Auburndale
Housing Market

City market report · Polk County · 3 ZIP codes

Median sale price $347,000, down 1.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 69 days.

34 communities reporting316 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 54
Live Market Pulse
54/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Tracking 34 communities across Auburndale. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · Auburndale Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$347K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 1.0% vs the prior 12 months
-1.0%
1-yr price change
n = 316 recent sales
$175/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · -3.8% vs prior yr
95.6%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.6% · +0.5pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
69days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 58 days · -7.0 days vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
54%
New construction
share of recent sales · -1.2pp vs prior yr
21%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 32% · +4.6pp vs prior yr
54/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Prices are down 1.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 54
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage46
Seller leverage54

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Auburndale data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Auburndale is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (22 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Auburndale

The median sale price across Auburndale currently stands at $347,000, down 1.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $175 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 69 days. Sellers are capturing 95.6% of their original asking price on average.

Auburndale prices sit above the Polk County median by roughly 11%. Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Auburndale is 54 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

Auburndale since 2014 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $127,980 in 2014 and $359,905 over the last recorded year — 181% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 21% of recent sales, down from a 32% peak.

Median sale price · 2014–2026 (1,961 recorded sales)

$123K$245K$367K$360K2014: $128K2015: $186K2016: $164K2017: $173K2018: $227K2021: $362K2022: $342K2023: $354K2024: $356K2025: $363K2026: $360K20142016202120242026

Days on market by year

3d77d151d72d2014: 97d2015: 104d2016: 59d2017: 59d2018: 149d2021: 6d2022: 12d2023: 28d2024: 62d2025: 79d2026: 72d20142016202120242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

14%23%33%21%2016: 26%2017: 32%2018: 20%2019: 23%2020: 15%2021: 14%2022: 26%2023: 18%2024: 15%2025: 16%2026: 21%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,6843,8295,973Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 28 · Active: 5,637Aug 29 · Active: 5,656Aug 30 · Active: 5,646Aug 31 · Active: 5,638Sep 07 · Active: 5,799Sep 09 · Active: 5,793Sep 11 · Active: 5,864Sep 12 · Active: 5,881Sep 13 · Active: 5,888Sep 14 · Active: 5,863Sep 15 · Active: 5,855Aug 03Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$332K$347K$362K$347KAug 06: $347KAug 08: $347KAug 09: $347KAug 10: $347KAug 11: $347KAug 12: $347KAug 13: $347KAug 15: $347KAug 17: $347KAug 18: $347KAug 19: $347KAug 20: $347KAug 21: $347KAug 22: $347KAug 23: $347KAug 24: $347KAug 26: $347KAug 28: $347KAug 29: $347KAug 30: $347KAug 31: $347KSep 01: $347KSep 04: $347KSep 05: $347KSep 06: $347KSep 07: $347KSep 08: $347KSep 09: $347KSep 10: $347KSep 11: $347KSep 12: $347KSep 13: $347KSep 14: $347KSep 15: $347KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 91%Mobile 2%Townhome 2%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 2%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Auburndale

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Estates ▼ 16%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Polk County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Auburndale ← this page$347K54
Rockmart$242K1854Open →
Bartow$311K1271Open →
Cedartown$270K755Open →
Lakeland$328K652Open →
Haines City$310K149Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
LENA VISTA SUBAuburndale$254K▲ 11%
SUMMERLAKE ESTATESAuburndale$418K▲ 10%
BROOKLAND PARKAuburndale$347K▲ 3%
RESERVE AT VAN OAKSAuburndale$311K▲ 0%
CADENCE CROSSINGAuburndale$384K▲ -0%
Prices cooling fastest
EstatesAuburndale$455K▼ 16%
WATER RIDGE SUBAuburndale$560K▼ 9%
HICKORY RANCHAuburndale$290K▼ 3%
ARIANA SHORES MHPAuburndale$118K▼ 1%
CADENCE CROSSINGAuburndale$384K▼ 0%
Selling fastest
SUMMERLAKE ESTATESAuburndale$418K10 days
LENA VISTA SUBAuburndale$254K14 days
RESERVE AT VAN OAKSAuburndale$311K37 days
BROOKLAND PARKAuburndale$347K53 days
EstatesAuburndale$455K58 days
Explore Deeper

Auburndale ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Auburndale

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Auburndale right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Auburndale — the Momentum Score reads 54/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Auburndale becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Auburndale is $347,000, down 1.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Auburndale?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Estates (-16%); WATER RIDGE SUB (-9%); HICKORY RANCH (-3%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Auburndale neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are SUMMERLAKE ESTATES (10 days); LENA VISTA SUB (14 days); RESERVE AT VAN OAKS (37 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 69 days.

How does Auburndale compare to the rest of Polk County?

Auburndale's median of $347,000 runs 11% above the county-wide median of $311,230, and homes here take 69 days to go under contract versus 58 county-wide.

Questions

Auburndale housing market FAQ

Is it a good time to sell a house in Auburndale?

By the numbers, sellers in Auburndale are getting 95.6% of asking price and going under contract in about 69 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Auburndale housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Auburndale median sale prices are down 1.0% year over year. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Auburndale?

The median sale price in Auburndale is currently $347,000, down 1.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is Auburndale a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. Auburndale scores 54 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Auburndale?

The typical home in Auburndale goes under contract in about 69 days, per current MLS data.

Are home prices in Auburndale rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 1.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Auburndale. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.