Thonotosassa
Housing Market
Median sale price $749,950, up 10.7% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 32 days, 3 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 6.0 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 29% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 10.7% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 96.3% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 29% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.1× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Thonotosassa data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on Thonotosassa
The median sale price across Thonotosassa currently stands at $749,950, up 10.7% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $234 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 32 days. Sellers are capturing 96.3% of their original asking price on average.
There are 3 active listings on the market, with 2 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 6.0 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 6 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Thonotosassa prices sit above the Hillsborough County median by roughly 88%. Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $380,041. About 31% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Thonotosassa is 60 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
Thonotosassa since 2015 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $171,250 in 2015 and $900,303 over the last recorded year — 426% appreciation across 11 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 14% of recent sales, down from a 48% peak.
Median sale price · 2015–2026 (201 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
What’s driving Thonotosassa
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Hillsborough County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thonotosassa ← this page | $750K | 3 | 60 | |
| Tampa | $440K | 634 | 62 | Open → |
| Riverview | $367K | 172 | 55 | Open → |
| Wimauma | $360K | 117 | 55 | Open → |
| Lithia | $566K | 77 | 70 | Open → |
| Apollo Beach | $485K | 73 | 51 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Graceland Estates Phase 3Thonotosassa | $750K | ▲ 11% |
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | ▲ 11% |
| Graceland Estates Phase 3Thonotosassa | $750K | ▼ 11% |
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | ▼ 11% |
| STONELAKE RANCH PH 1Thonotosassa | $2.10M | 3 |
| Graceland Estates Phase 3Thonotosassa | $750K | 3 days |
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | 3 days |
Thonotosassa ZIP codes
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Thonotosassa right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Thonotosassa — the Momentum Score reads 60/100 with 6.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Thonotosassa becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in Thonotosassa is $749,950, up 10.7% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.3% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in Thonotosassa?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Graceland Estates Phase 3 (11%); GRACELAND ESTATES (11%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Thonotosassa neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Graceland Estates Phase 3 (3 days); GRACELAND ESTATES (3 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 32 days.
How does Thonotosassa compare to the rest of Hillsborough County?
Thonotosassa's median of $749,950 runs 88% above the county-wide median of $399,950, and homes here take 32 days to go under contract versus 42 county-wide.
Thonotosassa housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in Thonotosassa?
The median sale price in Thonotosassa is currently $749,950, up 10.7% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is Thonotosassa a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Thonotosassa scores 60 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 6.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Thonotosassa?
The typical home in Thonotosassa goes under contract in about 32 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Thonotosassa?
There are approximately 3 active listings in Thonotosassa as of August 6, 2026.
Are home prices in Thonotosassa rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 10.7% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Thonotosassa. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.