Thonotosassa
Housing Market
Median sale price $739,900, up 4.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 32 days, 9 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 8.0 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 20% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 4.2% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 96.0% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 20% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.1× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Thonotosassa data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on Thonotosassa
The median sale price across Thonotosassa currently stands at $739,900, up 4.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $232 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 32 days. Sellers are capturing 96.0% of their original asking price on average.
There are 9 active listings on the market, with 1 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 8.0 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 14 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Thonotosassa prices sit above the Hillsborough County median by roughly 88%. Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $380,147. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Thonotosassa is 50 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
Thonotosassa since 2015 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $139,966 in 2015 and $894,161 over the last recorded year — 539% appreciation across 11 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 6% of recent sales, down from a 12% peak.
Median sale price · 2015–2026 (223 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Thonotosassa
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Hillsborough County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thonotosassa ← this page | $740K | 9 | 50 | |
| Tampa | $442K | 1,287 | 60 | Open → |
| Riverview | $360K | 377 | 55 | Open → |
| Wimauma | $360K | 160 | 57 | Open → |
| Apollo Beach | $501K | 137 | 51 | Open → |
| Ruskin | $320K | 135 | 47 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | ▲ 11% |
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | ▼ 11% |
| stonelake ranch ph 3Thonotosassa | $2.16M | 4 |
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | 3 days |
Thonotosassa ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Thonotosassa
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Thonotosassa right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Thonotosassa — the Momentum Score reads 50/100 with 8.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Thonotosassa becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in Thonotosassa is $739,900, up 4.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.0% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in Thonotosassa?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are GRACELAND ESTATES (11%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Thonotosassa neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are GRACELAND ESTATES (3 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 32 days.
How does Thonotosassa compare to the rest of Hillsborough County?
Thonotosassa's median of $739,900 runs 88% above the county-wide median of $394,000, and homes here take 32 days to go under contract versus 43 county-wide.
Thonotosassa housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Thonotosassa right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the Thonotosassa housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $739,900 (up 4.2% year over year), 9 homes are for sale against 14 sales in the last 12 months, which is 8.0 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 32 days.
How much is a house in Thonotosassa?
The median home sold for $739,900 in Thonotosassa over the last 12 months, about $232 per square foot; asking prices on the 9 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Thonotosassa?
By the numbers, sellers in Thonotosassa are getting 96.0% of asking price and going under contract in about 32 days with 8.0 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Thonotosassa housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Thonotosassa median sale prices are up 4.2% year over year, inventory stands at 8.0 months of supply, and 20% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Thonotosassa?
The median sale price in Thonotosassa is currently $739,900, up 4.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is Thonotosassa a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. Thonotosassa scores 50 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 8.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Thonotosassa?
The typical home in Thonotosassa goes under contract in about 32 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Thonotosassa?
There are approximately 9 active listings in Thonotosassa as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in Thonotosassa rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 4.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Thonotosassa. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.