15815 CANOE CREEK Drive, Jacksonville, FL 32218
- No CDD assessment on record
- FEMA Zone X — flood insurance generally not federally required
- Built 2014 · 12 yrs
- 2,906 sq ft of living area
- 3-car garage
- $151/sq ft — compared with the displayed median of $150 from recent nearby sales
- Listed at $439,900 — recent neighborhood median sale price ~$445,000 (nearby sales; deemed reliable, not an appraisal)
- New to market
- HOA ~$50/mo (estimate; confirm)
This listing is shown at $439,900, with 5 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, and 2,906 square feet. The page displays an estimated monthly payment, FEMA flood-zone information, estimated ownership costs, a source-tagged Momentum Fact Check, and recent comparable-sale data where available. All estimates should be independently verified.
The whole picture, at a glance
Property
Financial
Risk
Market
Estimates and calculations shown are for general information only, are not appraisals or advice, and should be independently verified.
The numbers, at a glance
Estimated monthly payment
- Principal & interest $2,294/mo 79%
- Taxes $418/mo 14%
- Insurance $152/mo 5%
- HOA $50/mo 2%
Estimates and calculations shown are for general information only, are not appraisals or advice, and should be independently verified.
Momentum Property Score
A rules-based composite of the objective indicators below — each computed from listing facts, public records, and recent nearby sales, not opinion.
Momentum Scores are objective, rules-based indicators computed from listing facts, public records, and recent nearby sales. They are not appraisals, valuations, investment advice, or judgments about a neighborhood or who should live there. Verify independently.
The home
- Year built2014
- Per public record.
- Property typeSingle Family Residence
- Per the listing.
Costs
- HOA$50/mo
- Disclosure — confirm exact dues and inclusions.
- CDD assessmentNone on record
- Estimate/disclosure — confirm the parcel's actual CDD with the county.
- Est. first-year tax~$5,015/yr
- Opinion/estimate at typical county millage — your assessed bill will differ. Do not rely on this.
Site & risk
- FEMA flood zoneZone X
- From the FEMA flood map; verify the parcel.
- Ground elevation~20 ft
- Approximate parcel elevation (USGS).
- WindstormModerate
- Coastal exposure varies; obtain an insurer quote.
Please note. Figures such as estimated taxes, insurance, CDD/HOA amounts, payments, and any market or comparable-sales summary are opinions and estimates for general information only, may be inaccurate, are not appraisals or advice, and should not be relied upon. Verify everything independently before making any decision.
Pricing & market trend in Bainebridge Estates
How this home's list $/sq ft compares with recent nearby closed sales, and how prices in the community have moved. Public-record reference only — not an appraisal or a statement of value.
This home's $/sq ft vs. nearby sales
Recent sold prices in this community
The Messtimate: $383,592 – $488,208
This is a deliberately dumb estimate — living area times a range of recent neighborhood $/sq ft, and nothing else. It is not an appraisal, not market value, and not a valuation of this home. Even a tight range from comparable sales can’t price a specific home — here’s why.
Actual list price: $439,900 — compare it against the range above. The Messtimate is a blind sqft estimate; the list price reflects this specific home.
A 27% spread on the same house — and that gap is exactly what an automated guess can't see:
- Condition & updates — a renovated kitchen, new roof, or older interior finishes can swing value six figures. Sq ft can't see it.
- The lot — a premium waterfront, conservation, or cul-de-sac lot vs. a road-facing one: same sq ft, very different price.
- Outliers skew it — one flip or one distressed sale in the comps drags the whole $/sq ft up or down.
- Layout & beds/baths — two homes at 2,000 sq ft with 3/2 vs. 4/3 don't sell for the same number.
- Views & orientation — golf, water, or preserve views aren't in the square footage.
- Upgrades & systems — solar, pool, impact windows, new HVAC: real money, invisible to a calculator.
- Unpermitted or mismeasured sq ft — public records are often wrong, and unpermitted additions don't count.
- Carrying costs — CDD bonds, HOA dues, and flood-zone insurance change what a buyer will actually pay.
- Timing & concessions — the market moves monthly, and seller-paid rate buydowns hide the true price.
- School zoning & micro-location — one street over can mean a different school, and a different price.
