Pablo Beach South
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville Beach, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Price here is driven by land and location, not by the houses themselves. The median home dates to 1973 and runs around 1,786 square feet, so the value sits in the lot, the beach proximity, and what a buyer does with an aging structure. That is why the spread on any given street is wide — a tired original next to a rebuilt or expanded home — and why the $555,000 median tells you the midpoint but not much about condition. At $355 per square foot, you are paying beach-adjacent dirt prices regardless of what stands on the lot.
The market posture is soft and slow. Prices are down 5.1% year over year, the heat score sits at 28, and the median home takes 73 days to sell. That combination favors buyers who can be patient and pointed with offers. Sellers should price to the current reality, not last year's, and expect the home to sit for a couple of months. The long arc is still strongly positive — up 153% since 2012 — but recent direction is down, and nothing here is a quick flip.
Pablo Beach South right now
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($555K) is down 5.1% from the prior 12 months ($585K) and up 153% since 2012. With about 18 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11. Confidence: High (19 and 27 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 11, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Pablo Beach South market snapshot (as of July 11, 2026): the median sale price is about $555K ($355 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 73 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 5% from the prior 12 months and up 153% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (19 closings in the current window).
Pablo Beach South is a community of 2,824 homes in Jacksonville Beach, Duval County, built between 1900 and 2024 (median 1973.0), with a median living area of about 1,786 square feet. 55% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Pablo Beach South is an older, established stretch of Jacksonville Beach where the housing stock ranges from 1900 to 2024 and the beach is the fixed asset. Just over half of homes carry a homestead exemption, which tempers turnover and keeps inventory moving at a measured pace.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 11 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($555K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($585K) IS the -5.1% one-year change.
Windows contain 8 to 27 sales each (19 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Duval County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Duval County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
21% of homes for sale in ZIP 32250 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-10).
Buying the lot, not the vintage
With a median build year of 1973 and homes going back as far as 1900, condition is the variable that matters most. Two homes at similar prices can be worlds apart — one gut-renovated, one deferred for decades. Because the $555,000 median blends both, budget for inspection and, on many properties, for work. This is a neighborhood where a contractor's read is as valuable as a comp.
The pace is deliberate. A 73-day median days-on-market and a heat score of 28 mean listings are not disappearing over a weekend. That gives buyers room to negotiate and to walk away. For sellers, it means presentation and correct pricing carry more weight than they would in a hotter cycle; the year-over-year decline of 5.1% is not a market that forgives an aspirational number.
Why work with Momentum here
In a slow, condition-driven market like this one, the edge is in reading each individual property, not the neighborhood average. We help buyers separate a solid renovation from a cosmetic cover-up, structure offers to a 73-day pace, and price sellers to the direction the market is actually moving. We will also tell you plainly when a listing's number ignores the current data.
Pablo Beach South in 15 seconds.
Tools for a Pablo Beach South buy.
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Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Pablo Beach South sales matched to your home.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Pablo Beach South?
How long do homes in Pablo Beach South take to sell?
How many homes are in Pablo Beach South?
What share of Pablo Beach South is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Pablo Beach South built?
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Should you buy in Pablo Beach South?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (12 streets, ZIP 32250/32266)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-10 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (331 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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