25 days on marketSingle Family Residence▼ Price cut: $30,000 (8/11)
$595,000
5-Bedroom Pool Home in Lake Asbury
161 SHORT Trail, Green Cove Springs, FL 32043
Single Family Residence in Lake Asbury, Green Cove Springs · No CDD
Lake Asbury · Green Cove Springs, FL 32043 · Clay
Listing data updated August 24, 2026 · refreshed twice daily
5Bedrooms
3Bathrooms
2,296Sq Ft
2000Year Built
$259Per Sq Ft
Private pool2-car garageNo CDDFEMA Zone X5 bedrooms
Momentum Research: independent market analysis, flood data, insurance estimates, buyer leverage, and objective property scoring, alongside the MLS listing. Not just the listing sheet.
4% above
$/sq ft vs community
$259 here vs $250 median sold (12 mo)
Buyer leverage
Balanced market
25 days on market
4.0 months
Supply around this home
Seller <3 · balanced 3-6 · buyer >6
Zone X
Flood risk
Minimal hazard per FEMA; ~20 ft elevation
$2k–$4k/yr
Est. insurance · illustrative
Not a carrier quote; premiums vary widely by property. Get a real quote.
Listed at $595,000 — recent neighborhood median sale price ~$617,500 (nearby sales; deemed reliable, not an appraisal)
25 days on market
HOA ~$50/mo (estimate; confirm)
Community built 1950–2024Master Wok · 11 min driveYoung Buck Coffee Roasters · 11 min driveHappy Hemp Organics LLC · 12 min drive
Momentum Research · Lake Asbury
Pricing & the Lake Asbury market
How this home is priced against recent nearby sales, and where Lake Asbury has been over 25 years. Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records; closed sales, deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Estimates only; see data notes.
This home’s $/sq ft vs. nearby sales
List $/sq ft against recent nearby closed sales; the community median is marked.
Price vs. size in Lake Asbury
Each dot is a closed sale since 2001 (613 total). This home is the gold marker.
Sale price (y) by living area in sq ft (x). realMLS closed sales.
Median $/sq ft by year
Community sold $/sq ft, 2012–2026. This home lists at $259/sq ft.
Median sale price by year
12-month median closed price, 2012–2026.
Market Heat by year (0–100)
Momentum Market Heat, 2013–2026. Now 62 (hot).
Property timeline
This home’s history
2000BuiltPer public record
Aug 4, 2026First trackedObserved at $625,000
Aug 11, 2026Price cut$595,000
NowActiveCurrently for sale
Build year is from public record. Listing milestones reflect movewithmomentum.com’s own observations since we began tracking this listing and are not the MLS listing history; dates and prices are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Financing
Estimated monthly payment
$3,862/mo
Principal & interest $3,062/mo79%
Taxes $486/mo13%
Insurance $264/mo7%
HOA $50/mo1%
$3,862/mo at 20% down, 30-yr @ 6.67% · edit any field to update.
Estimated from today’s asking price and current Clay County tax rates.
⚠️
Many first-time Florida buyers are surprised when property taxes jump after closing. This estimate helps you budget before you make an offer.
Current owner pays $3,750/yr ($312/mo)
+$4,450 more each year
(+119%)
Most of this comes from Florida’s Save Our Homes assessment cap resetting when the home sells — the current owner’s protected assessment doesn’t transfer to a new buyer.
🛡️
Current ownerProtected by Save Our Homes
🔄
Home sellsResets the January after
🧾
Buyer paysBased on purchase price
$185,038
Save Our Homes benefit
The current owner’s protected taxable value sits this much below market — which is why today’s bill is lower than a new buyer’s.
Sources: Florida DOR certified tax roll (2025), realMLS. County public record, not MLS data — matched to this home by parcel ID. Estimates are not a tax bill.
Momentum Scores
Momentum Property Score
56/100
Strongest on: Flood safety (95), Insurance cost (69)
0 limited50100 exceptional
56/100 is solid, mid-pack across the objective indicators below. It reflects only those measures — not the home’s quality, condition, or desirability.
A 0-100 score built from objective property and market data: flood risk, insurance, pricing, supply, affordability, and recent sales. Higher means more measures line up in a buyer’s favor. It reflects only the factors below.
Price vs area41
This home $259/sq ft vs the community 12-month median $250/sq ft.
