Tampa
Housing Market
Median sale price $430,000, up 3.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 38 days, 1,363 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.0 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 24% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 3.6% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 24% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.0× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Tampa data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Tampa is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (350 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Tampa
The median sale price across Tampa currently stands at $430,000, up 3.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $265 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 38 days. Sellers are capturing 95.4% of their original asking price on average.
There are 1,363 active listings on the market, with 404 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.0 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 5,135 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Tampa prices sit above the Hillsborough County median by roughly 8%. Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $377,121. About 33% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Tampa is 60 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 7, 2026.
Tampa since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $160,315 in 2012 and $579,385 over the last recorded year — 261% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 22% of recent sales, down from a 30% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (78,953 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Tampa
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Tampa right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Hillsborough County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa ← this page | $430K | 1,363 | 60 | |
| Riverview | $362K | 420 | 56 | Open → |
| Wimauma | $360K | 175 | 59 | Open → |
| Sun City Center | $296K | 153 | 50 | Open → |
| Ruskin | $322K | 148 | 48 | Open → |
| Apollo Beach | $501K | 145 | 49 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| DemorestTampa | $399K | ▲ 56% |
| La CarbayeraTampa | $330K | ▲ 56% |
| Marina Pointe EastTampa | $1.12M | ▲ 43% |
| Gandy Blvd ParkTampa | $660K | ▲ 37% |
| Bayshore Beautiful SubTampa | $1.04M | ▲ 36% |
| Manor HeightsTampa | $371K | ▼ 48% |
| Buffalo HeightsTampa | $674K | ▼ 42% |
| West Pines Rev MapTampa | $447K | ▼ 37% |
| Virginia TerraceTampa | $1.60M | ▼ 33% |
| LAKEWOOD ESTATESTampa | $244K | ▼ 33% |
| Davis Islands TampaTampa | $1.56M | 23 |
| touchstone ph 5Tampa | $380K | 22 |
| Port Tampa City MapTampa | $535K | 21 |
| Townn Country Park Un 06Tampa | $385K | 21 |
| Riverbend SubTampa | $365K | 19 |
| Carrollwood Village Ph TwoTampa | $750K | 5 days |
| VILLAS OF NORTHDALE PH ITampa | $242K | 5 days |
| COUNTRY PLACE WEST UNIT VTampa | $477K | 6 days |
| Tampas North Side Cntry ClTampa | $440K | 6 days |
| Virginia ParkTampa | $1.15M | 6 days |
Tampa ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Tampa
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Tampa right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Tampa — the Momentum Score reads 60/100 with 4.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Tampa becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in Tampa is $430,000, up 3.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.4% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in Tampa?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Manor Heights (-48%); Buffalo Heights (-42%); West Pines Rev Map (-37%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Tampa neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Carrollwood Village Ph Two (5 days); VILLAS OF NORTHDALE PH I (5 days); COUNTRY PLACE WEST UNIT V (6 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 38 days.
How does Tampa compare to the rest of Hillsborough County?
Tampa's median of $430,000 runs 8% above the county-wide median of $400,000, and homes here take 38 days to go under contract versus 42 county-wide.
Tampa housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Tampa right now?
As of October 7, 2026, the Tampa housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $430,000 (up 3.6% year over year), 1,363 homes are for sale against 5,135 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.0 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 38 days.
How much is a house in Tampa?
The median home sold for $430,000 in Tampa over the last 12 months, about $265 per square foot; asking prices on the 1,363 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Tampa?
By the numbers, sellers in Tampa are getting 95.4% of asking price and going under contract in about 38 days with 4.0 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Tampa housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Tampa median sale prices are up 3.6% year over year, inventory stands at 4.0 months of supply, and 24% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Tampa?
The median sale price in Tampa is currently $430,000, up 3.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 7, 2026.
Is Tampa a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Tampa scores 60 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Tampa?
The typical home in Tampa goes under contract in about 38 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Tampa?
There are approximately 1,363 active listings in Tampa as of October 7, 2026.
Are home prices in Tampa rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 3.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Tampa. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 7, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.