Lower Matecumbe
Housing Market

City market report · Monroe County, FL · 3 ZIP codes

Median sale price $2,000,000, up 11.9% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 162 days, 28 homes on the market.

6 communities reporting45 sales analyzedData as of Nov 9, 2026Momentum Score 35
Live Market Pulse
35/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
Prices are up 12% in one year. Calculated from licensed MLS data · last refresh November 9, 2026.
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Live · Lower Matecumbe Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$2.00M ▲
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: Medium
up 11.9% vs the prior 12 months
+11.9% ▲
1-yr price change
n = 45 closed sales, MLS, 12 mo
88.0% ▼
Sale vs ask
Monroe County: 92.5% · -2.1pp vs prior yr
$963K ▲
Monroe County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · +1.9% vs a year ago
Tempo
7.5mo
Supply
28 for sale ÷ (45 sales ÷ 12) · 3 to 6 months is the balanced band
162days ▲
Median DOM · closed
Monroe County: 84 days · +38.0 days vs prior yr
28 · 3 ▼3
For sale · pending
MLS counts as of Nov 9, 2026
45 ▲
Sold · last 12 mo
closed sales, MLS, last 12 full months · +45.2% vs prior 12 mo
Market context
17% ▼
Listings with price cuts
Monroe County · Zillow · -1.7pp vs prior month
1,255 ▼
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -4.1% vs prior month
7%
New construction
share of recent sales
35/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
6
Communities reporting
of 18 tracked in Lower Matecumbe
Economy & people · county layer
$87,738
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
81,860
County population
+7.3% since 2018
11.0×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
66%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$4,129/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Data as of Nov 9, 2026
Today's Take · November 9, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 7.5 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark. Prices are up 11.9% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 88.0% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 35
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage65
Seller leverage35

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 11.0× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Lower Matecumbe data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Analysis

The read on Lower Matecumbe

The median sale price across Lower Matecumbe currently stands at $2,000,000, up 11.9% from a year ago. The typical home goes under contract in about 162 days. Homes are selling for about 88.0% of their original asking price.

There are 28 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract. With 45 closed sales over the trailing 12 months (28 listings divided by 45 / 12), that works out to 7.5 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the 3-to-6-month balanced band.

Lower Matecumbe prices sit above the Monroe County median by roughly 120%. Zillow's home value index for Monroe County stands at $962,885. About 17% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Lower Matecumbe is 35 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of November 9, 2026.

Trends & History

Lower Matecumbe since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $631,740 in 2012 and $1,933,750 over the last recorded year — 206% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (497 recorded sales)

$604K$1.30M$1.99M$1.93M2012: $632K2013: $912K2014: $778K2015: $871K2016: $898K2017: $882K2018: $900K2019: $967K2020: $1.22M2021: $1.58M2022: $1.97M2025: $1.81M2026: $1.93M20122015201820212026

Days on market by year

60d162d264d162d2012: 152d2013: 260d2014: 107d2015: 97d2016: 98d2017: 137d2018: 140d2019: 115d2020: 136d2021: 109d2022: 65d2025: 124d2026: 162d20122015201820212026

Home value trend · Monroe County (Zillow ZHVI)

$942K$953K$963K$963KSep '25: $945KOct '25: $943KNov '25: $942KDec '25: $942KJan '26: $944KFeb '26: $947KMar '26: $951KApr '26: $953KMay '26: $954KJun '26: $954KJul '26: $956KAug '26: $960KSep '26: $963KSep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,2491,3921,5341,255Sep '25: 1,308Oct '25: 1,283Nov '25: 1,299Dec '25: 1,348Jan '26: 1,415Feb '26: 1,476Mar '26: 1,529Apr '26: 1,526May '26: 1,492Jun '26: 1,422Jul '26: 1,364Aug '26: 1,309Sep '26: 1,255Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26

Daily active vs pending · Monroe County (MLS)

