Polk County
Housing Market
Median sale price $311,490, down 2.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 60 days, 5,552 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.7 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 11% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.5% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 11% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Polk County data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Polk County is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (350 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Polk County
The median sale price across Polk County currently stands at $311,490, down 2.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $174 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 60 days. Sellers are capturing 95.5% of their original asking price on average.
There are 5,552 active listings on the market, with 1,823 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.7 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 164 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,826. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Polk County is 47 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
Polk County since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $108,032 in 2012 and $324,338 over the last recorded year — 200% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 19% of recent sales, down from a 34% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (40,449 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)
What’s driving Polk County
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Polk County right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up against neighboring counties
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polk County ← this page | $311K | 5,552 | 47 | |
| Osceola County | $410K | 4,395 | 48 | Open → |
| Sumter County | $310K | 741 | 48 | Open → |
| Highlands County | $284K | 270 | 52 | Open → |
| Other County | $479K | — | 66 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| SUN AIR COUNTRY CLUB ADD 01Haines City | $222K | ▲ 44% |
| CITRUS RIDGE PH 02Davenport | $113K | ▲ 25% |
| REDBRIDGE SQUAREDavenport | $397K | ▲ 20% |
| ROLLINGLEN PH 01Lakeland | $210K | ▲ 20% |
| THOUSAND OAKS PH 01Davenport | $422K | ▲ 17% |
| FOXHAVEN PH 03Winter Haven | $147K | ▼ 25% |
| GARDEN HILL/PROVIDENCE PH 1Davenport | $401K | ▼ 24% |
| CHRISTINA WOODSLakeland | $400K | ▼ 22% |
| POINCIANA NBRHD 01 VILLAGE 03Poinciana | $216K | ▼ 18% |
| LILY LAKE GOLF & RV RESORT PH 02Frostproof | $125K | ▼ 17% |
| VALHALLAWinter Haven | $360K | 16 |
| AZALEA PARKBartow | $185K | 12 |
| OAKRIDGE ESTATESFrostproof | $278K | 8 |
| HOLLY HILL ESTATESDavenport | $330K | 5 |
| CROSSWINDS 40'SHaines City | $328K | 1 |
| GENEVA LANDINGSDavenport | $358K | 4 days |
| FAIRWAYS LAKE ESTATESDavenport | $355K | 7 days |
| BRENTWOOD THDavenport | $292K | 10 days |
| HUNT CLUB GROVES 50SLake Wales | $289K | 10 days |
| PROVIDENCE GARDEN HILLS 50'SDavenport | $400K | 10 days |
Cities in Polk County
ZIP codes
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Polk County right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Polk County — the Momentum Score reads 47/100 with 4.7 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Polk County becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Polk County is $311,490, down 2.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.5% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Polk County?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are FOXHAVEN PH 03 (-25%); GARDEN HILL/PROVIDENCE PH 1 (-24%); CHRISTINA WOODS (-22%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Polk County neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are GENEVA LANDINGS (4 days); FAIRWAYS LAKE ESTATES (7 days); BRENTWOOD TH (10 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 60 days.
Polk County housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in Polk County?
The median sale price in Polk County is currently $311,490, down 2.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is Polk County a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. Polk County scores 47 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.7 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Polk County?
The typical home in Polk County goes under contract in about 60 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Polk County?
There are approximately 5,552 active listings in Polk County as of August 6, 2026.
Are home prices in Polk County rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 2.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Polk County. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.