Lake Deer
Homes for Sale in Poinciana, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Over the 12 months ending 2026-08-02, 47 recorded sales closed at a median of $288,490 (-3% versus the prior year's median), $164 per square foot, a median 143 days on market, sellers accepting 92% of original asking. At the median price and Polk County's FY2025-26 rate of 16.19 mills, annual property tax runs about $4,670 ($3,990 with the full homestead exemption).
Lake Deer is a brand-new build-out in Poinciana, with every home dating to 2023 or 2024 and a median build year of 2024. Price here is driven less by location amenities and more by newness, floor plan, and finish level: the median sits at $288,490, or about $164 per square foot on a median of roughly 2,100 square feet. With no amenities identified from current MLS listings, you are buying the house and the newness, not a lifestyle package.
The posture right now favors patience on both sides. Median days on market runs about 143 - a slow pace - and there are zero active listings in the snapshot, which means inventory moves in bursts rather than a steady flow. Year-over-year pricing is down 2.6%, so sellers should price to the current market, not last year's, and buyers have room to negotiate on homes that have been sitting.
Figures in this note are as of October 26, 2026. The live market numbers elsewhere on this page update nightly and are newer.
Lake Deer right now
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($288K) is down 2.6% from the prior 12 months ($296K). With about 22 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2. Confidence: Very High (47 and 62 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
· Updated November 7, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
Nearby homes for sale
No active listings inside Lake Deer right now. These are the 6 closest homes on the market, by straight-line distance from the community's center; some may sit just outside its boundary.
Listing data from the MLS feeds named on each listing page; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Refreshed nightly.
The 60-Second Overview
Lake Deer market snapshot (as of August 2, 2026): the median sale price is about $288K ($164 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 143 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 3% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (47 closings in the current window).
In ZIP 33880 (Poinciana), 178 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $288K ($164/sq ft), down 2.1% year over year, with a median 85 days on market. Right now 1 active listings. See the live ZIP 33880 housing market and the Polk County market.
Lake Deer is a community of 590 homes in Poinciana, Polk County, built between 2023 and 2024 (median 2024), with a median living area of about 2,100 square feet. 10% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Lake Deer is a new-construction pocket of about 590 homes in Poinciana, nearly all finished in 2023 and 2024. With no standing inventory in the current snapshot, timing and patience matter more here than they would in a resale community with steady turnover.
Who Lake Deer is best for.
Best for
- Buying a new-construction home and willing to wait for the right listing to come to market
- Looking for a predictable ~2,100-square-foot layout with modern, low-maintenance systems
- Negotiating on a home that has been sitting, with room created by the 2.6% year-over-year softening
Probably not for
- Needing to buy immediately, since the snapshot shows zero active listings
- Prioritizing pools, clubhouses, or other community amenities, none identified here
- Planning a quick resale, given the 143-day median marketing time and low owner-occupancy
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 2 of each year, from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($288K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($296K) IS the -2.6% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 62 sales each (47 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2021 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
28% of homes for sale in ZIP 33880 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-01).
Lake Deer Market Scorecard
Lake Deer is currently a balanced market..
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Schools
- Polk County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Polk County Public Schools (verify by address) · Public
- Confirm zoned elementary, middle, and high · By address
- Magnet and choice options may apply · Choice
Zoned schools reflect the assignments reported on recent Lake Deer listings and can change; always confirm with Polk County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Lake Deer address.
The Lake Deer buying strategy.
If we were buying in Lake Deer today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lake Deer.
A new-build community still finding its resale rhythm
Because the housing stock is uniform and recent - a tight 2023 - 2024 range on a median size near 2,100 square feet - pricing comes down to condition, upgrades, and lot rather than age or character variation. That makes comparables cleaner but also means a home differentiates itself mainly on finish. The 47 closings in the window show real transaction activity, so there is a track record to price against even with nothing currently active.
