Hillsborough County
Housing Market
Median sale price $399,950, down 0.1% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 42 days, 6,465 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 3.8 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 28% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 0.1% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.5% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 28% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.1× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Hillsborough County data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Hillsborough County is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (350 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Hillsborough County
The median sale price across Hillsborough County currently stands at $399,950, down 0.1% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $221 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 42 days. Sellers are capturing 95.5% of their original asking price on average.
There are 6,465 active listings on the market, with 2,079 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.8 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 4,667 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $380,041. About 31% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Hillsborough County is 60 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
Hillsborough County since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $161,970 in 2012 and $488,990 over the last recorded year — 202% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 22% of recent sales, down from a 33% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (152,612 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
What’s driving Hillsborough County
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Hillsborough County right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up against neighboring counties
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsborough County ← this page | $400K | 6,465 | 60 | |
| Manatee County | $375K | 4,139 | 51 | Open → |
| Pinellas County | $388K | 6,869 | 49 | Open → |
| Pasco County | $363K | 4,585 | 54 | Open → |
| Charlotte County | $300K | 2,930 | 38 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| KEYSTONE PARK COLONY SUBOdessa | $1.00M | ▲ 59% |
| BEL MAR SHORES REVTampa | $1.05M | ▲ 57% |
| WELLSWOOD ESTATESTampa | $665K | ▲ 56% |
| CRENSHAW LAKESLutz | $1.13M | ▲ 51% |
| Gandy Blvd ParkTampa | $660K | ▲ 39% |
| MIRABAY PH 1B-1 2A-1 3B-1Apollo Beach | $902K | ▼ 42% |
| TERRA NOVA REV MAPTampa | $594K | ▼ 39% |
| BUFFALO HEIGHTSTampa | $749K | ▼ 38% |
| Riverside North Add 2Tampa | $629K | ▼ 36% |
| Marina Club Of TampaTampa | $215K | ▼ 34% |
| HAWKSTONELithia | $614K | 35 |
| TOUCHSTONETampa | $380K | 35 |
| FOREST BROOKE PH 2AWimauma | $322K | 32 |
| BERRY BAYWimauma | $368K | 29 |
| FISHHAWK RANCHLithia | $575K | 29 |
| Graceland Estates Phase 3Thonotosassa | $750K | 3 days |
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | 3 days |
| CARROLLWOOD VILLAGE PH TWOTampa | $740K | 5 days |
| MARYLAND MANOR REVTampa | $899K | 5 days |
| VILLAS OF NORTHDALE PH ITampa | $242K | 5 days |
Cities in Hillsborough County
ZIP codes
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Hillsborough County right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Hillsborough County — the Momentum Score reads 60/100 with 3.8 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Hillsborough County becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Hillsborough County is $399,950, down 0.1% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.5% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Hillsborough County?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are MIRABAY PH 1B-1 2A-1 3B-1 (-42%); TERRA NOVA REV MAP (-39%); BUFFALO HEIGHTS (-38%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Hillsborough County neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Graceland Estates Phase 3 (3 days); GRACELAND ESTATES (3 days); CARROLLWOOD VILLAGE PH TWO (5 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 42 days.
Hillsborough County housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in Hillsborough County?
The median sale price in Hillsborough County is currently $399,950, down 0.1% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is Hillsborough County a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Hillsborough County scores 60 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.8 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Hillsborough County?
The typical home in Hillsborough County goes under contract in about 42 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Hillsborough County?
There are approximately 6,465 active listings in Hillsborough County as of August 6, 2026.
Are home prices in Hillsborough County rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 0.1% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Hillsborough County. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.