Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33844 (Haines City)
Aerial view of 33844, Florida

33844 (Haines City)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $310,240, down 2.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 57 days, 3 homes on the market.

55 communities reporting1,207 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 35
Live Market Pulse
35/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
12+ months of homes to choose from. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 16, 2026 at 7:48 PM ET.
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Live · 33844 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$310K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 2.2% vs the prior 12 months
-2.2%
1-yr price change
n = 1,207 recent sales
$171/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · -3.4% vs prior yr
95.8%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.6% · -0.8pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
12.0mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
57days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 58 days · -16.0 days vs prior yr
4%
Under contract
Polk County: 12%
3 · 2 ▼20
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
3
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -24.8% vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
77%
New construction
share of recent sales · -4.5pp vs prior yr
12%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 29% · +0.8pp vs prior yr
35/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 16, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 12.0 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 4% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.2% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.8% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 35
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage65
Seller leverage35

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 4% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33844 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33844 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (31 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33844 (Haines City)

The median sale price across 33844 currently stands at $310,240, down 2.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $171 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 57 days. Sellers are capturing 95.8% of their original asking price on average.

There are 3 active listings on the market, with 2 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 12.0 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 3 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33844 is 35 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 16, 2026.

Trends & History

33844 since 2014 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $138,885 in 2014 and $306,542 over the last recorded year — 121% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 12% of recent sales, down from a 29% peak.

Median sale price · 2014–2026 (6,159 recorded sales)

$135K$230K$325K$307K2014: $139K2015: $155K2016: $159K2017: $174K2018: $175K2019: $190K2021: $239K2022: $309K2023: $321K2024: $320K2025: $316K2026: $307K20142017202120242026

Days on market by year

4d56d108d59d2014: 11d2015: 47d2016: 68d2017: 76d2018: 106d2019: 96d2021: 7d2022: 11d2023: 19d2024: 50d2025: 75d2026: 59d20142017202120242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

10%20%29%12%2016: 29%2017: 27%2018: 27%2019: 20%2020: 18%2021: 15%2022: 20%2023: 14%2024: 14%2025: 11%2026: 12%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,6843,8295,973Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 28 · Active: 5,637Aug 29 · Active: 5,656Aug 30 · Active: 5,646Aug 31 · Active: 5,638Sep 07 · Active: 5,799Sep 09 · Active: 5,793Sep 11 · Active: 5,864Sep 12 · Active: 5,881Sep 13 · Active: 5,888Sep 14 · Active: 5,863Sep 15 · Active: 5,855Sep 16 · Active: 5,835Aug 03Aug 22Sep 16ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$297K$310K$323K$310KAug 06: $310KAug 08: $310KAug 09: $310KAug 10: $310KAug 11: $310KAug 12: $310KAug 13: $310KAug 15: $310KAug 17: $310KAug 18: $310KAug 19: $310KAug 20: $310KAug 21: $310KAug 22: $310KAug 23: $310KAug 24: $310KAug 26: $310KAug 28: $310KAug 29: $310KAug 30: $310KAug 31: $310KSep 01: $310KSep 04: $310KSep 05: $310KSep 06: $310KSep 07: $310KSep 08: $310KSep 09: $310KSep 10: $310KSep 11: $310KSep 12: $310KSep 13: $310KSep 14: $310KSep 15: $310KSep 16: $310KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 08Sep 16
Single-family 89%Townhome 6%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 2%Villa 1%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33844

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
SUN AIR COUNTRY CLUB ADD 01 ▲ 44%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33844 ← this page$310K335
30153$242K3051Open →
33837$355K2445Open →
33823$347K1268Open →
33813$400K843Open →
30125$270K755Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
SUN AIR COUNTRY CLUB ADD 01Haines City$222K▲ 44%
REDBRIDGE SQUAREDavenport$397K▲ 20%
LAUREL GLENLakeland$322K▲ 7%
ORCHID GROVEDavenport$314K▲ 6%
GRENELEFE ESTATESHaines City$290K▲ 4%
Prices cooling fastest
SWEETWATER GOLF & TENNIS CLUBHaines City$167K▼ 14%
ORCHID TERRACEHaines City$309K▼ 13%
TARPON BAYHaines City$295K▼ 9%
SOUTHERN DUNES ESTATESHaines City$375K▼ 9%
SUMMERCRESTOcala$310K▼ 6%
Most homes for sale
HOLIDAY HEIGHTSBradenton$212K2
CROSSWINDS 40'SHaines City$328K1
Selling fastest
GENEVA LANDINGSDavenport$358K4 days
Tohoqua 32SKissimmee$409K10 days
CROSSWINDS 50'SHaines City$323K11 days
CROSSWINDS 40'SHaines City$328K17 days
LAKE HAMILTON 50'SHaines City$325K19 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33844 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in 33844 — the Momentum Score reads 35/100 with 12.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33844 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33844 is $310,240, down 2.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.8% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33844?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are SWEETWATER GOLF & TENNIS CLUB (-14%); ORCHID TERRACE (-13%); TARPON BAY (-9%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33844 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are GENEVA LANDINGS (4 days); Tohoqua 32S (10 days); CROSSWINDS 50'S (11 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 57 days.

Questions

33844 (Haines City) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33844 right now?

As of September 16, 2026, the 33844 housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $310,240 (down 2.2% year over year), 3 homes are for sale against 3 sales in the last 12 months, which is 12.0 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 57 days.

How much is a house in 33844?

The median home sold for $310,240 in 33844 over the last 12 months, about $171 per square foot; asking prices on the 3 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33844?

By the numbers, sellers in 33844 are getting 95.8% of asking price and going under contract in about 57 days with 12.0 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33844 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33844 median sale prices are down 2.2% year over year, inventory stands at 12.0 months of supply, and 4% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33844?

The median sale price in 33844 is currently $310,240, down 2.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 16, 2026.

Is 33844 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors buyers. 33844 scores 35 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 12.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33844?

The typical home in 33844 goes under contract in about 57 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33844?

There are approximately 3 active listings in 33844 as of September 16, 2026.

Are home prices in 33844 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 2.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33844 (Haines City). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 16, 2026 at 7:48 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.