Affordability56
List price $595,000 vs the community median $617,500. Not a measure of personal affordability.
Flood safety95
FEMA Zone X, ~20 ft elevation. Verify the parcel with FEMA.
Insurance cost69
From FEMA Zone X and a 2000 build. Obtain a property-specific quote.
Market liquidity63
Community median 32 days on market, ~4.0 months of supply (12-month record).
Renovation upside29
From a 2000 build and $259/sq ft vs the community median $250/sq ft. Not a condition assessment.
Pricing power60
Recent sales closed at about 96.1% of original asking (~3.9% below). More room below asking generally favors buyers.
Market timing38
Momentum Market Heat is 62/100 (hot). Cooler readings generally favor buyers; hotter readings favor sellers.
Momentum Scores are objective, rules-based indicators computed from listing facts, public records, and recent nearby sales. They are not appraisals, valuations, investment advice, or judgments about a neighborhood or who should live there. Verify independently.
Momentum Research
The Momentum read
🟡 Balanced conditions around this listing. 4.0 months of supply in the surrounding market and 25 days on market for this home, against a 32-day area median.Days on market:this home 25Area median: 32 daysWhy it matters: above-median time on market, together with the level of supply, is a clear sign of how much leverage sits with buyers.Momentum Research interpretation of the MLS facts in the snapshot above. Source: Data provided by realMLS. As of August 23, 2026.
🟡 Asking $259 per square foot, about 4% above the community’s $250 median. Lake Asbury’s 12-month median sold price per square foot is $250. Median sold price per square foot is up 13.4% year over year. Confidence: Very High · 36 closed sales in 12 monthsMLS facts: realMLS closed sales. A per-square-foot gap is context, not an appraisal; condition, lot, and view set the final number here.
82% of homes in Lake Asbury are owner-occupied. An estimated 18% are non-owner-occupied, including 1% held in a company or trust and 2% out-of-state owners.Why it matters: a high owner-occupied share typically means fewer rentals nearby and steadier resale demand.Source: Florida Department of Revenue 2025 assessment roll (public records), 426 homes matched. Community-level context.
Recent Lake Asbury sales closed near 96.1% of original asking.Why it matters: the community’s own record shows how far opening prices typically move, and how often buyers compete without financing.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, community-level, 12 months ending August 23, 2026. Aggregates only; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What’s unique here: one of only 12 active listings in Lake Asbury, no CDD assessment.
Updated August 24, 2026 · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
Listing description
About this home
Welcome to the ultimate rustic-luxury sanctuary--where true country homesteading meets modern convenience! Nestled on a completely private, fully fenced one-acre lot, this enchanting farmhouse offers an extraordinary lifestyle surrounded by tranquility, all while sitting just steps away from everyday modern amenities. From the moment you arrive, the magnificent double-decker front porch under a timeless metal roof sets a tone of classic southern charm.
Step inside to discover a warm, open-concept lower level featuring stunning wood floors, character-filled details at every turn, and a cozy gas fireplace that serves as the heart of the home. The chef's kitchen seamlessly integrates with the living space, boasting sleek stainless steel appliances and gorgeous granite countertops. Upstairs, the thoughtfully designed layout offers complete privacy, housing spacious bedrooms--including a truly huge bonus room/bedroom--providing five total bedrooms and three bathrooms with endless flexibility for family, guests, or a dedicated home office.
Step outside into your private backyard paradise built for both relaxation and recreation. Whether you're unwinding under the gazebo, lounging on the extended covered lanai, or hosting summer gatherings around the sparkling above-ground pool and sun deck, this property delivers room to roam like no other. For dog lovers, this property offers an already fenced in dog run and fully fenced yard!!
For those dreaming of a self-sustaining lifestyle, the fully equipped barn (with two working stalls and a huge storage area), ready-to-use chicken coop, and expansive fenced grounds offer the perfect setup for a thriving homestead. Best of all? You can play to your heart's content on your very own private pickleball court right in your back yard!
If Basketball is your game, no worries there! The court also offers basketball!! Unmatched in character, privacy, and fun, this dream retreat is truly a rare find that has it all.
Description provided by COLDWELL BANKER VANGUARD REALTY and reproduced from the MLS; not independently verified.
Property facts & sources
Every fact, sourced
Listing data, public records, our calculations, and what to verify — each fact shown once. Estimates and calculations shown are for general information only, are not appraisals or advice, and should be independently verified.
