Orange County
Housing Market

County market report · Florida · 80 ZIP codes

Median sale price $458,000, down 1.8% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 42 days, 5,763 homes on the market.

1,944 communities reporting14,683 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 61
Live Market Pulse
61/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
5,763 homes on the market right now. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET.
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Live · Orange County Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$458K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 1.8% vs the prior 12 months
-1.8%
1-yr price change
n = 14,683 recent sales
$240/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
-0.8% vs prior yr
95.6%
Sale vs ask
of original asking price · -0.3pp vs prior yr
$404K
Orange County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -1.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
3.8mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
42days
Median DOM · closed
closed sales, median · +4.0 days vs prior yr
32%
Under contract
of inventory already spoken for
5,763 · 1,974 ▼4
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
8,485
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -5.4% vs prior yr
Market context
27%
Listings with price cuts
Orange County · Zillow · +1.1pp vs prior month
6,856
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.5% vs prior month
17%
New construction
share of recent sales · -0.8pp vs prior yr
26%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 34% · -0.3pp vs prior yr
61/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$77,011
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
1,440,471
County population
+9.0% since 2018
5.2×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
57%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,795/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 26, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 3.8 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 32% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 1.8% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 61
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage39
Seller leverage61

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 32% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.2× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Orange County data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
4.7 mo · balanced band · 507 active
$300K–$500K
2.5 mo · seller-tilted · 727 active
$500K–$750K
2.9 mo · seller-tilted · 582 active
$750K+
3.8 mo · balanced band · 427 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Orange County is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (350 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Orange County

The median sale price across Orange County currently stands at $458,000, down 1.8% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $240 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 42 days. Sellers are capturing 95.6% of their original asking price on average.

There are 5,763 active listings on the market, with 1,974 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.8 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 8,485 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Orange County stands at $403,786. About 27% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Orange County is 61 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 26, 2026.

Trends & History

Orange County since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $177,653 in 2012 and $538,433 over the last recorded year — 203% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 26% of recent sales, down from a 34% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (138,562 recorded sales)

$170K$358K$546K$538K2012: $178K2013: $201K2014: $218K2015: $236K2016: $238K2017: $255K2018: $324K2019: $338K2020: $280K2021: $422K2022: $412K2023: $453K2024: $508K2025: $533K2026: $538K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

4d116d229d43d2012: 45d2013: 31d2014: 38d2015: 48d2016: 41d2017: 40d2018: 62d2019: 75d2020: 225d2021: 13d2022: 9d2023: 19d2024: 24d2025: 39d2026: 43d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

24%29%34%26%2016: 34%2017: 30%2018: 28%2019: 26%2020: 25%2021: 24%2022: 34%2023: 31%2024: 31%2025: 26%2026: 26%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Orange County (Zillow ZHVI)

$404K$407K$411K$404KJul '25: $411KAug '25: $408KSep '25: $407KOct '25: $406KNov '25: $406KDec '25: $406KJan '26: $407KFeb '26: $407KMar '26: $406KApr '26: $406KMay '26: $405KJun '26: $404KJul '26: $404KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

6,1976,7177,2366,856Jul '25: 7,216Aug '25: 7,189Sep '25: 7,039Oct '25: 6,885Nov '25: 6,694Dec '25: 6,422Jan '26: 6,239Feb '26: 6,218Mar '26: 6,471Apr '26: 6,636May '26: 6,782Jun '26: 6,820Jul '26: 6,856Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Orange County (MLS)

1,8943,8755,857Jul 07 · Active: 5,644Aug 03 · Active: 5,739Aug 04 · Active: 5,674Aug 05 · Active: 5,743Aug 06 · Active: 5,726Aug 07 · Active: 5,757Aug 08 · Active: 5,775Aug 09 · Active: 5,778Aug 10 · Active: 5,768Aug 11 · Active: 5,742Aug 12 · Active: 5,725Aug 13 · Active: 5,715Aug 15 · Active: 5,774Aug 17 · Active: 5,745Aug 19 · Active: 5,705Aug 22 · Active: 5,767Aug 23 · Active: 5,763Jul 07Aug 10Aug 23ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$458K$458K$459K$458KAug 06: $458KAug 08: $458KAug 09: $458KAug 10: $458KAug 11: $458KAug 12: $458KAug 13: $458KAug 15: $458KAug 17: $458KAug 18: $458KAug 19: $458KAug 20: $458KAug 21: $458KAug 22: $458KAug 23: $458KAug 24: $458KAug 26: $458KAug 06Aug 11Aug 17Aug 21Aug 26
Single-family 74%Townhome 12%Condo 10%Condo - Hotel 1%? 1%
Local Economics · the economics underneath

What’s driving Orange County

Who’s moving here
-9,037 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, TX. Movers arriving report ~$66,457 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,409/yr avg premium

4,204 Citizens policies in force in Orange County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Orange purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
13,140 units permitted +63% YoY

4,221 single-family · 8,919 multi-family · 9.1 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
LAKE BURDEN SOUTH PH I ▼ 54%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 4.7 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Orange County right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 2.5 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up against neighboring counties

MarketMedianActiveScore
Orange County ← this page$458K5,76361
Seminole County$415K1,65667Open →
Osceola County$410K4,44150Open →
Lake County$372K3,12858Open →
Polk County$311K5,64647Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Bay Hill Sec 13Orlando$1.74M▲ 44%
BAY HILLOrlando$1.80M▲ 41%
Laureate Park Ph 10Orlando$860K▲ 41%
STONEYBROOK WEST 44/134Winter Garden$642K▲ 35%
APOPKA TOWNApopka$370K▲ 32%
Prices cooling fastest
LAKE BURDEN SOUTH PH IWindermere$435K▼ 54%
EAGLE CRK PH 01C-VLG DOrlando$385K▼ 53%
ISLES OF LAKE NONAOrlando$470K▼ 46%
SOLAIRE/PLAZA CONDOOrlando$190K▼ 39%
CHARMONTWinter Park$1.00M▼ 38%
Most homes for sale
LAUREATE PARK AT LAKE NONAOrlando$772K63
WATERLEIGHWinter Garden$595K55
HAMPTONS/METROWESTOrlando$187K25
ENCLAVE AT ORLANDOOrlando$222K23
EVERBEOrlando$536K23
Selling fastest
SERENADE AT OVATIONWinter Garden$472K2 days
SILVERLEAF OAKSWinter Garden$473K2 days
ANDERSON PARKOrlando$571K3 days
osprey ranch ph iWinter Garden$574K3 days
BRYN MAWROrlando$447K4 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in Orange County

ZIP codes

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Orange County right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Orange County — the Momentum Score reads 61/100 with 3.8 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Orange County becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Orange County is $458,000, down 1.8% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Orange County?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are LAKE BURDEN SOUTH PH I (-54%); EAGLE CRK PH 01C-VLG D (-53%); ISLES OF LAKE NONA (-46%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Orange County neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are SERENADE AT OVATION (2 days); SILVERLEAF OAKS (2 days); ANDERSON PARK (3 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 42 days.

Questions

Orange County housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in Orange County?

The median sale price in Orange County is currently $458,000, down 1.8% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 26, 2026.

Is Orange County a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. Orange County scores 61 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.8 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Orange County?

The typical home in Orange County goes under contract in about 42 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Orange County?

There are approximately 5,763 active listings in Orange County as of August 26, 2026.

Are home prices in Orange County rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 1.8% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Orange County. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.