Momentum Housing Data · Home Values · St. Johns County
Every figure below is from recorded MLS closings in Twenty Mile At Nocatee (Ponte Vedra, FL) — not an algorithm’s estimate. Medians, the 11-year price history, market time, and what the record says about selling here now. Window ending 2026-08-05; refreshes as new closings record.
In the current window, sellers accepted a median 96.5% of original asking; the median sale took 36 days (window ending 2026-08-05).
| Year | Median sold | Median $/sqft | Median DOM | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $950,000 | $327 | 36 | 69 |
| 2025 | $1,002,500 | $330 | 40 | 50 |
| 2024 | $988,000 | $349 | 22 | 44 |
| 2023 | $935,000 | $321 | 38 | 43 |
| 2022 | $875,000 | $317 | 17 | 51 |
| 2021 | $586,218 | $219 | 23 | 116 |
| 2020 | $523,279 | $197 | 0 | 139 |
| 2019 | $569,668 | $183 | 11 | 114 |
| 2018 | $549,300 | $181 | 25 | 61 |
| 2017 | $568,524 | $177 | 2 | 50 |
| 2016 | $570,057 | $170 | 0 | 53 |
Over the recorded series, Twenty Mile At Nocatee’s median sold price moved from $570,057 (2016) to $950,000 (12 months ending 2026-08-05) — +67% over that span, with every year’s figure from recorded closings, not a model.
The recorded series starts in 2016 at $570,057. The 2020–22 run-up did what it did everywhere — Twenty Mile At Nocatee’s median moved +54% from 2019 to 2022. Against the 2025 peak of $1,002,500, the current median stands at -5%. Annual sales volume here has ranged from 0 to 139 closings a year (10-yr average 73.7). Small-community medians move in steps, not curves — a handful of unusual sales can swing a year, which is why the sales count sits next to every figure in the table above.
What actually trades here: 100% single family residence, 0% manufactured home, 0% ranch, with a median of 2,920 sq ft and a median price per square foot of $327 in the current window. Price-per-square-foot is the cleaner yardstick when comparing your home to the medians — it corrects for the size mix in any given year.
Current asking prices run a median $830,000 against the $950,000 recorded sold median (-13%) — the gap between what sellers hope and what the record shows. The market is carrying about 0.9 months of supply at the current sales pace. Demand check: 65% of Twenty Mile At Nocatee’s listings are under contract, against 41% for ZIP 32081 and 35% for St. Johns County as a whole — the community is absorbing faster than its surroundings. Since 2015, 274 Twenty Mile At Nocatee listings were withdrawn, canceled, or expired without selling (14 so far in 2026) — overpricing is the recurring cause statewide. Over the recorded years, an average of 25% of Twenty Mile At Nocatee listings ended without selling (withdrawn/canceled/expired); in 2026 that rate was 22%. Momentum’s market-heat index for Twenty Mile At Nocatee reads 28/100 (computed from DOM, sale-to-list, and absorption; 2020–21 peaked in the 70s here).
Cash bought 33% of recorded Twenty Mile At Nocatee sales in the window ending 2026-07 (1 of 3) — a fact worth knowing before assuming every buyer needs an appraisal to close. For buyers, the same table reads the other way: the sold medians above are what the market has actually been paying — an asking price meaningfully above the recent closed record, in a community absorbing at the rates shown, is an opening position, not a value.
The pattern in the statewide failure data applies here too: homes priced against the latest closed sales sell; homes priced against hope join the 201,552 that didn’t. The table above is the closed-sale record to price against.
We don’t publish algorithm guesses for specific homes — they can’t see condition, upgrades, or your lot. A Momentum agent will prepare a records-based valuation from the same closed-sale data on this page, adjusted for your home. Free, no obligation.
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| School | Level | FLDOE grade |
|---|---|---|
| Palm Valley Academy (St. Johns) | Public K-8 | A (2025-26) |
| Valley Ridge Academy (St. Johns) | Public K-8 | A (2025-26) |
| Allen D. Nease High School (St. Johns) | Public 9-12 | — |
Assignments and grades as recorded/published; both change — verify current zoning with the district before relying on it. Grades are the state’s official FLDOE ratings, reported as published.
More Twenty Mile At Nocatee: full community guide & homes for sale · choosing an agent here · should you sell now (statewide data) · what selling costs
Source: Data provided by realMLS. Compiled from recorded MLS closings; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Figures are medians for the stated windows and change as new sales record; individual homes vary widely. No automated valuation for any specific property appears on this page. Equal Housing Opportunity. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC — brokerage licensed in FL and GA. Disclosures