Listing facts MLS
List price$595,000
Bed / bath5 / 3
Living area2,296 sq ft
Year built2000
Property typeSingle Family Residence
Garage2-car
PoolYes
MLS #2157697
Listing status25 days on market
Public records & third-party data
FEMA flood zoneZone X
Ground elevation~20 ft
Windstorm exposureLow
CountyClay
Area listings12 active · 4 under contract
Estimated first-year tax~$5,831/yr
CDD assessmentNone on record
HOA (estimate)$50/mo
Calculated estimates
Price per sq ft$259
Estimated monthly payment$3,862
Insurance (illustrative)$2k–$4k/yr
Messtimate range$470,680 – $684,208
Comparable-sales median$617,500
Buyer should verify Buyer verify
Exact HOA dues, fees, and restrictionsRoof age and conditionHVAC age and conditionA property-specific insurance quoteSurvey and lot boundariesPermit historyFlood-insurance requirementsSchool zoning (confirm with the district)Property taxes after sale (homestead reset)CDD / community assessmentsSquare footage and room dimensions
This is a deliberately dumb estimate — living area times a range of recent neighborhood $/sq ft, and nothing else. It is not an appraisal, not market value, and not a valuation of this home. Even a tight range from comparable sales can’t price a specific home — here’s why.
$470,680the mess$684,208
Actual list price: $595,000 — compare it against the range above. The Messtimate is a blind sqft estimate; the list price reflects this specific home.
A 45% spread on the same house — and that gap is exactly what an automated guess can't see:
Condition & updates — a renovated kitchen or new roof vs. dated finishes can swing value six figures; sq ft can't see it.
The lot & views — a premium golf, water, or preserve lot vs. a road-facing one: same sq ft, very different price.
Outliers skew it — one flip or distressed sale in the comps drags the whole $/sq ft up or down.
Carrying costs & concessions — CDD, HOA, insurance, and seller-paid buydowns change what a buyer actually pays.
And here's what the live market is doing — which the number above ignores entirely:
This home: 25 days on market vs. a 32-day community median
12 active listings competing, 4 under contract
≈4.0 months of supply
36 closed here in the last 12 months
For reference, this home is listed at $595,000 ($259/sq ft) — a number set with analysis a Messtimate can't do.
Want a property-specific review from a licensed agent? A Momentum Realty agent will do a real, free comparative market analysis — walking the home, the lot, the condition, and the live market. That's the difference between a Messtimate and a valuation.
Methodology: 2,296 sq ft × $205–$298/sq ft from recent nearby closed sales (public records). Estimate for general information only; not an appraisal, valuation, or offer. Updated August 24, 2026.
Keep looking
Similar homes for sale near Lake Asbury
Active listings nearby at a comparable size and price. Listings held by brokerages other than Momentum Realty are marked with the listing broker. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Listed for $595,000Momentum Realty · on market 25 days
Public records
Building permits
Permit history not yet linkedConfirm permit history with the county building department.
Estimated ownership costs
Estimated costs & disclosures
Estimated ownership costs for general information. Confirm each with the county, your lender, and an insurer. See data & estimate notes.
Property tax (first-year est.)
~$5,831/yr
A rough first-year estimate only, applying a typical Clay rate to the list price before any exemptions. Florida bills vary substantially after reassessment, homestead and other exemptions, and local taxing districts — this is not your expected bill. Confirm with the county property appraiser.
CDD assessment
None
No CDD assessment on record for this community.
Insurance (illustrative range)
$2k–$4k/yr
An illustrative modeled range, not based on carrier underwriting and not a quote. Florida premiums vary significantly by roof age, wind-mitigation features, claims history, and carrier — a real quote can land well outside this range. Flood insurance not federally mandated (Zone X). Get a quote from a licensed insurer before relying on any figure.
HOA
$50/mo
Covers the master association & common areas. Confirm exact dues and what they include.
Environmental data
Flood zone & elevation
Sourced environmental data for the parcel. Confirm with FEMA and your insurer.
FEMA flood zone
Zone X
From the FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer. In this zone lender-required flood insurance is generally not mandated; confirm for the parcel.
Ground elevation
~20 ft
Approximate parcel elevation from USGS; confirm exact elevation with a survey.
