Trinity
Housing Market
Median sale price $499,000, up 0.3% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 29 days, 21 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 3.1 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 38% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 0.3% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 96.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — pressure remains upward while supply stays this thin.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 38% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Trinity data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Trinity is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (23 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Trinity
The median sale price across Trinity currently stands at $499,000, up 0.3% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $221 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 29 days. Sellers are capturing 96.2% of their original asking price on average.
There are 21 active listings on the market, with 11 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.1 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 79 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Trinity prices sit above the Pasco County median by roughly 41%. Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Trinity is 70 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
Trinity since 2013 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $202,517 in 2013 and $481,487 over the last recorded year — 138% appreciation across 13 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 26% of recent sales, down from a 26% peak.
Median sale price · 2013–2026 (2,222 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Trinity
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Trinity right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Pasco County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinity ← this page | $499K | 21 | 70 | |
| New Port Richey | $267K | 426 | 53 | Open → |
| Zephyrhills | $340K | 300 | 50 | Open → |
| Wesley Chapel | $425K | 298 | 60 | Open → |
| Hudson | $300K | 228 | 44 | Open → |
| Land O' Lakes | $395K | 196 | 70 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| thousand oaks east ph 04Trinity | $334K | ▲ 24% |
| THOUSAND OAKS EAST PH VTrinity | $334K | ▲ 21% |
| Trinity OaksTrinity | $548K | ▲ 5% |
| Villages At Fox Hollow WestTrinity | $462K | ▲ -2% |
| Trinity PreserveTrinity | $515K | ▲ -3% |
| TRINITY WESTTrinity | $460K | ▼ 11% |
| fox wood ph 05Trinity | $499K | ▼ 6% |
| Trinity West Ph 02Trinity | $512K | ▼ 5% |
| trinity east repTrinity | $559K | ▼ 4% |
| Trinity PreserveTrinity | $515K | ▼ 3% |
| thousand oaks east ph 02 & 03Trinity | $588K | 5 |
| Villages At Fox Hollow WestTrinity | $462K | 5 |
| trinity east repTrinity | $559K | 4 |
| Thousand Oaks Multi FamilyTrinity | $343K | 2 |
| Trinity OaksTrinity | $548K | 2 |
| trinity east repTrinity | $559K | 18 days |
| fox wood ph 05Trinity | $499K | 22 days |
| TRINITY WESTTrinity | $460K | 27 days |
| thousand oaks east ph 04Trinity | $334K | 28 days |
| Trinity West Ph 02Trinity | $512K | 29 days |
Trinity ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Trinity
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Trinity right now?
The data says conditions currently favor sellers in Trinity — the Momentum Score reads 70/100 with 3.1 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Trinity becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in Trinity is $499,000, up 0.3% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.2% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in Trinity?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are TRINITY WEST (-11%); fox wood ph 05 (-6%); Trinity West Ph 02 (-5%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Trinity neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are trinity east rep (18 days); fox wood ph 05 (22 days); TRINITY WEST (27 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 29 days.
How does Trinity compare to the rest of Pasco County?
Trinity's median of $499,000 runs 41% above the county-wide median of $354,820, and homes here take 29 days to go under contract versus 47 county-wide.
Trinity housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Trinity right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the Trinity housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $499,000 (up 0.3% year over year), 21 homes are for sale against 79 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.1 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 29 days.
How much is a house in Trinity?
The median home sold for $499,000 in Trinity over the last 12 months, about $221 per square foot; asking prices on the 21 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Trinity?
By the numbers, sellers in Trinity are getting 96.2% of asking price and going under contract in about 29 days with 3.1 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Trinity housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Trinity median sale prices are up 0.3% year over year, inventory stands at 3.1 months of supply, and 38% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Trinity?
The median sale price in Trinity is currently $499,000, up 0.3% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is Trinity a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Trinity scores 70 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.1 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Trinity?
The typical home in Trinity goes under contract in about 29 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Trinity?
There are approximately 21 active listings in Trinity as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in Trinity rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 0.3% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Trinity. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.