Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33844 (Haines City)
Aerial view of 33844, Florida

33844 (Haines City)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $310,240, down 2.1% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 63 days, 4 homes on the market.

61 communities reporting1,239 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 49
Live Market Pulse
49/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
About 4 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · 33844 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$310K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 2.1% vs the prior 12 months
-2.1%
1-yr price change
n = 1,239 recent sales
$172/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · -2.8% vs prior yr
95.8%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.5% · -0.9pp vs prior yr
$299K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -3.0% vs a year ago
Tempo
4.0mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
63days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 60 days · -8.0 days vs prior yr
4%
Under contract
Polk County: 11%
4 · 3 ▲29
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
6
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -22.5% vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow
5,187
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.8% vs prior month
75%
New construction
share of recent sales · -4.5pp vs prior yr
12%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 29% · +0.8pp vs prior yr
49/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 4.0 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 4% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.1% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.8% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 49
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage51
Seller leverage49

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 4% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33844 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33844 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (37 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33844 (Haines City)

The median sale price across 33844 currently stands at $310,240, down 2.1% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $172 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 63 days. Sellers are capturing 95.8% of their original asking price on average.

There are 4 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.0 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 6 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,826. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33844 is 49 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

33844 since 2014 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $137,073 in 2014 and $311,721 over the last recorded year — 127% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 12% of recent sales, down from a 29% peak.

Median sale price · 2014–2026 (6,285 recorded sales)

$133K$234K$335K$312K2014: $137K2015: $163K2016: $159K2017: $178K2018: $175K2019: $199K2021: $262K2022: $319K2023: $331K2024: $327K2025: $322K2026: $312K20142017202120242026

Days on market by year

4d56d108d65d2014: 19d2015: 59d2016: 69d2017: 71d2018: 106d2019: 103d2021: 7d2022: 11d2023: 17d2024: 51d2025: 73d2026: 65d20142017202120242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

11%20%29%12%2016: 29%2017: 27%2018: 26%2019: 20%2020: 17%2021: 14%2022: 21%2023: 14%2024: 14%2025: 11%2026: 12%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$299K$303K$308K$299KJun '25: $308KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $304KSep '25: $303KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0555,3625,6695,187Jun '25: 5,657Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,187Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,7053,6845,663Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 03Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 89%Townhome 6%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 2%Villa 1%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33844

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
SUN AIR COUNTRY CLUB ADD 01 ▲ 44%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33844 ← this page$310K449
33813$384K4147Open →
33823$369K1973Open →
33837$355K1855Open →
33884$308K1647Open →
33897$395K1260Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
SUN AIR COUNTRY CLUB ADD 01Haines City$222K▲ 44%
REDBRIDGE SQUAREDavenport$397K▲ 20%
LAUREL GLENLakeland$322K▲ 7%
ORCHID GROVEDavenport$314K▲ 6%
GRENELEFE ESTATESHaines City$290K▲ 4%
Prices cooling fastest
SWEETWATER GOLF & TENNIS CLUBHaines City$167K▼ 14%
ORCHID TERRACEHaines City$309K▼ 13%
MAGNOLIA PARKHaines City$294K▼ 11%
TARPON BAYHaines City$295K▼ 9%
SOUTHERN DUNES ESTATESHaines City$375K▼ 9%
Most homes for sale
HOLIDAY HEIGHTSBradenton$212K2
CROSSWINDS 40'SHaines City$328K1
Selling fastest
GENEVA LANDINGSDavenport$358K4 days
CROSSWINDS 50'SHaines City$323K11 days
TOHOQUA 32SKissimmee$408K12 days
CROSSWINDS 40'SHaines City$328K17 days
LAKE HAMILTON 50'SHaines City$325K19 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33844 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33844 — the Momentum Score reads 49/100 with 4.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33844 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33844 is $310,240, down 2.1% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.8% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33844?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are SWEETWATER GOLF & TENNIS CLUB (-14%); ORCHID TERRACE (-13%); MAGNOLIA PARK (-11%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33844 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are GENEVA LANDINGS (4 days); CROSSWINDS 50'S (11 days); TOHOQUA 32S (12 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 63 days.

Questions

33844 (Haines City) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 33844?

The median sale price in 33844 is currently $310,240, down 2.1% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is 33844 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33844 scores 49 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33844?

The typical home in 33844 goes under contract in about 63 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33844?

There are approximately 4 active listings in 33844 as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in 33844 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 2.1% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33844 (Haines City). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.