The homestead share sits at just 10%, which tells you a large portion of these homes are not owner-occupied primary residences. For a buyer, that shapes who you may be competing or neighboring with on the resale side; for a seller, it means your buyer pool and the market's tempo can shift with investor appetite. Combined with a 143-day median marketing time, the message is to plan for a longer runway, not a quick flip.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lake Deer. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Lake Deer buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (3.7). Basis: Recent Direction -2.6% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 10% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 91.9% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
A new community with zero active listings and a long median marketing time is exactly where local read matters: we track what actually closed among those 47 sales, how the 2.6% year-over-year softening is playing out on individual plans, and where a new-build median of $288,490 should land once condition and upgrades are weighed. We will tell you when to wait for the right listing to surface and when a priced-right home is worth moving on quickly.
Lake Deer in 15 seconds.
Tools for a Lake Deer buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lake Deer sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Lake Deer, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Lake Deer home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lake Deer, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See all homes for sale in Poinciana →
| Location | Poinciana, Polk County, FL · ZIP 33880, 34759 |
|---|---|
| Homes in the community | 590 (FL DOR 2025 assessment roll) |
| Years built | 2023–2024 (median 2024) |
| Typical living area | 2,100 sq ft (median) |
| Sale prices, last 12 months | $288,490 median across 47 closed sales · $164 per sq ft · -2.6% vs the prior 12 months |
| Days on market (closed sales) | 143 median |
| For sale right now | 0 active, 0 pending |
| Owner-occupied (homestead) share | 10% |
| Zoned public schools | Polk County Public Schools (verify by address); Confirm zoned elementary, middle, and high; Magnet and choice options may apply |
Data as of August 2, 2026. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2021 through 2026; housing-stock figures from Florida Department of Revenue public records. Market figures describe homes, not residents. Cite as: Momentum Realty, “Lake Deer key facts,” movewithmomentum.com/neighborhoods/lake-deer, data as of August 2, 2026.
Housing distress & ownership in LAKE DEER, Poinciana
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period October 2026 through October 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
More Poinciana home searches
- All homes for sale in Poinciana, FL
- Poinciana pool homes for sale
- Poinciana waterfront homes for sale
- Poinciana golf course homes
- Poinciana home values: what is my house worth?
- ZIP 33880 housing scorecard
Poinciana guides & data
- Market data
- Property taxes (Osceola County)
- Homestead exemption (Osceola County)
- Home insurance cost
- New construction
- New construction (Osceola County)
- ZIP codes
- Home builders (Osceola County)
Florida buyer guides
- Florida home insurance rates by county
- Florida property tax by county
- Florida property tax calculator
- What flood zone X means
- The 4-point inspection, explained
- Florida flood insurance calculator
- Florida housing market map
- Interactive housing market map (county, ZIP and community)
- Save Our Homes tax estimator
- How to stop a foreclosure in Florida
Real estate agent in Poinciana? Join Momentum in Poinciana: 100% commission, one $12K cap.
Streets in this community
Street-level pages: every home on record, what sold and what is for sale on each street.
- Viceroy Court (37 homes on record)
- Bluethread Way (24 homes on record)
- Waterlily Way (15 homes on record)
Email me new listings in Lake Deer
One e-mail a day, only when a home lists here, with price, beds, baths and a link to every listing. Straight from the MLS feed; no account needed.
Ask an agent about Lake Deer
Have a question about the homes, fees, rules or commute here? A Momentum agent who works Lake Deer will answer, and the answer is published on this page for the next buyer.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Lake Deer?
How long do homes in Lake Deer take to sell?
How many homes are in Lake Deer?
What share of Lake Deer is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Lake Deer built?
Do cash buyers compete in Lake Deer?
What schools serve Lake Deer?
Who is the best real estate agent for Lake Deer?
How do I find a top Poinciana real estate agent who knows Lake Deer?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lake Deer?
Where is Lake Deer, and what county is it in?
Is Lake Deer a good place to live?
Should you buy in Lake Deer?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily (last: June 25, 2026) |
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (community parcel extract) |
| Under-contract shares | Stellar MLS records, as of 2026-08-01 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2021 (132 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. A Momentum agent can price yours against live local comps.
Looking to buy here? Search homes for sale →
What’s your home worth in your area?
A real valuation with real comps from a local listing agent, not an instant algorithm. Response within one business day.
See how LAKE DEER fits the bigger picture — live prices, inventory, and Momentum Scores:
More on Lake Deer
- Home values · What homes in Lake Deer actually sell for