Tarpon Springs
Housing Market
Median sale price $425,000, down 4.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 63 days, 115 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.5 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 24% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 4.2% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 91.8% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 24% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.3× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Tarpon Springs data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Tarpon Springs is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (90 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Tarpon Springs
The median sale price across Tarpon Springs currently stands at $425,000, down 4.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $246 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 63 days. Sellers are capturing 91.8% of their original asking price on average.
There are 115 active listings on the market, with 32 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.5 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 391 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Tarpon Springs prices sit above the Pinellas County median by roughly 8%. Zillow's home value index for Pinellas County stands at $374,245. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Tarpon Springs is 46 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
Tarpon Springs since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $166,880 in 2012 and $426,320 over the last recorded year — 155% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 37% of recent sales, down from a 44% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (4,984 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Pinellas County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Pinellas County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Tarpon Springs
Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, PA. Movers arriving report ~$95,596 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
20,791 Citizens policies in force in Pinellas County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pinellas purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
1,376 single-family · 2,822 multi-family · 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Tarpon Springs right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Pinellas County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpon Springs ← this page | $425K | 115 | 46 | |
| St. Petersburg | $435K | 1,078 | 52 | Open → |
| Clearwater | $315K | 393 | 49 | Open → |
| Palm Harbor | $366K | 246 | 59 | Open → |
| Largo | $340K | 221 | 53 | Open → |
| Clearwater Beach | $728K | 166 | 37 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Crescent Oaks Country Club Ph 1Tarpon Springs | $800K | ▲ 30% |
| north lake of tarpon spgs - ph 1Tarpon Springs | $488K | ▲ 29% |
| Oakleaf Village Unit 4Tarpon Springs | $430K | ▲ 20% |
| River WatchTarpon Springs | $560K | ▲ 10% |
| Keystone Ph 02Tarpon Springs | $600K | ▲ 5% |
| Tarpon Shores Mobile Home Village UnrecTarpon Springs | $110K | ▼ 32% |
| Sunset Hills Add 02Tarpon Springs | $470K | ▼ 29% |
| Windrush Bay CondoTarpon Springs | $175K | ▼ 26% |
| Green Dolphin Park CondoTarpon Springs | $102K | ▼ 23% |
| Sunset Hills Add 04Tarpon Springs | $499K | ▼ 17% |
| Pine Ridge At Lake Tarpon VillageTarpon Springs | $166K | 26 |
| Tarpon Cove CondoTarpon Springs | $384K | 6 |
| Moorings The CondoTarpon Springs | $170K | 5 |
| OAKLEAF VILLAGETarpon Springs | $377K | 5 |
| Palms Of Tarpon Spgs The CondoTarpon Springs | $138K | 5 |
| Keystone Ph 02Tarpon Springs | $600K | 9 days |
| KEYSTONE - PH 2Tarpon Springs | $585K | 9 days |
| Trentwood ManorTarpon Springs | $325K | 19 days |
| Gulfview RidgeTarpon Springs | $331K | 20 days |
| Oakleaf Village Unit 4Tarpon Springs | $430K | 28 days |
Tarpon Springs ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Tarpon Springs
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Tarpon Springs right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Tarpon Springs — the Momentum Score reads 46/100 with 4.5 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Tarpon Springs becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Tarpon Springs is $425,000, down 4.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 91.8% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Tarpon Springs?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Tarpon Shores Mobile Home Village Unrec (-32%); Sunset Hills Add 02 (-29%); Windrush Bay Condo (-26%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Tarpon Springs neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Keystone Ph 02 (9 days); KEYSTONE - PH 2 (9 days); Trentwood Manor (19 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 63 days.
How does Tarpon Springs compare to the rest of Pinellas County?
Tarpon Springs's median of $425,000 runs 8% above the county-wide median of $393,000, and homes here take 63 days to go under contract versus 51 county-wide.
Tarpon Springs housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Tarpon Springs right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the Tarpon Springs housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $425,000 (down 4.2% year over year), 115 homes are for sale against 391 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.5 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 63 days.
How much is a house in Tarpon Springs?
The median home sold for $425,000 in Tarpon Springs over the last 12 months, about $246 per square foot; asking prices on the 115 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Tarpon Springs?
By the numbers, sellers in Tarpon Springs are getting 91.8% of asking price and going under contract in about 63 days with 4.5 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Tarpon Springs housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Tarpon Springs median sale prices are down 4.2% year over year, inventory stands at 4.5 months of supply, and 24% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Tarpon Springs?
The median sale price in Tarpon Springs is currently $425,000, down 4.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is Tarpon Springs a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. Tarpon Springs scores 46 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.5 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Tarpon Springs?
The typical home in Tarpon Springs goes under contract in about 63 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Tarpon Springs?
There are approximately 115 active listings in Tarpon Springs as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in Tarpon Springs rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 4.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Tarpon Springs. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.