Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33803 (Lakeland)
Aerial view of 33803, Florida

33803 (Lakeland)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $362,000, up 4.9% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 55 days, 4 homes on the market.

20 communities reporting179 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 47
Live Market Pulse
47/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
Prices up 5% over the past year. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 33803 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$362K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 4.9% vs the prior 12 months
+4.9%
1-yr price change
n = 179 recent sales
$201/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · +3.8% vs prior yr
95.1%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.6% · -0.6pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
55days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 58 days · +20.0 days vs prior yr
0%
Under contract
Polk County: 12%
4 ·▼8
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
21%
New construction
share of recent sales · -9.4pp vs prior yr
30%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 31% · +1.7pp vs prior yr
47/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

0% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 4.9% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.1% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 47
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage53
Seller leverage47

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 0% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33803 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33803 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (10 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33803 (Lakeland)

The median sale price across 33803 currently stands at $362,000, up 4.9% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $201 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 55 days. Sellers are capturing 95.1% of their original asking price on average.

There are 4 active listings on the market.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33803 is 47 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

33803 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $293,350 in 2012 and $425,688 over the last recorded year — 45% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 30% of recent sales, down from a 31% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,534 recorded sales)

$205K$318K$430K$426K2012: $293K2013: $262K2014: $253K2015: $246K2016: $250K2017: $272K2018: $209K2019: $276K2022: $419K2023: $402K2024: $393K2025: $380K2026: $426K20122015201820232026

Days on market by year

10d59d108d55d2012: 49d2013: 78d2014: 40d2015: 56d2016: 53d2017: 47d2018: 67d2019: 107d2022: 12d2023: 19d2024: 29d2025: 35d2026: 55d20122015201820232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

21%26%31%30%2016: 26%2017: 30%2018: 21%2019: 29%2020: 27%2021: 25%2022: 30%2023: 31%2024: 29%2025: 28%2026: 30%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,6843,8295,973Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 28 · Active: 5,637Aug 29 · Active: 5,656Aug 30 · Active: 5,646Aug 31 · Active: 5,638Sep 07 · Active: 5,799Sep 09 · Active: 5,793Sep 11 · Active: 5,864Sep 12 · Active: 5,881Sep 13 · Active: 5,888Sep 14 · Active: 5,863Sep 15 · Active: 5,855Aug 03Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$321K$342K$363K$362KAug 06: $322KAug 08: $322KAug 09: $322KAug 10: $322KAug 11: $322KAug 12: $322KAug 13: $322KAug 15: $322KAug 17: $322KAug 18: $322KAug 19: $322KAug 20: $322KAug 21: $322KAug 22: $322KAug 23: $322KAug 24: $322KAug 26: $322KAug 28: $322KAug 29: $322KAug 30: $322KAug 31: $322KSep 01: $322KSep 04: $322KSep 05: $322KSep 06: $322KSep 07: $322KSep 08: $322KSep 09: $322KSep 10: $322KSep 11: $322KSep 12: $362KSep 13: $362KSep 14: $362KSep 15: $362KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 92%Townhome 3%Condo 1%Villa 1%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33803

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
CLEVELAND HEIGHTS ▲ 13%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33803 ← this page$362K447
30153$242K3051Open →
33837$355K2445Open →
33823$347K1268Open →
33813$400K843Open →
30125$270K755Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
CLEVELAND HEIGHTSLakeland$362K▲ 13%
TURTLE ROCKSarasota$675K▲ 8%
LAUREL GLENLakeland$322K▲ 7%
W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDSLakeland$315K▲ 0%
TERRALARGOLakeland$415K▲ -10%
Prices cooling fastest
TERRALARGOLakeland$415K▼ 10%
W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDSLakeland$315K▼ 0%
LAUREL GLENLakeland$322K▼ 7%
TURTLE ROCKSarasota$675K▼ 8%
CLEVELAND HEIGHTSLakeland$362K▼ 13%
Most homes for sale
SummerfieldBradenton$538K3
Selling fastest
W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDSLakeland$315K22 days
LAUREL GLENLakeland$322K27 days
TERRALARGOLakeland$415K40 days
CLEVELAND HEIGHTSLakeland$362K46 days
TURTLE ROCKSarasota$675K74 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33803 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33803 — the Momentum Score reads 47/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33803 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 33803 is $362,000, up 4.9% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.1% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33803?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are TERRALARGO (-10%); LAUREL GLEN (7%); TURTLE ROCK (8%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33803 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDS (22 days); LAUREL GLEN (27 days); TERRALARGO (40 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 55 days.

Questions

33803 (Lakeland) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33803 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 33803 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $362,000 (up 4.9% year over year), 4 homes are for sale, and the typical home goes under contract in about 55 days.

How much is a house in 33803?

The median home sold for $362,000 in 33803 over the last 12 months, about $201 per square foot; asking prices on the 4 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33803?

By the numbers, sellers in 33803 are getting 95.1% of asking price and going under contract in about 55 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33803 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33803 median sale prices are up 4.9% year over year. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33803?

The median sale price in 33803 is currently $362,000, up 4.9% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 33803 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33803 scores 47 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33803?

The typical home in 33803 goes under contract in about 55 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33803?

There are approximately 4 active listings in 33803 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 33803 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 4.9% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33803 (Lakeland). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.