Fern Park
Housing Market

City market report · Seminole County · 3 ZIP codes

Median sale price $432,450, up 2.5% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 45 days, 3 homes on the market.

10 communities reporting64 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 66
Live Market Pulse
66/100
Momentum
Healthy Market
Tracking 10 communities across Fern Park. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET.
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Live · Fern Park Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$432K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: Medium
up 2.5% vs the prior 12 months
+2.5%
1-yr price change
n = 64 recent sales
$224/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Seminole County: $235 · -3.4% vs prior yr
94.9%
Sale vs ask
Seminole County: 96.1% · -2.1pp vs prior yr
$405K
Seminole County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -1.4% vs a year ago
Tempo
2.4mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
45days
Median DOM · closed
Seminole County: 34 days · +18.0 days vs prior yr
32%
Under contract
Seminole County: 37%
3 · 1 ▼3
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
20
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +16.4% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Seminole County · Zillow · +1.4pp vs prior month
2,072
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.6% vs prior month
23%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 36% · -9.4pp vs prior yr
66/100
Momentum score
Healthy Market
10
Communities reporting
of 38 tracked in Fern Park
Economy & people · county layer
$83,030
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
474,912
County population
+4.4% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
66%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,493/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 26, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 2.4 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 32% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 2.5% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 94.9% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 66
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage34
Seller leverage66

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — pressure remains upward while supply stays this thin.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 32% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Fern Park data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Fern Park is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (10 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Fern Park

The median sale price across Fern Park currently stands at $432,450, up 2.5% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $224 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 45 days. Sellers are capturing 94.9% of their original asking price on average.

There are 3 active listings on the market, with 1 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.4 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 20 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Fern Park prices sit above the Seminole County median by roughly 4%. Zillow's home value index for Seminole County stands at $405,395. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Fern Park is 66 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 26, 2026.

Trends & History

Fern Park since 2014 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $162,505 in 2014 and $381,615 over the last recorded year — 135% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 23% of recent sales, down from a 36% peak.

Median sale price · 2014–2026 (628 recorded sales)

$154K$270K$386K$382K2014: $163K2015: $158K2016: $178K2017: $196K2018: $230K2022: $317K2023: $380K2024: $372K2025: $379K2026: $382K20142016202220242026

Days on market by year

7d26d45d45d2014: 34d2015: 25d2016: 20d2017: 20d2018: 21d2022: 8d2023: 14d2024: 24d2025: 27d2026: 45d20142016202220242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

23%30%36%23%2016: 36%2017: 28%2018: 30%2019: 31%2020: 23%2021: 32%2022: 30%2023: 28%2024: 30%2025: 33%2026: 23%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Seminole County (Zillow ZHVI)

$405K$408K$411K$405KJul '25: $411KAug '25: $409KSep '25: $408KOct '25: $407KNov '25: $407KDec '25: $407KJan '26: $407KFeb '26: $408KMar '26: $408KApr '26: $407KMay '26: $407KJun '26: $406KJul '26: $405KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,7972,0652,3322,072Jul '25: 2,322Aug '25: 2,260Sep '25: 2,176Oct '25: 2,101Nov '25: 2,016Dec '25: 1,905Jan '26: 1,836Feb '26: 1,808Mar '26: 1,874Apr '26: 1,937May '26: 2,009Jun '26: 2,060Jul '26: 2,072Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Seminole County (MLS)

5701,1261,681Jul 07 · Active: 1,523Aug 03 · Active: 1,600Aug 04 · Active: 1,566Aug 05 · Active: 1,597Aug 06 · Active: 1,599Aug 07 · Active: 1,611Aug 08 · Active: 1,631Aug 09 · Active: 1,635Aug 10 · Active: 1,640Aug 11 · Active: 1,624Aug 12 · Active: 1,623Aug 13 · Active: 1,626Aug 15 · Active: 1,653Aug 17 · Active: 1,638Aug 19 · Active: 1,629Aug 22 · Active: 1,659Aug 23 · Active: 1,656Jul 07Aug 10Aug 23ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$358K$396K$434K$432KAug 06: $360KAug 08: $360KAug 09: $360KAug 10: $360KAug 11: $432KAug 12: $432KAug 13: $432KAug 15: $432KAug 17: $432KAug 18: $432KAug 19: $432KAug 20: $432KAug 21: $432KAug 22: $432KAug 23: $432KAug 24: $432KAug 26: $432KAug 06Aug 11Aug 17Aug 21Aug 26
Single-family 59%Townhome 28%Condo 13%Villa 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Fern Park

Who’s moving here
-99 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, TX, CA. Movers arriving report ~$62,559 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,572/yr avg premium

1,203 Citizens policies in force in Seminole County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Seminole purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
1,997 units permitted -12% YoY

893 single-family · 1,104 multi-family · 4.2 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 2 ▲ 6%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Seminole County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Fern Park ← this page$432K366
Sanford$387K15761Open →
Oviedo$485K6173Open →
Lake Mary$417K6073Open →
Altamonte Springs$345K4659Open →
Longwood$482K4170Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 2Fern Park$470K▲ 6%
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 4Fern Park$470K▲ 6%
Prices cooling fastest
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 2Fern Park$470K▼ 6%
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 4Fern Park$470K▼ 6%
Most homes for sale
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 2Fern Park$470K3
Selling fastest
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 2Fern Park$470K24 days
INDIAN HILLS UNIT 4Fern Park$470K24 days
Explore Deeper

Fern Park ZIP codes

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Fern Park right now?

The data says conditions currently favor sellers in Fern Park — the Momentum Score reads 66/100 with 2.4 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Fern Park becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in Fern Park is $432,450, up 2.5% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.9% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in Fern Park?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are INDIAN HILLS UNIT 2 (6%); INDIAN HILLS UNIT 4 (6%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Fern Park neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are INDIAN HILLS UNIT 2 (24 days); INDIAN HILLS UNIT 4 (24 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 45 days.

How does Fern Park compare to the rest of Seminole County?

Fern Park's median of $432,450 runs 4% above the county-wide median of $415,000, and homes here take 45 days to go under contract versus 34 county-wide.

Questions

Fern Park housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in Fern Park?

The median sale price in Fern Park is currently $432,450, up 2.5% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 26, 2026.

Is Fern Park a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. Fern Park scores 66 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.4 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Fern Park?

The typical home in Fern Park goes under contract in about 45 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Fern Park?

There are approximately 3 active listings in Fern Park as of August 26, 2026.

Are home prices in Fern Park rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 2.5% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Fern Park. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.