Windstorm / insurance
Obtain a quote
This is a coastal Florida county. Premiums and coverage vary by home; obtain a quote from a licensed insurer.
Connectivity
Internet & broadband
Fiber
Check availability
AT&T Fiber covers much of NE Florida; confirm availability at the address.
Cable
Likely
Xfinity/Spectrum cable broadband is widely available.
5G Home
Backup
T-Mobile / Verizon fixed-wireless as a backup option.
Market data · public records
Recent sales activity in Lake Asbury
Recent comparable closed sales near this home, from public records. Summary figures are for general reference only and are not a valuation of this property. See the Lake Asbury neighborhood guide for more.
Comparable sales found
6
Recent nearby closings in the data set.
Community median sale price
$617,500
Canonical 12-month median closed price. Reference only.
Community median $/sq ft
$250
Canonical 12-month median $/sq ft. Reference only.
Go deeper on Lake Asbury
See schools, amenities, builders, HOA/CDD detail, and every active & sold home in the community — the single biggest advantage of buying here over a portal.
Recent local developments near this home, compiled from news and public sources. Provided for general information; verify details with the original source.
Jun 2026 · Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
Why it matters: Continued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 12 miles north of Lake Asbury.
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
Why it matters: Adds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The site is about 3 miles southeast of Lake Asbury.
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
Why it matters: New limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 6 miles east of Lake Asbury.
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
Why it matters: A build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 12 miles north of Lake Asbury.
Approximate driving times to verified nearby destinations. Estimates for general reference; actual times vary with traffic and route.
Groceries
Happy Hemp Organics LLC 12 min
Dining
Master Wok 11 min
Shopping
Meant For Me Gifts 12 min
Parks
Ronnie Van Zant Memorial Park 12 min
Assigned schools
Assigned schools
Schools currently assigned to this address in Clay County, provided as neutral factual data. Assignments can change — confirm current zoning with the school district. This is not a statement about the home's suitability for any person or family.
GRADEB
Lake Asbury Elementary SchoolPublic Elementary · Clay County School District · Grade B (Florida DOE 2025-26)
GRADEA
Lake Asbury Junior High SchoolPublic Junior High · Clay County School District · Grade A (Florida DOE 2025-26)
GRADEB
Clay High SchoolPublic 9-12 · Clay County School District · Grade B (Florida DOE 2025-26)
How it stacks up
Comparable recent sales
Recent closed sales nearby, with photos, so you can compare. Sold prices are public record, deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Sold Jun 2026
$785,000
720 ARTHUR MOORE Drive, Green Cove Springs
4 / 3 bd/ba · 2,448 sq ft · $321/sq ft
Courtesy of COLDWELL BANKER VANGUARD REALTY · View details →
Sold Aug 2026
$598,000
836 LAKE ASBURY Drive, Green Cove Springs
4 / 3 bd/ba · 2,010 sq ft · $298/sq ft
Courtesy of HERRON REAL ESTATE LLC · View details →
Sold Jul 2026
$630,000
248 COKESBURY Court, Green Cove Springs
4 / 3 bd/ba · 2,658 sq ft · $237/sq ft
Courtesy of INI REALTY · View details →
Sold Jul 2026
$299,000
2478 CREEKFRONT Drive, Green Cove Springs
4 / 2 bd/ba · 1,898 sq ft · $158/sq ft
Courtesy of DJ & LINDSEY REAL ESTATE · View details →
Sold Jul 2026
$630,000
552 ARTHUR MOORE Drive, Green Cove Springs
4 / 3 bd/ba · 2,744 sq ft · $230/sq ft
Courtesy of COLDWELL BANKER VANGUARD REALTY · View details →
Sold Aug 2026
$585,000
2315 CONCILIATION Lane, Green Cove Springs
5 / 3 bd/ba · 2,856 sq ft · $205/sq ft
Courtesy of REAL BROKER LLC · View details →
Community 12-month median: $250/sq ft. Shown for general reference only — this is not an appraisal or a statement of this home's value. Sold prices are public record and deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
If you rent it out
Investment snapshot
Objective rental and cash-flow estimates for a buyer weighing this as an investment. Rough figures for general information only — not a guarantee of rent, an appraisal, or investment advice. Verify independently.
Estimated rent$2,727 – $3,967/moa rough gross-rent-yield range on list price (comp-based estimate coming).
