Dover
Housing Market
Median sale price $472,500, down 13.7% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 23 days, 4 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 3.9 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 49% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 13.7% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 97.9% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 49% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.0× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Dover data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on Dover
The median sale price across Dover currently stands at $472,500, down 13.7% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $200 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 23 days. Sellers are capturing 97.9% of their original asking price on average.
There are 4 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.9 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 20 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Dover prices sit above the Hillsborough County median by roughly 18%. Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $377,121. About 33% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Dover is 68 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 6, 2026.
Dover since 2015 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $220,047 in 2015 and $461,333 over the last recorded year — 110% appreciation across 11 years of recorded sales.
Median sale price · 2015–2026 (238 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Dover
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Hillsborough County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover ← this page | $472K | 4 | 68 | |
| Tampa | $430K | 1,363 | 60 | Open → |
| Riverview | $362K | 420 | 56 | Open → |
| Wimauma | $360K | 175 | 59 | Open → |
| Sun City Center | $296K | 153 | 50 | Open → |
| Ruskin | $322K | 148 | 48 | Open → |
Dover ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Dover
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Dover right now?
The data says conditions currently favor sellers in Dover — the Momentum Score reads 68/100 with 3.9 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Dover becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Dover is $472,500, down 13.7% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 97.9% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
How does Dover compare to the rest of Hillsborough County?
Dover's median of $472,500 runs 18% above the county-wide median of $400,000, and homes here take 23 days to go under contract versus 42 county-wide.
Dover housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Dover right now?
As of October 6, 2026, the Dover housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $472,500 (down 13.7% year over year), 4 homes are for sale against 20 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.9 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 23 days.
How much is a house in Dover?
The median home sold for $472,500 in Dover over the last 12 months, about $200 per square foot; asking prices on the 4 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Dover?
By the numbers, sellers in Dover are getting 97.9% of asking price and going under contract in about 23 days with 3.9 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Dover housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Dover median sale prices are down 13.7% year over year, inventory stands at 3.9 months of supply, and 49% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Dover?
The median sale price in Dover is currently $472,500, down 13.7% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 6, 2026.
Is Dover a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Dover scores 68 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.9 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Dover?
The typical home in Dover goes under contract in about 23 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Dover?
There are approximately 4 active listings in Dover as of October 6, 2026.
Are home prices in Dover rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 13.7% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Dover. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 6, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.