Hillsborough County
Housing Market
Median sale price $394,000, up 0.1% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 43 days, 6,563 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.0 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 27% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 0.1% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 27% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.1× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Hillsborough County data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Hillsborough County is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (350 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Hillsborough County
The median sale price across Hillsborough County currently stands at $394,000, up 0.1% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $219 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 43 days. Sellers are capturing 95.6% of their original asking price on average.
There are 6,563 active listings on the market, with 1,908 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.0 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 10,063 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $380,147. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Hillsborough County is 59 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 17, 2026.
Hillsborough County since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $156,317 in 2012 and $496,271 over the last recorded year — 217% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 20% of recent sales, down from a 34% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (158,997 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Hillsborough County
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Hillsborough County right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up against neighboring counties
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsborough County ← this page | $394K | 6,563 | 59 | |
| Manatee County | $386K | 4,037 | 57 | Open → |
| Pinellas County | $393K | 6,775 | 49 | Open → |
| Pasco County | $355K | 4,721 | 56 | Open → |
| Polk County | $311K | 5,854 | 49 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Gandy Blvd ParkTampa | $740K | ▲ 56% |
| La CarbayeraTampa | $330K | ▲ 56% |
| Mirabay Prcl 8Apollo Beach | $700K | ▲ 43% |
| apollo beach unit 08 sec aApollo Beach | $650K | ▲ 40% |
| Keystone Park Colony SubOdessa | $962K | ▲ 38% |
| Manor HeightsTampa | $371K | ▼ 48% |
| MirabayApollo Beach | $365K | ▼ 45% |
| bimini bay ph 2Apollo Beach | $580K | ▼ 44% |
| Buffalo HeightsTampa | $674K | ▼ 42% |
| B & D Hawkstone Ph ILithia | $394K | ▼ 37% |
| fishhawk ranch ph 2 tr 1Lithia | $575K | 36 |
| sun city center unit 52Sun City Center | $310K | 32 |
| forest brooke active adult phWimauma | $303K | 30 |
| Berry BayWimauma | $367K | 28 |
| touchstone ph 5Tampa | $375K | 26 |
| GRACELAND ESTATESThonotosassa | $750K | 3 days |
| wyndham lakes ph 2Odessa | $550K | 4 days |
| Carrollwood Village Ph TwoTampa | $750K | 5 days |
| VILLAS OF NORTHDALE PH ITampa | $242K | 5 days |
| WYNDHAM LAKES PH 02Odessa | $555K | 5 days |
Cities in Hillsborough County
ZIP codes
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Hillsborough County right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Hillsborough County — the Momentum Score reads 59/100 with 4.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Hillsborough County becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in Hillsborough County is $394,000, up 0.1% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.6% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in Hillsborough County?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Manor Heights (-48%); Mirabay (-45%); bimini bay ph 2 (-44%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Hillsborough County neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are GRACELAND ESTATES (3 days); wyndham lakes ph 2 (4 days); Carrollwood Village Ph Two (5 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 43 days.
Hillsborough County housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Hillsborough County right now?
As of September 17, 2026, the Hillsborough County housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $394,000 (up 0.1% year over year), 6,563 homes are for sale against 10,063 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.0 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 43 days.
How much is a house in Hillsborough County?
The median home sold for $394,000 in Hillsborough County over the last 12 months, about $219 per square foot; asking prices on the 6,563 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Hillsborough County?
By the numbers, sellers in Hillsborough County are getting 95.6% of asking price and going under contract in about 43 days with 4.0 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Hillsborough County housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Hillsborough County median sale prices are up 0.1% year over year, inventory stands at 4.0 months of supply, and 27% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Hillsborough County?
The median sale price in Hillsborough County is currently $394,000, up 0.1% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 17, 2026.
Is Hillsborough County a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Hillsborough County scores 59 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Hillsborough County?
The typical home in Hillsborough County goes under contract in about 43 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Hillsborough County?
There are approximately 6,563 active listings in Hillsborough County as of September 17, 2026.
Are home prices in Hillsborough County rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 0.1% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Hillsborough County. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 17, 2026 at 8:25 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.