1597801,400Aug 10 · Active: 1,271Aug 11 · Active: 1,266Aug 12 · Active: 1,266Aug 13 · Active: 1,265Aug 15 · Active: 1,257Aug 17 · Active: 1,254Aug 19 · Active: 1,248Aug 22 · Active: 1,238Aug 23 · Active: 1,240Aug 28 · Active: 1,228Aug 29 · Active: 1,224Aug 30 · Active: 1,221Aug 31 · Active: 1,218Sep 07 · Active: 1,308Sep 09 · Active: 1,303Sep 11 · Active: 1,295Sep 12 · Active: 1,295Sep 13 · Active: 1,287Sep 14 · Active: 1,291Sep 15 · Active: 1,280Sep 16 · Active: 1,276Sep 17 · Active: 1,276Sep 19 · Active: 1,285Sep 20 · Active: 1,280Sep 21 · Active: 1,275Sep 22 · Active: 1,274Sep 23 · Active: 1,271Sep 24 · Active: 1,271Sep 25 · Active: 1,275Sep 26 · Active: 1,281Sep 28 · Active: 1,280Sep 29 · Active: 1,271Oct 01 · Active: 1,260Oct 04 · Active: 1,259Oct 05 · Active: 1,257Oct 06 · Active: 1,249Oct 07 · Active: 1,255Oct 09 · Active: 1,267Oct 10 · Active: 1,272Oct 11 · Active: 1,270Oct 12 · Active: 1,276Oct 14 · Active: 1,296Oct 17 · Active: 1,299Oct 18 · Active: 1,302Oct 19 · Active: 1,313Oct 20 · Active: 1,323Oct 23 · Active: 1,343Oct 26 · Active: 1,342Oct 27 · Active: 1,348Oct 28 · Active: 1,353Oct 29 · Active: 1,359Oct 30 · Active: 1,370Oct 31 · Active: 1,376Nov 01 · Active: 1,358Nov 02 · Active: 1,358Nov 03 · Active: 1,364Nov 05 · Active: 1,365Nov 06 · Active: 1,371Nov 08 · Active: 1,367Nov 09 · Active: 1,364Aug 10Sep 28Nov 09ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$2.00M$2.10M$2.20M$2.00MSep 12: $2.20MSep 13: $2.20MSep 14: $2.20MSep 15: $2.20MSep 16: $2.20MSep 17: $2.20MSep 19: $2.20MSep 20: $2.20MSep 21: $2.20MSep 22: $2.20MSep 23: $2.20MSep 24: $2.20MSep 25: $2.20MSep 26: $2.20MSep 28: $2.20MSep 29: $2.20MSep 30: $2.20MOct 01: $2.20MOct 03: $2.20MOct 04: $2.20MOct 05: $2.20MOct 06: $2.20MOct 07: $2.20MOct 09: $2.20MOct 10: $2.20MOct 11: $2.20MOct 12: $2.20MOct 14: $2.20MOct 17: $2.20MOct 18: $2.20MOct 19: $2.20MOct 20: $2.20MOct 23: $2.20MOct 26: $2.20MOct 27: $2.20MOct 28: $2.20MOct 29: $2.20MOct 30: $2.20MOct 31: $2.20MNov 01: $2.20MNov 02: $2.20MNov 05: $2.00MNov 06: $2.00MNov 08: $2.00MNov 09: $2.00MSep 12Sep 24Oct 07Oct 26Nov 09
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Lower Matecumbe

Who’s moving here
-713 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: CA, IL, MD. Movers arriving report ~$170,384 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$6,463/yr avg Citizens premium

16,693 Citizens personal-lines policies in Monroe County; average premium $6,671 before the 2026 change, $6,463 after (-3.1%). Citizens is the state-backed insurer of last resort; budget insurance into any Monroe purchase. Source: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, 2026 Approved Rate Changes by County (ALL PERSONAL LINES COMBINED table).

Building pipeline
279 units permitted -16% YoY

239 single-family · 40 multi-family · 3.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
PORT ANTIGUA ▲ 12%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
PORT ANTIGUALower Matecumbe$2.50M▲ 12%
Prices cooling fastest

No tracked community with enough sales fell in price over the past year.

Selling fastest
PORT ANTIGUALower Matecumbe$2.50M275 days
Explore Deeper

Lower Matecumbe ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Lower Matecumbe

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Lower Matecumbe guides & data

Everything we publish about Lower Matecumbe: live listings by type, prices and market data, taxes, insurance and what it costs to live here.

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Lower Matecumbe right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in Lower Matecumbe — the Momentum Score reads 35/100 with 7.5 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Lower Matecumbe becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in Lower Matecumbe is $2,000,000, up 11.9% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 88.0% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Which Lower Matecumbe neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are PORT ANTIGUA (275 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 162 days.

How does Lower Matecumbe compare to the rest of Monroe County?

Lower Matecumbe's median of $2,000,000 runs 120% above the county-wide median of $907,500, and homes here take 162 days to go under contract versus 84 county-wide.

Questions

Lower Matecumbe housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Lower Matecumbe right now?

As of November 9, 2026, the Lower Matecumbe housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $2,000,000 (up 11.9% year over year), 28 homes are for sale against 45 sales in the last 12 months, which is 7.5 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 162 days.

How much is a house in Lower Matecumbe?

The median home sold for $2,000,000 in Lower Matecumbe over the last 12 months; asking prices on the 28 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Lower Matecumbe?

By the numbers, sellers in Lower Matecumbe are getting 88.0% of asking price and going under contract in about 162 days with 7.5 months of supply. Under three months of supply generally favors sellers, three to six is balanced, and over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Lower Matecumbe housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Lower Matecumbe median sale prices are up 11.9% year over year, inventory stands at 7.5 months of supply. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Lower Matecumbe?

The median sale price in Lower Matecumbe is currently $2,000,000, up 11.9% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated November 9, 2026.

Is Lower Matecumbe a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors buyers. Lower Matecumbe scores 35 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 7.5 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Lower Matecumbe?

The typical home in Lower Matecumbe goes under contract in about 162 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Lower Matecumbe?

There are approximately 28 active listings in Lower Matecumbe as of November 9, 2026.

Are home prices in Lower Matecumbe rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 11.9% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Lower Matecumbe. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use the MLS listing counts from the last data refresh (date below); the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: November 9, 2026

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Using these figures? Link to this page as the source so readers can see the live numbers; they refresh from Momentum Realty’s MLS and county data (as of 2026-11-11). Suggested attribution:
<a href="https://movewithmomentum.com/market/lower-matecumbe">Lower Matecumbe Housing Market: Median $2.00M, +11.9% YoY — Momentum Realty</a>
Press and data requests: jon@movewithmomentum.com · Florida Housing Intelligence
Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.