And here's what the live market is doing — which the number above ignores entirely:
- This home: 1 days on market vs. a ~52-day neighborhood median
- 6 active listings competing in Bainebridge Estates
- 2 under contract now
- 25% of for-sale inventory is currently under contract (under contract + pending, as a share of all for-sale inventory)
- ≈4.2 months of supply (one market-context metric; should not be used alone)
- Median sale price is up 80% over the last 142 months
- Homes here sell at about 98.4% of list price
- 17 closed here in the last 12 months
For reference, this home is listed at $439,900 ($151/sq ft) — a number set with analysis a Messtimate can't do.
Selling your own home? Try the Messtimate on your address →
Methodology: 2,906 sq ft × $132–$168/sq ft from recent nearby closed sales (public records). Estimate for general information only; not an appraisal, valuation, or offer. Updated July 3, 2026.
Bainebridge Estates market analysis
Local market conditions - current inventory and, where available, recent trends. Reference only, not a forecast or valuation. Source: realMLS (Northeast Florida Multiple Listing Service).
Current area inventory and velocity from live MLS counts. Reference only, not a forecast or valuation.
Median sale price
Median $/sq ft
Median days on market
Homes sold per month
This home’s history
- 2014BuiltPer public record
- Jul 2, 2026First trackedObserved at $439,900
- NowActiveCurrently for sale
Build year is from public record. Listing milestones reflect movewithmomentum.com’s own observations since we began tracking this listing and are not the MLS listing history; dates and prices are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Investment snapshot
Objective rental and cash-flow estimates for a buyer weighing this as an investment. Rough figures for general information only — not a guarantee of rent, an appraisal, or investment advice. Verify independently.
Every number, sourced
We separate what is listing data, what comes from public records, what we calculate or estimate, and what a buyer should verify. Estimates and calculations shown are for general information only, are not appraisals or advice, and should be independently verified.
Listing facts MLS
Public records & third-party data
Calculated estimates
Buyer should verify Buyer verify
Estimate a monthly payment
A tool to estimate a monthly payment. All values are editable estimates, not a loan offer or a statement about this property. Property tax, insurance, CDD, and HOA figures are approximations — verify each independently.
Down payment $87,980 · Loan $351,920. Estimate only — not a loan offer. We'll connect you with a local lender for an exact quote.
Flood zone & elevation
Sourced environmental data for the parcel. Confirm with FEMA and your insurer.
From the FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer. In this zone lender-required flood insurance is generally not mandated; confirm for the parcel.
Approximate parcel elevation from USGS. Run --online for a live reading.
This is a coastal Florida county. Premiums and coverage vary by home; obtain a quote from a licensed insurer.
Recent sales activity in Bainebridge Estates
Recent comparable closed sales near this home, from public records. Summary figures are for general reference only and are not a valuation of this property. See the Bainebridge Estates neighborhood guide for more.
Recent nearby closings in the data set.
Median closed price of the comparable set. Reference only.
Median $/sq ft of the comparable set. Reference only.
List price divided by living area. Provided as data, not a value judgment.
Go deeper on Bainebridge Estates
See schools, amenities, builders, HOA/CDD detail, and every active & sold home in the community — the single biggest advantage of buying here over a portal.
Drive times to everyday places
Approximate driving times to verified nearby destinations. Estimates for general reference; actual times vary with traffic and route.
Groceries
- Aldi 4 min
Dining
- LongHorn Steakhouse 3 min
Shopping
- Pointe Place 5 min
Parks
- Jacksonville International Airport Observation Area 4 min
Assigned schools
Schools currently assigned to this address in Duval County, provided as neutral factual data. Assignments can change — confirm current zoning with the school district. This is not a statement about the home's suitability for any person or family.
Comparable recent sales
Recent closed sales nearby, with photos, so you can compare. Sold prices are public record, deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Median of the set: $150/sq ft. Shown for general reference only — this is not an appraisal or a statement of this home's value. Sold prices are public record and deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Similar homes for sale near Bainebridge Estates
Active listings nearby at a comparable size and price. Listings held by brokerages other than Momentum Realty are marked with the listing broker. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Buyer research checklist
A neutral list of items to confirm for any home. This is general guidance, not advice about this specific property.
- Confirm roof age and condition during inspection.
- Confirm HVAC age and condition during inspection.
