Golden Oak
Housing Market
Median sale price $7,145,000, down 13.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 41 days.
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Housing Market Analyst
Prices are down 13.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 97.0% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.3× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Golden Oak data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on Golden Oak
The median sale price across Golden Oak currently stands at $7,145,000, down 13.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $1613 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 41 days. Sellers are capturing 97.0% of their original asking price on average.
Golden Oak prices sit above the Orange County median by roughly 1458%. Zillow's home value index for Orange County stands at $404,958. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Golden Oak is 55 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
Golden Oak since 2015 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $3,971,250 in 2015 and $7,218,064 over the last recorded year — 82% appreciation across 11 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 93% of recent sales, down from a 93% peak.
Median sale price · 2015–2026 (168 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Orange County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Orange County (MLS)
What’s driving Golden Oak
Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, TX. Movers arriving report ~$66,457 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
4,204 Citizens policies in force in Orange County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Orange purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,221 single-family · 8,919 multi-family · 9.1 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Orange County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Oak ← this page | $7.14M | — | 55 | |
| Orlando | $408K | 1,352 | 58 | Open → |
| Winter Garden | $595K | 299 | 62 | Open → |
| Apopka | $395K | 236 | 70 | Open → |
| Windermere | $640K | 123 | 58 | Open → |
| Winter Park | $447K | 92 | 62 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Golden Oak Phase 5Golden Oak | $7.14M | ▲ -13% |
| GOLDEN OAKGolden Oak | $7.14M | ▲ -13% |
| Golden Oak Phase 5Golden Oak | $7.14M | ▼ 13% |
| GOLDEN OAKGolden Oak | $7.14M | ▼ 13% |
| Golden Oak Phase 5Golden Oak | $7.14M | 44 days |
| GOLDEN OAKGolden Oak | $7.14M | 44 days |
Golden Oak ZIP codes
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Golden Oak right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Golden Oak — the Momentum Score reads 55/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Golden Oak becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Golden Oak is $7,145,000, down 13.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 97.0% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Golden Oak?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Golden Oak Phase 5 (-13%); GOLDEN OAK (-13%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Golden Oak neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Golden Oak Phase 5 (44 days); GOLDEN OAK (44 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 41 days.
How does Golden Oak compare to the rest of Orange County?
Golden Oak's median of $7,145,000 runs 1458% above the county-wide median of $458,500, and homes here take 41 days to go under contract versus 42 county-wide.
Golden Oak housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in Golden Oak?
The median sale price in Golden Oak is currently $7,145,000, down 13.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is Golden Oak a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. Golden Oak scores 55 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Golden Oak?
The typical home in Golden Oak goes under contract in about 41 days, per current MLS data.
Are home prices in Golden Oak rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 13.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Golden Oak. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.