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New and Existing Homes Sell on Opposite Calendars

Line chart comparing Northeast Florida home closings by month for existing homes versus new construction, each indexed to its own average month (100). The cyan existing-homes line rises to a June peak near 119 and declines into winter. The gold new-construction line dips in summer and surges to a December peak near 127. Through the fall the two cross: resale cools while new construction climbs to a year-end peak.
Northeast Florida closings by month, existing homes vs new construction, each indexed to its own average month. Momentum Research analysis of realMLS closed sales, 5-year average (2021 to 2025). Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Everyone knows the housing market has a busy season. What most people miss is that Northeast Florida has two of them, and they land on almost opposite ends of the calendar. Existing homes, the resale market, peak in June. New construction peaks in December. If you are timing a move, which season is yours depends on which kind of home you are buying or selling.

We took the last five complete years of closed sales across the six realMLS counties, Baker, Clay, Duval, Nassau, Putnam, and St. Johns, and lined up the closings by month. To compare the two markets fairly, we indexed each to its own average month, where 100 is a normal month for that type. That strips out the fact that resale is far larger than new construction and leaves just the shape of the year.

Existing homes: a spring market

Resale follows the pattern most people picture. Closings climb through late winter, peak in June at about 119 (roughly 60 percent above the January low), hold through the summer, then fade into the fall and winter. December resale runs below an average month. The engine is the school calendar: families who want to be settled before the fall term shop in spring, and since a June closing usually reflects an April or May contract, the real shopping peak is a month or two ahead of the closing peak. For how quickly homes are moving once listed, see our days-on-market breakdown.

New construction: a year-end market

New homes flip the script. After a spring bump, new-construction closings dip through the summer and then surge to a December peak near 127, about 1.8 times the January pace and the single busiest new-home month of the year. While resale is cooling into the holidays, builders are closing at their fastest.

The reason is the builder's fiscal calendar. Public homebuilders push to close as many homes as possible before their fiscal year ends, and those year-ends are staggered across the fall: D.R. Horton closes its books September 30, Toll Brothers October 31, Lennar and KB Home November 30, and PulteGroup and much of the rest December 31. That staggering is exactly why new-construction closings stay elevated across the whole fourth quarter rather than spiking on one date, and it is why a buyer shopping a builder in the fall often meets the most motivated seller of the year. Incentives, rate buydowns, and price flexibility tend to be richest when a sales office is chasing an annual number.

Why the two calendars matter

Put the lines together and the fall is where they cross: resale slides while new construction climbs. That single fact reshapes how you time a move. A resale seller and a new-home buyer should not be working the same months. The busy season you plan around is the one that belongs to your side of the market, not the generic "spring is hot" rule of thumb. It is the timing companion to the price map in our Jacksonville housing market data hub.

How agents can use this data

With a resale seller: aim for the June closing peak, which means listing in late winter to early spring, when buyer traffic is heaviest and existing-home demand runs about 60 percent above the January floor. The calendar is a free tailwind if you use it.

With a new-construction buyer: point them at the fall. Builders close their fastest in December to hit fiscal year-end, and their year-ends are staggered from September to December, so October and November shopping to close by year-end often lands on the strongest incentives. The busiest new-home month is not spring, it is the holidays.

With a resale buyer who wants less competition: the winter trough means fewer buyers bidding, though also fewer homes listed. It is a slower, more negotiable window for the buyer willing to shop off-season.

On social or with press: the chart carries it. One line: in Northeast Florida, existing homes sell fastest in June and new construction peaks in December, so the two markets run on nearly opposite calendars.

Keep it about the homes and the market timing, not about who lives where. Cite the source line below if you quote the numbers, and never present them as guaranteed.

People also ask

When is the best time to sell a house in Northeast Florida?

Existing-home closings in the realMLS footprint (Baker, Clay, Duval, Nassau, Putnam, and St. Johns counties) peak in June, running about 60 percent above January. Because a June closing usually means an April or May contract, listing in late winter or early spring catches the most active buyers, per Momentum Research analysis of realMLS closings from 2021 to 2025.

When is the best time to buy new construction in Northeast Florida?

New-construction closings peak in December, about 1.8 times the January pace, as builders push to close by their fiscal year-end. Shopping and negotiating in October and November to close by year-end often lines up with the strongest builder incentives. This is general market guidance, not a guarantee.

Do new and existing homes have the same busy season?

No. Existing homes peak in spring and early summer, around June, while new construction peaks at year-end in December and dips over the summer. In Northeast Florida the two are on nearly opposite calendars, per realMLS closings from 2021 to 2025.

The takeaway

There is no single best month to move in Northeast Florida, because the resale market and the new-construction market keep different calendars. Existing homes peak in June and fade into winter; new homes peak in December as builders race to their fiscal year-end. Match your timing to your side of the market: list a resale in late winter to ride the spring peak, or shop a new build in the fall to catch a builder chasing its annual number. When you are ready to put a number to your own home, start a real, comps-based valuation on our home value page. Data reflects closed sales in the realMLS footprint and is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. This is general information, not investment advice.

Momentum Research. Equal Housing Opportunity.

This article was compiled with the help of automated tools from realMLS closing records and may contain errors. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. It is for general information only and is not financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Verify all facts independently before relying on them. Builder fiscal year-end dates are per company SEC filings and investor disclosures. Source: Momentum Research analysis of realMLS closed sales, Baker, Clay, Duval, Nassau, Putnam, and St. Johns counties, closings by month for existing homes versus new construction, each indexed to its own average month, five-year average 2021 to 2025.

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