- Request current HOA documents before relying on dues or restrictions.
- Obtain an insurance quote for this specific property.
- Confirm school zoning directly with the district.
- Order a survey to confirm lot boundaries.
- Review permit history with the county.
- Confirm whether flood insurance is required for this parcel.
- Confirm square footage and room dimensions independently.
- Ask the county how property taxes may change after a sale.
About this home
Description provided by ALLISON JAMES ESTATES AND HOMES FLORIDA and reproduced from the MLS; not independently verified.
Property details & features
Interior
- Bedrooms5
- Bathrooms4
- Living area2,906 sq ft
Exterior & lot
- TypeSingle Family Residence
Systems
- Year built2014
- Age12 yrs
Listing
- MLS #2153576
- StatusActive
- Days on market1
Approximate distances
Approximate drive times for general reference only.
Internet & broadband
AT&T Fiber covers much of NE Florida. Run --online or confirm at the address.
Xfinity/Spectrum cable broadband is widely available.
T-Mobile / Verizon fixed-wireless as a backup option.
Price & listing history
Building permits
Frequently asked questions
Why might my property taxes differ from the current owner's?
Florida's Save Our Homes rule caps annual assessment increases for homesteaded owners, and the assessment can be re-set after a sale. As a result a new owner's bill may differ from the seller's. Any tax figure shown here is an estimate, not the actual bill — confirm with the county property appraiser and tax collector.
Where does the flood-zone information come from?
The flood designation shown (Zone X) comes from the FEMA flood map and is provided for general information. Confirm the parcel's status with FEMA and your insurer.
Can I rely on the figures on this page?
No. Estimated taxes, insurance, payments, and any market or comparable-sales summary are opinions and estimates for general information only and should not be relied upon. Verify all information independently before making any decision.
See 15815 CANOE CREEK Drive in person
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Opinion & estimate — do not rely on this page. Any figure on this page that is not a verbatim fact from the listing or a public record — including estimated property taxes, insurance, CDD/HOA amounts, mortgage payments, comparable-sales summaries, and market statistics — is an opinion and estimate provided for general informational purposes only. These figures may be inaccurate or out of date, are not appraisals, valuations, or financial, legal, tax, or investment advice, and should not be relied upon. Do not make any purchase, offer, financing, or other decision based on this page. Independently verify everything — price, square footage, lot size, year built, taxes, CDD/HOA, flood status, school assignments, permits, and community rules — with the listing broker, the county, your lender, a licensed inspector, an insurer, and your own advisors before acting.
Estimate methodology. Tax estimates apply a typical county millage rate to the list price and will differ from the actual assessed bill. Cost and market figures are derived from available data and simple calculations, not a professional appraisal. We make no representation that any estimate reflects fair market value.
Equal Housing Opportunity. Content on this page is compiled from public records, MLS data, and automated sources and may contain errors or be out of date. It is general information only, not a representation about any specific property, community, builder, or association. Verify information independently before relying on it. Momentum Realty supports the Fair Housing Act and does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, sexual orientation, or gender identity. Information about schools, distances, and amenities is provided as neutral factual data to help you research the property and is not a statement about who should or should not live here or the suitability of the home or neighborhood for any person or group. School data may change — confirm current assignments with the school district.
Found an error? If you are the owner, listing agent, or a party to this property and believe any information is inaccurate, email and we will review and correct or remove it promptly.
Automated content. Some summaries, distances, and estimates on this page are generated automatically from public and proprietary data sources and may contain errors or omissions. We strive for accuracy but cannot guarantee the completeness or accuracy of any information. Verify anything important independently.
MLS / IDX. The data relating to real estate for sale on this web site comes in part from the Internet Data Exchange (IDX) program of the Northeast Florida Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Real estate listings held by brokerage firms other than Momentum Realty are marked with the listing broker's name, and detailed information about such listings includes the name of the listing broker. Data provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed. The information being provided is for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Source: realMLS (Northeast Florida Multiple Listing Service). © 2026 Northeast Florida Multiple Listing Service, Inc. All rights reserved.
Listing data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and is subject to change or withdrawal without notice. Square footage and lot size are approximate. Real estate brokerage services provided by Momentum Realty, licensed in Florida and Georgia. © 2026 Move With Momentum LLC.