Poinciana
Housing Market
Median sale price $289,990, up 0.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 80 days, 1 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 6.0 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 0% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 0.2% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.2% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 0% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Poinciana data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
The read on Poinciana
The median sale price across Poinciana currently stands at $289,990, up 0.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $180 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 80 days. Sellers are capturing 95.2% of their original asking price on average.
There are 1 active listings on the market. At the current sales pace that works out to 6.0 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 2 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Poinciana prices sit below the Polk County median by roughly 7%. Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $295,823. About 27% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Poinciana is 40 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 5, 2026.
Poinciana since 2014 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $195,455 in 2014 and $279,777 over the last recorded year — 43% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 29% of recent sales, down from a 50% peak.
Median sale price · 2014–2026 (3,086 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Poinciana
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Polk County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poinciana ← this page | $290K | 1 | 40 | |
| Rockmart | $238K | 15 | 48 | Open → |
| Bartow | $311K | 12 | 71 | Open → |
| Lakeland | $328K | 5 | 52 | Open → |
| Cedartown | $270K | 5 | 63 | Open → |
| Haines City | $310K | 1 | 49 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| SOLIVITAPoinciana | $308K | ▲ 4% |
| Tuscany PreservePoinciana | $210K | ▲ 1% |
| POINCIANA NBRHD 02 VILLAGE 03Poinciana | $268K | ▲ -1% |
| TUSCANY PRESERVE PH 03Poinciana | $210K | ▲ -1% |
| LAKE DEERPoinciana | $288K | ▲ -3% |
| POINCIANA NBRHD 01 VILLAGE 03Poinciana | $216K | ▼ 18% |
| POINCIANA NBRHD 02 VILLAGE 08Poinciana | $278K | ▼ 4% |
| POINCIANA NEIGHBORHOOD 2 WEST VILLAGE 7Poinciana | $290K | ▼ 4% |
| LAKE DEERPoinciana | $288K | ▼ 3% |
| TUSCANY PRESERVE PH 03Poinciana | $210K | ▼ 1% |
| POINCIANA NEIGHBORHOOD 2 WEST VILLAGE 7Poinciana | $290K | 26 days |
| POINCIANA NBRHD 02 VILLAGE 03Poinciana | $268K | 37 days |
| POINCIANA NBRHD 02 VILLAGE 08Poinciana | $278K | 47 days |
| POINCIANA NBRHD 01 VILLAGE 03Poinciana | $216K | 64 days |
| Tuscany PreservePoinciana | $210K | 71 days |
Poinciana ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Poinciana
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Poinciana right now?
The data says conditions currently favor buyers in Poinciana — the Momentum Score reads 40/100 with 6.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Poinciana becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in Poinciana is $289,990, up 0.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.2% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in Poinciana?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are POINCIANA NBRHD 01 VILLAGE 03 (-18%); POINCIANA NBRHD 02 VILLAGE 08 (-4%); POINCIANA NEIGHBORHOOD 2 WEST VILLAGE 7 (-4%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Poinciana neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are POINCIANA NEIGHBORHOOD 2 WEST VILLAGE 7 (26 days); POINCIANA NBRHD 02 VILLAGE 03 (37 days); POINCIANA NBRHD 02 VILLAGE 08 (47 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 80 days.
How does Poinciana compare to the rest of Polk County?
Poinciana's median of $289,990 runs 7% below the county-wide median of $311,230, and homes here take 80 days to go under contract versus 58 county-wide.
Poinciana housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Poinciana right now?
As of October 5, 2026, the Poinciana housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $289,990 (up 0.2% year over year), 1 homes are for sale against 2 sales in the last 12 months, which is 6.0 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 80 days.
How much is a house in Poinciana?
The median home sold for $289,990 in Poinciana over the last 12 months, about $180 per square foot; asking prices on the 1 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Poinciana?
By the numbers, sellers in Poinciana are getting 95.2% of asking price and going under contract in about 80 days with 6.0 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Poinciana housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Poinciana median sale prices are up 0.2% year over year, inventory stands at 6.0 months of supply. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Poinciana?
The median sale price in Poinciana is currently $289,990, up 0.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 5, 2026.
Is Poinciana a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors buyers. Poinciana scores 40 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 6.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Poinciana?
The typical home in Poinciana goes under contract in about 80 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Poinciana?
There are approximately 1 active listings in Poinciana as of October 5, 2026.
Are home prices in Poinciana rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 0.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Poinciana. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.