Estimated cap rate4.5%Net operating income ÷ list price; excludes financing.
Est. monthly cash flow−$1,217 – −$101At 25% down, 30-yr; after a 10% vacancy/maintenance/management reserve.
Before you decide
Buyer research checklist
A neutral list of items to confirm for any home. This is general guidance, not advice about this specific property.
Confirm roof age and condition during inspection.
Confirm HVAC age and condition during inspection.
Request current HOA documents before relying on dues or restrictions.
Obtain an insurance quote for this specific property.
Confirm school zoning directly with the district.
Order a survey to confirm lot boundaries.
Review permit history with the county.
Confirm whether flood insurance is required for this parcel.
Confirm square footage and room dimensions independently.
Ask the county how property taxes may change after a sale.
Nearby & commute
Approximate distances
Approximate drive times for general reference only.
realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 24, 2026)
Community market stats
realMLS closed sales, as of August 23, 2026
Flood zone & elevation
FEMA flood maps + USGS elevation (Zone X shown above)
Taxes & monthly cost
Estimated from county rates; not a quote
Insurance figure
Modeled estimate; obtain a real quote before offering
Schools
2025-26 district assignments; verify with the district
Momentum Research lines are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Estimates are informational, not appraisals or advice. Methodology: how Momentum scores are computed.
Answered before you ask
Frequently asked questions
Why might my property taxes differ from the current owner's?
Florida's Save Our Homes rule caps annual assessment increases for homesteaded owners, and the assessment can be re-set after a sale. As a result a new owner's bill may differ from the seller's. Any tax figure shown here is an estimate, not the actual bill — confirm with the county property appraiser and tax collector.
Where does the flood-zone information come from?
The flood designation shown (Zone X) comes from the FEMA flood map and is provided for general information. Confirm the parcel's status with FEMA and your insurer.
Can I rely on the figures on this page?
No. Estimated taxes, insurance, payments, and any market or comparable-sales summary are opinions and estimates for general information only and should not be relied upon. Verify all information independently before making any decision.
Ready when you are
See 161 SHORT Trail in person
Private tours available 7 days a week, in person or by live video walkthrough. Request a tour or send a question and a licensed Momentum Realty agent will follow up.
Opinion & estimate — do not rely on this page. Any figure on this page that is not a verbatim fact from the listing or a public record — including estimated property taxes, insurance, CDD/HOA amounts, mortgage payments, comparable-sales summaries, and market statistics — is an opinion and estimate provided for general informational purposes only. These figures may be inaccurate or out of date, are not appraisals, valuations, or financial, legal, tax, or investment advice, and should not be relied upon. Do not make any purchase, offer, financing, or other decision based on this page. Independently verify everything — price, square footage, lot size, year built, taxes, CDD/HOA, flood status, school assignments, permits, and community rules — with the listing broker, the county, your lender, a licensed inspector, an insurer, and your own advisors before acting.
Estimate methodology. Tax estimates apply a typical county millage rate to the list price and will differ from the actual assessed bill. Cost and market figures are derived from available data and simple calculations, not a professional appraisal. We make no representation that any estimate reflects fair market value.
Equal Housing Opportunity. Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated sources and may contain errors or be out of date. It is general information only, not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify information independently before relying on it. Momentum Realty supports the Fair Housing Act and does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, sexual orientation, or gender identity. Information about schools, distances, and amenities is provided as neutral factual data to help you research the property and is not a statement about who should or should not live here or the suitability of the home or neighborhood for any person or group. School data may change — confirm current assignments with the school district.
Found an error? If you are the owner, listing agent, or a party to this property and believe any information is inaccurate, email and we will review and correct or remove it promptly.
Automated content. Some summaries, distances, and estimates on this page are generated automatically from public and proprietary data sources and may contain errors or omissions. We strive for accuracy but cannot guarantee the completeness or accuracy of any information. Verify anything important independently.
No warranty; measurements & photos. No guarantee, warranty, or representation of any kind is made regarding the completeness or accuracy of any information, descriptions, or measurements on this page — including square-footage measurements and property condition — all of which should be independently verified through appropriate means, including in-person inspection and public records. Photographs may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions. Momentum Realty and its agents expressly disclaim any liability in connection with the information provided.
Sold price and details are from public records and the MLS, deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Shown for comparison only — not an appraisal or a statement of this home's value.
