Trinity
Housing Market
Median sale price $462,000, down 2.3% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 26 days, 7 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 1.4 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 41% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.3% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 41% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Trinity data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Trinity is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (23 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Trinity
The median sale price across Trinity currently stands at $462,000, down 2.3% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $211 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 26 days. Sellers are capturing 96.2% of their original asking price on average.
There are 7 active listings on the market, with 6 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 1.4 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 52 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Trinity prices sit above the Pasco County median by roughly 27%. Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,852. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Trinity is 76 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
Trinity since 2013 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $201,000 in 2013 and $457,293 over the last recorded year — 128% appreciation across 13 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 32% of recent sales, down from a 32% peak.
Median sale price · 2013–2026 (2,095 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)
What’s driving Trinity
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Trinity right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Pasco County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinity ← this page | $462K | 7 | 76 | |
| New Port Richey | $270K | 331 | 54 | Open → |
| Wesley Chapel | $438K | 214 | 53 | Open → |
| Zephyrhills | $435K | 188 | 45 | Open → |
| Hudson | $300K | 147 | 39 | Open → |
| Land O' Lakes | $396K | 136 | 70 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| THOUSAND OAKS EAST PH VTrinity | $334K | ▲ 21% |
| thousand oaks east ph 04Trinity | $334K | ▲ 21% |
| Trinity West Ph 02Trinity | $460K | ▲ 0% |
| VILLAGES AT FOX HOLLOW-WESTTrinity | $462K | ▲ -6% |
| Trinity EastTrinity | $530K | ▲ -10% |
| TRINITY WESTTrinity | $460K | ▼ 11% |
| FOX WOOD PH 05Trinity | $479K | ▼ 10% |
| Trinity EastTrinity | $530K | ▼ 10% |
| VILLAGES AT FOX HOLLOW-WESTTrinity | $462K | ▼ 6% |
| Trinity West Ph 02Trinity | $460K | ▼ 0% |
| Trinity EastTrinity | $530K | 2 |
| TRINITY PRESERVE PH 1Trinity | $504K | 1 |
| TRINITY WESTTrinity | $460K | 1 |
| Trinity EastTrinity | $530K | 12 days |
| FOX WOOD PH 05Trinity | $479K | 24 days |
| Trinity West Ph 02Trinity | $460K | 27 days |
| TRINITY WESTTrinity | $460K | 27 days |
| THOUSAND OAKS EAST PH VTrinity | $334K | 38 days |
Trinity ZIP codes
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Trinity right now?
The data says conditions currently favor sellers in Trinity — the Momentum Score reads 76/100 with 1.4 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Trinity becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Trinity is $462,000, down 2.3% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.2% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Trinity?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are TRINITY WEST (-11%); FOX WOOD PH 05 (-10%); Trinity East (-10%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Trinity neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Trinity East (12 days); FOX WOOD PH 05 (24 days); Trinity West Ph 02 (27 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 26 days.
How does Trinity compare to the rest of Pasco County?
Trinity's median of $462,000 runs 27% above the county-wide median of $363,250, and homes here take 26 days to go under contract versus 47 county-wide.
Trinity housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in Trinity?
The median sale price in Trinity is currently $462,000, down 2.3% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is Trinity a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Trinity scores 76 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 1.4 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Trinity?
The typical home in Trinity goes under contract in about 26 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Trinity?
There are approximately 7 active listings in Trinity as of August 6, 2026.
Are home prices in Trinity rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 2.3% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Trinity. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.