What's actually happening in Orange Park and Clay County right now. Median sale price, days on market, the Fleming Island vs Orange Park proper vs Middleburg breakdown, year-over-year trends. Real numbers from Redfin and Clay County public records, refreshed quarterly.
The Orange Park city median sale price sits around $294,000, roughly 25 percent below the Jacksonville MSA median of $390,000. The broader Clay County median runs higher at $349,000 because Fleming Island, Green Cove Springs, and the newer-construction corridors pull the county average up. For buyers prioritizing affordability without sacrificing access to Jacksonville employment, Orange Park is the strongest value proposition in the region.
Days on market in Orange Park runs around 85 days, roughly double the Jacksonville MSA's 43 days. Months of supply at 4.65 is among the highest in the region, putting Orange Park firmly in buyer-favorable territory. Homes sell on average 4 to 5 percent below list price, and the share of homes closing above list has compressed meaningfully from peak 2021-2022 conditions.
The Clay County advantage runs deeper than just price. I-295 connects Orange Park directly to downtown Jacksonville, NAS Jacksonville, and the broader Westside employment corridor. Clay County property taxes consistently run below Duval County, the school district has a stable reputation, and homestead-protected long-term residents anchor neighborhoods against the volatility that newer migration markets experience.
Clay County is not one market. Fleming Island sits in its own tier. Orange Park proper offers the widest price range. Middleburg and Green Cove Springs remain the most affordable corners. The table below separates the broader Clay County market into its primary submarkets.
| Submarket | Median price | DOM | Profile |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island | $400K-$475K | ~75 | Premier address, top schools, planned community |
| Orange Park (waterfront) | $350K-$450K | ~80 | Holly Point, Clarke House Park, St. Johns River premium |
| Orange Park (inland) | $250K-$350K | ~85 | Established suburbs, I-295 access |
| Green Cove Springs | $280K-$340K | ~90 | Newer construction, expanding inventory |
| Middleburg | Under $300K | ~95 | Half-acre lots common, most affordable in county |
Fleming Island commands the strongest pricing in the county because of the Fleming Island Plantation master-planned community, top-rated Fleming Island High School, and established neighborhood infrastructure. The Plantation amenities and school zoning drive a premium that has held up better than most other Clay County submarkets through the 2024-2025 correction.
Orange Park proper offers the widest price range. Waterfront-adjacent homes near Holly Point and Clarke House Park carry premiums tied to mature tree canopy and St. Johns River access. Inland Orange Park submarkets along Blanding Boulevard and US-17 offer some of the best dollar-per-square-foot values in Northeast Florida. Middleburg and Green Cove Springs sit further west and south, with newer construction and the lowest county-wide entry points.
Orange Park has moderated meaningfully from 2024 peak conditions. The direction is consistent across every metric. Prices down, inventory expanding, days on market extending, and the share of homes selling above list compressing sharply. The table below compares early 2026 against the same period one year prior.
| Metric | Early 2026 | Early 2025 | YoY change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park median sale price | $294,000 | $315,000 | −6.7% |
| Median days on market | 85 | 63 | +35% |
| Months of supply | 4.65 | 3.1 | +50% |
| Sold-to-list ratio | 95-96% | 97.5% | −1.5 to 2.5 pp |
| Clay County median $/sqft | $188 | $183 | +2.7% |
The contradiction between Orange Park's price-per-square-foot rising while total median price drops reflects a property mix shift. More smaller homes are transacting at the lower end while larger homes sit unsold longer. Sellers of larger Orange Park homes face the most negotiating pressure in this market. Sellers of well-priced 1,200 to 1,800 square foot homes still see reasonable activity.
Orange Park sits west of Jacksonville and functions as the primary affordable alternative for buyers who can't or won't pay the Duval County median. The table below shows where Orange Park lands relative to neighboring metros.
| Market | Median price | DOM | MoS | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park | $294,000 | 85 | 4.65 | Most affordable NE FL suburb |
| Jacksonville MSA | $390,000 | 43 | 3.8 | Regional median |
| St. Augustine | $440,000 | 76 | 2.7 | St. Johns premium |
| Palm Coast | $365,000 | 104 | 2.8 | Southern coastal |
| Daytona Beach | $315,000 | 87 | 3.4 | Southernmost coastal |
Orange Park offers the strongest value position in Northeast Florida for buyers prioritizing affordability and access to Jacksonville employment. The 25 percent discount versus Jacksonville MSA pricing comes with a longer commute (typically 25 to 40 minutes to downtown via I-295) and a different school district profile, but the cost-of-living arithmetic is meaningful for first-time buyers and households earning $65,000 to $100,000 annually.
If you're shopping Clay County, the most useful question is whether you're a Fleming Island buyer or an Orange Park buyer. Different schools, different price points, different commute profiles. Don't lump Clay County into one search. Pulling comps by specific zip code is what matters here.
Orange Park metrics are aggregated from Redfin's Orange Park city-level housing market data, Bankrate's housing market reports, Clay County Property Appraiser public records, and Northeast Florida Life's monthly Clay County reports. Where sources report different medians for different time windows, the rolling six-month median is reported. Submarket-level data (Fleming Island, Orange Park proper, Middleburg, Green Cove Springs) is derived from the underlying MLS transactional data by zip code and neighborhood.
This page refreshes quarterly. For broader Northeast Florida 6-county market data, see the monthly Housing Pulse report. For Jacksonville MSA detail, see Jacksonville housing market data. For comparison with the St. Johns County coastal markets, see St. Augustine and Ponte Vedra housing data.
A note on Clay County specifically. The county includes meaningful submarket variation that the county-wide median doesn't capture. Fleming Island, Orange Park proper, Middleburg, and Green Cove Springs each function as distinct micromarkets. We report city-of-Orange-Park metrics for headline figures and Clay County overall for context. See our full methodology page for the complete data and citation policy.
Momentum has agents who close in Fleming Island, Orange Park, Middleburg, and across the broader Clay County market. If you're buying or selling here, talk to someone who knows the submarket dynamics by zip code and the schools by attendance zone.
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