an estimate, not the actual bill — confirm with the county property appraiser and tax collector.
Where does the flood-zone information come from?
The flood designation shown (Zone X) comes from the FEMA flood map and is provided for general information. Confirm the parcel's status with FEMA and your insurer.
Can I rely on the figures on this page?
No. Estimated taxes, insurance, payments, and any market or comparable-sales summary are opinions and estimates for general information only and should not be relied upon. Verify all information independently before making any decision.
Ready when you are
See 15 CATKIN Lane in person
Private tours available 7 days a week, in person or by live video walkthrough. Request a tour or send a question and a licensed Momentum Realty agent will follow up.
Opinion & estimate — do not rely on this page. Any figure on this page that is not a verbatim fact from the listing or a public record — including estimated property taxes, insurance, CDD/HOA amounts, mortgage payments, comparable-sales summaries, and market statistics — is an opinion and estimate provided for general informational purposes only. These figures may be inaccurate or out of date, are not appraisals, valuations, or financial, legal, tax, or investment advice, and should not be relied upon. Do not make any purchase, offer, financing, or other decision based on this page. Independently verify everything — price, square footage, lot size, year built, taxes, CDD/HOA, flood status, school assignments, permits, and community rules — with the listing broker, the county, your lender, a licensed inspector, an insurer, and your own advisors before acting.
Estimate methodology. Tax estimates apply a typical county millage rate to the list price and will differ from the actual assessed bill. Cost and market figures are derived from available data and simple calculations, not a professional appraisal. We make no representation that any estimate reflects fair market value.
Equal Housing Opportunity. Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated sources and may contain errors or be out of date. It is general information only, not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify information independently before relying on it. Momentum Realty supports the Fair Housing Act and does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, sexual orientation, or gender identity. Information about schools, distances, and amenities is provided as neutral factual data to help you research the property and is not a statement about who should or should not live here or the suitability of the home or neighborhood for any person or group. School data may change — confirm current assignments with the school district.
Found an error? If you are the owner, listing agent, or a party to this property and believe any information is inaccurate, email and we will review and correct or remove it promptly.
Automated content. Some summaries, distances, and estimates on this page are generated automatically from public and proprietary data sources and may contain errors or omissions. We strive for accuracy but cannot guarantee the completeness or accuracy of any information. Verify anything important independently.
No warranty; measurements & photos. No guarantee, warranty, or representation of any kind is made regarding the completeness or accuracy of any information, descriptions, or measurements on this page — including square-footage measurements and property condition — all of which should be independently verified through appropriate means, including in-person inspection and public records. Photographs may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions. Momentum Realty and its agents expressly disclaim any liability in connection with the information provided.
Sold price and details are from public records and the MLS, deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Shown for comparison only — not an appraisal or a statement of this home's value.
