Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · Santa Rosa County

Shadow Lakes Home Values: What Homes Actually Sell For

Every figure below is from recorded MLS closings in Shadow Lakes (Gulf Breeze, FL) — not an algorithm’s estimate. Medians, the 15-year price history, market time, and what the record says about selling here now. Window ending 2026-07-13; refreshes as new closings record.

Median sold price
$290,000
+0.7% vs prior year · window ending 2026-07-13
Median $/sqft
$217
21 recorded closings
Median days to sell
28
from list to contract-to-close record

In the current window, sellers accepted a median 96.3% of original asking; the median sale took 28 days (window ending 2026-07-13).

The 15-year recorded price history

20122026
YearMedian soldMedian $/sqftMedian DOMSales
2026$290,000$2172821
2025$287,900$246278
2024$287,500$224148
2023$280,000$228614
2022$277,000$209313
2021$220,000$167415
2020$175,000$134625
2019$164,000$1341320
2018$160,500$128918
2017$136,0002826
2016$130,7006829
2015$126,5003523
2014$102,3002011
2013$86,20015511
2012$121,75011117

Over the recorded series, Shadow Lakes’s median sold price moved from $121,750 (2012) to $290,000 (12 months ending 2026-07-13) — +138% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.

The last decade in Shadow Lakes, briefly

The recorded series starts in 2012 at $121,750. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Shadow Lakes’s median moved +69% from 2019 to 2022. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 8 to 29 closings a year (10-yr average 16.8). Small-community medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure in the table above.

Selling in Shadow Lakes right now: what the record says

Since 2005, 152 Shadow Lakes listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (1 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 25% of Shadow Lakes listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 9%. Momentum’s market-heat index for Shadow Lakes reads 29/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).

For buyers, the same table reads the other way: the sold medians above are what the market has actually been paying — an asking price meaningfully above the recent closed record, in a community absorbing at the rates shown, is an opening position, not a value.

The pattern in the statewide failure data applies here too: homes priced against the latest closed sales sell; homes priced against hope join the 201,552 that didn’t. The table above is the closed-sale record to price against.

What would YOUR Shadow Lakes home sell for?

We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A Momentum agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.

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More Shadow Lakes: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs

Copyright© 2026 by the Multiple Listing Service of the Pensacola Association of REALTORS® This information is believed to be accurate but is not guaranteed. Subject to verification by all parties. This data is copyrighted and may not be transmitted, retransmitted, copied, framed, repurposed, or altered in any way for any other site, individual and/or purpose without the express written permission of the Multiple Listing Service of the Pensacola Association of REALTORS®. Florida recognizes single and transaction agency relationships. Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed. Any use of search facilities of data on this site, other than by a consumer looking to purchase real estate, is prohibited. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures